Charles Johnson vs Rafael Estevam Pick, 11/18/2023 Predictions UFC Vegas 82 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 11/15/2023

Charles Johnson vs Rafael Estevam

UFC Vegas 82

UFC Apex in Las Vegas

Saturday, November 18, 2023

Charles Johnson will face off against Rafael Estevam at UFC Vegas 82 on Saturday, November 18, 2023. The opener has Johnson coming in at +105 while Estevam is at -125.

Charles "InnerG" Johnson will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 13-5-0. The 32-year-old records a weight of 125 lbs and comes in at 5'9". The switch fighter has an arm span of 70". Rafael "Macapa" Estevam measures in at 5'8" and steps on the scale at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a record of 11-0-0. The 27-year-old reaches 69". When talking about significant strikes, Charles Johnson is connecting on 4.23 per min while Rafael Estevam is connecting on 6.47 significant strikes per min. Johnson lands 52% of the significant strikes he throws and Estevam connects on 80%. Concerning their defense in the cage, "InnerG" absorbs 3.75 significant strikes per min while "Macapa" allows 0.40. Johnson also stops 54% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him while Estevam is able to stop 50% of the shots thrown.

ufc picks Charles Johnson ufc predictions best bet odds

UFC Vegas 82	Charles Johnson	Rafael Estevam
Opening Odds	+105	-125
Record	13-5-0	11-0-0
Average Fight Time	12:55	7:25
Height	5'9"	5'8"
Weight	125 lbs	125 lbs
Reach	70"	69"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	4.23	6.47
Striking Accuracy	52%	80%

Concerning wrestling, Charles Johnson is not as effective of a wrestler as he takes his opponents down 0.23 times per 3 rounds. Johnson is scoring a takedown on 14% of the times he tries and is stopping 54% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Estevam is finishing his takedown attempts on 50% of the takedowns he tries and is defending 15% of the tries against him. Regarding subbing the opposition, Johnson is less likely to go for the finish by attempting 0.2 submissions per 15 minutes while Estevam attempts 0.9 submissions per 3 rds.

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In his last appearance in the Octagon, Charles Johnson fought Cody Durden and ended up losing the fight by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Durden landed 80 of 128 total strikes attempted in that fight. Johnson walked away from this fight having landed 60 of 109 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Durden ended up landing 56 of 99, which means his percentage was 56%. He ended up landing 39 of 80 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side, Johnson ended up landing 51% of his significant strikes by landing 52 of 101. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he was 30 of 77 pointed at the head. 82% of the significant strikes landed by Durden and 88% of them landed by Johnson were tallied at distance.

In the last bout for Rafael Estevam, he squared up with Joao Elias and wound up getting the victory by punches to the head in round 2. Elias connected on 100% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Estevam connected on 2% of his significant strikes at distance. Estevam ended up connecting on 80% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 48 of 60. He ended up connecting on 47 of 58 significant strikes to the head. Elias ended up landing 3 of 6 significant strikes in that contest. Out of those significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 0 of 3 aimed at the head. Relating to total strikes attempted in that contest, Elias landed 7 of 12 while Estevam was 120 of 180 total strikes.

Other fights to watch

One more match to look forward to is when Luana Pinheiro battles Amanda Ribas. Pinheiro has a record of 11-1-0. The 30-year-old records a weight of 115 lbs and measures 5'2". The orthodox fighter reaches 62". Ribas stands in at 5'3" and records a weight of 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to her total of 11-4-0. The 30-year-old extends her reach 66". In terms of takedowns, Luana Pinheiro is able to score a takedown 2.83 times per 15 min while Amanda Ribas takes her opponents to the mat 2.27 times per 3 rounds. When talking about striking, Pinheiro is connecting on 3.86 strikes per minute and lands 39% of her attempted strikes. On the other side of the cage we have Amanda Ribas, who is landing 42% of the strikes she has thrown and lands an average of 4.73 per minute.

One more can't miss bout is when Ailin Perez is set to face off against Lucie Pudilova. Pudilova comes into this bout holding a record of 14-8-0. The 29-year-old tips the scales at 135 lbs and measures in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter reaches 67". Perez measures 5'5" and tips the scales at 135 lbs. The switch fighter steps into the Octagon with a mark of 8-2-0. The 29-year-old reaches 66". In terms of grappling, Lucie Pudilova deflects 63% of the takedowns her opponents go for and is scoring a takedown on 27% of her tries. Perez is finishing her takedown tries on 61% of her tries and defends against 75% of all takedown tries against her. In the matter of striking, Pudilova is taking 3.95 strikes per minute while she is landing 3.97 strikes/min. Perez, notwithstanding, takes 1.08 strikes/min and lands 3.05 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Rafael Estevam (-125)

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Charles Johnson vs Rafael Estevam Pick, 11/18/2023 Predictions UFC Vegas 82 Odds

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