Carlston Harris vs Abubakar Nurmagomedov Pick, 3/11/2023 Predictions UFC Las Vegas Odds

by Tony Sink - 3/7/2023

Carlston Harris vs Abubakar Nurmagomedov

UFC Las Vegas

The Theater at Virgin Hotels in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, March 11, 2023

Carlston Harris will face off with Abubakar Nurmagomedov at UFC Las Vegas on Saturday, March 11, 2023. The opening odds have Harris at -135 while Nurmagomedov is priced at +110.

Carlston "Mocambique" Harris steps into the Octagon holding a record of 17-5-0. The 35-year-old records a weight of 170 lbs and stands 6'0". The orthodox fighter reaches 76". Abubakar Nurmagomedov measures 5'11" and will fight at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage holding a mark of 17-3-1. The 33-year-old stretches 72". Regarding significant strikes, Carlston Harris connects on 4.03 per minute and Abubakar Nurmagomedov connects on 3.17 significant strikes per minute. Harris connects on 45% of the significant strikes he throws while Nurmagomedov is connecting on 53%. In terms of defending in the cage, "Mocambique" absorbs 2.07 significant strikes per min and Nurmagomedov takes 2.53. Harris also deflects 66% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him while Nurmagomedov defends against 66% of the shots thrown in his direction.

ufc picks Carlston Harris predictions best bet odds

UFC Las Vegas	Carlston Harris	Abubakar Nurmagomedov
Opening Odds	-135	+110
Record	17-5-0	17-3-1
Average Fight Time	3:13	10:57
Height	6'0"	5'11"
Weight	170 lbs	170 lbs
Reach	76"	72"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	4.03	3.17
Striking Accuracy	45%	53%

Concerning wrestling, Carlston Harris is the not as competent as a wrestler as he takes his opponents down 0.80 times per 15 minutes. Harris is taking his opponents to the canvas on 15% of his attempts and stopping 75% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Nurmagomedov is finishing his takedown tries on 30% of his takedown tries and is stuffing 85% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. In terms of subbing the opposition, Harris is the more skilled fighter by attempting 1.6 subs per 15 min while Nurmagomedov looks to get 0.8 subs per 3 rounds.

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The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Carlston Harris went up against Shavkat Rakhmonov and wound up walking away in defeat via a wheel kick to the head in round 1. Rakhmonov ended up landing 16 of 31 total strikes that he let go. Harris ended the night having landed 15 of 35 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Rakhmonov ended up landing 13 of 28, which means his percentage was 46%. He ended up landing 10 of 25 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Harris ended up landing 37% of his significant strikes by connecting on 10 of 27. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he connected on 3 of 13 pointed at the head. 69% of the significant strikes landed by Rakhmonov and 80% of them landed by Harris were done at a distance.

In the last bout for Abubakar Nurmagomedov, he battled Gadzhi Omargadzhiev and ended up getting the win via unanimous decision in round 3. Omargadzhiev landed 65% of his significant strikes at distance while Nurmagomedov connected on 90% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Nurmagomedov landed 59% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 40 of 67. He ended up landing 29 of 55 significant strikes to the head. Omargadzhiev landed 38 of 99 significant strikes in that contest. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he connected on 22 of 69 to the head. In regard to total strikes that he threw in that fight, Omargadzhiev ended up landing 79 of 142 while Nurmagomedov was 76 of 104 total strikes.

Other bouts to keep an eye on

One more match to look forward to is when Ariane Lipski meets JJ Aldrich. Lipski has a record of 14-8-0. The 29-year-old weighs 125 lbs and measures 5'6". The orthodox fighter stretches 67". Aldrich measures in at 5'5" and is fighting at 125 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a victory to her record of 11-5-0. The 30-year-old extends her reach 67". In terms of takedowns, Ariane Lipski is able to score a takedown 0.18 times per 15 min while JJ Aldrich takes her opponents to the canvas 0.90 times per 15 minutes. When it comes to striking, Lipski is connecting on 3.34 strikes per min and landing 36% out of all the strikes she attempts. On the other side we have JJ Aldrich, who connects on 45% of the strikes she attempts and is connecting on 4.05 per minute.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Merab Dvalishvili is set to square up in the Octagon with Petr Yan. Yan will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 16-4-0. The 30-year-old records a weight of 135 lbs and comes in at 5'7". The switch fighter has a reach of 67". Dvalishvili stands 5'6" and records a weight of 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage holding a record of 15-4-0. The 32-year-old has an arm span of 68". Regarding takedowns, Petr Yan is able to deflect 90% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is taking his opponents to the canvas on 56% of the times he tries. Dvalishvili is finishing his takedown tries on 40% of the tries he takes and is able to curb 78% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. With reference to striking, Yan is taking 4.03 strikes per min and he is dealing 5.31 per minute. Dvalishvili, in contrast, is absorbing 2.31 strikes per minute and is connecting on 4.21 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Carlston Harris (-135)

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Carlston Harris vs Abubakar Nurmagomedov Pick, 3/11/2023 Predictions UFC Las Vegas Odds

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