Cesar Almeida vs Christian Leroy Duncan Pick, 11/18/2023 Predictions UFC Vegas 82 Odds

by Tony Sink - 11/15/2023

Cesar Almeida vs Christian Leroy Duncan

UFC Vegas 82

UFC Apex in Las Vegas

Saturday, November 18, 2023

Cesar Almeida will enter the Octagon with Christian Leroy Duncan at UFC Vegas 82 on Saturday, November 18, 2023. The opening line has Almeida priced at +136 while Duncan is coming in at -162.

Cesar "Cesinha" Almeida comes into this bout holding a record of 4-0-0. The 35-year-old is weighing in at 185 lbs and measures 6'1". The orthodox fighter stretches 74". Christian "CLD" Leroy Duncan stands 6'2" and weighs in at 185 lbs. The switch fighter comes into this fight with a mark of 8-1-0. The 28-year-old has a reach of 79". Regarding significant strikes, Cesar Almeida is landing 4.73 per min and Christian Leroy Duncan connects on 4.03 significant strikes per minute. Almeida is connecting on 61% of the significant strikes he attempts and Leroy Duncan lands 50%. Regarding defending in the Octagon, "Cesinha" absorbs 1.87 significant strikes per min and "CLD" takes 5.51. Almeida also deflects 48% of the significant strikes that are directed at him while Leroy Duncan thwarts 42% of the shots thrown his way.

ufc picks Christian Leroy Duncan ufc predictions best bet odds

UFC Vegas 82	Cesar Almeida	Christian Leroy Duncan
Opening Odds	+136	-162
Record	4-0-0	8-1-0
Average Fight Time	15:00	8:26
Height	6'1"	6'2"
Weight	185 lbs	185 lbs
Reach	74"	79"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	4.73	4.03
Striking Accuracy	61%	50%

In the wrestling category, Cesar Almeida is the more capable wrestler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 0.70 times per 15 min. Almeida is taking his opponents to the canvas on 15% of the times he tries and is defending 70% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Leroy Duncan is finishing his takedowns on 15% of the takedowns he tries and is stopping 50% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. When it comes to sub attempts, Almeida is the more experienced of the two fighters by trying 0.8 submissions per 3 rounds while Leroy Duncan goes for 0.4 submissions per 3 rounds.

Get all of our UFC Betting Picks

The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Cesar Almeida faced Lucas Fernando and wound up getting the victory via unanimous decision in round 3. Fernando landed 38 of 69 total strikes that he let go in that fight. Almeida walked away from this fight having landed 96 of 146 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Fernando landed 28 of 54, which gave him a percentage of 51%. He finished the fight landing 16 of 42 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Almeida ended up landing 61% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 71 of 116. Out of those significant strikes, he connected on 42 of 79 aimed at the head. 92% of the significant strikes connected on by Fernando and 25% of them connected on by Almeida were tallied at distance.

In the last bout for Christian Leroy Duncan, he fought Armen Petrosyan and ended up walking away in defeat by unanimous decision in round 3. Petrosyan ended up landing 86% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Duncan connected on 98% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Duncan connected on 48% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 59 of 122. He ended up landing 23 of 72 significant strikes aimed at the head. Petrosyan ended up landing 89 of 156 significant strikes in that battle. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he ended up connecting on 37 of 90 to the head. In regard to total strikes that he let go, Petrosyan ended up landing 111 of 179 while Duncan landed 73 of 136 of all the strikes he threw.

Other fights on the card to watch

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Mick Parkin squares up against Caio Machado. Parkin looks to add a victory to his total of 7-0-0. The 28-year-old weighs in at 265 lbs and stands 6'4". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 79". Machado measures in at 6'4" and will fight at 250 lbs. The southpaw fighter walks into the Octagon with a record of 8-1-1. The 29-year-old has a wingspan of 78". In terms of takedowns, Mick Parkin gets his opposition to the mat 1.77 times per 15 min while Caio Machado takes his opponents down 0.30 times per 3 rds. Regarding striking, Parkin tags his opponents 6.02 strikes per minute and connects on 60% of his attempted strikes. On the other side of the cage we have Caio Machado, who lands 69% of the strikes he has attempted and lands 8.07 per minute.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Lucas Alexander is set to square up in the Octagon against Jeka Saragih. Saragih looks to add a victory to his career total of 13-3-0. The 28-year-old weighs in at 145 lbs and measures in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 69". Alexander comes in at 5'11" and will fight at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his record of 8-3-0. The 28-year-old extends his reach 73". In terms of wrestling, Jeka Saragih is able to defend against 60% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is finishing his takedowns on 85% of the times he tries. Alexander is taking his opponents down on 15% of his tries and is able to deflect 66% of takedowns his opponents have tried. In the category of striking, Saragih takes 2.56 strikes per min while he connects on 2.77 strikes per min. Alexander, on the other side, absorbs 1.76 strikes per minute and dishes out 5.05 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Christian Leroy Duncan (-162)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get all of Today's Free UFC Picks

Get all of Today's Expert UFC Picks

Pick:	CHICAGO BEARS +3
Start:	November 24, 2024 @ 1:00 PM
Expert:	Doc's Sports

Analysis:

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #256 Chicago Bears +3 over Minnesota Vikings (1p.m., Sunday, November 24 FOX) We used the Bears as a free play winner last Sunday and easily covered the spread and should have been an underdog outright winner. Now we will ride them for a second straight week against another NFC North rival, the Minnesota Vikings. The Vikings are 8-2 on the season, yet are only around a field goal favorite. I still do not trust Sam Donald to win consistently over the course of a 17 game regular season. Minnesota is not as good as their 8-2 record would indicate and playing outdoors in Chicago on Sunday will cause issues for them on both sides of the ball. Chicago has been hit or miss this season, but they will be up to play another divisional rival and we expect them to take this down to the wire as well. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports Weekend Card featuring top plays in college and NFL football. Read More Read Less

Cesar Almeida vs Christian Leroy Duncan Pick, 11/18/2023 Predictions UFC Vegas 82 Odds

Most Recent UFC Picks