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Free Picks » UFC Picks » Brandon Royval vs Matheus Nicolau Pick, 4/15/2023 Predictions UFC Kansas City Odds

Brandon Royval vs Matheus Nicolau Pick, 4/15/2023 Predictions UFC Kansas City Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 4/11/2023

Brandon Royval vs Matheus Nicolau

UFC Kansas City

T-Mobile Center in Kansas City, MO

Saturday, April 15, 2023

Brandon Royval will battle Matheus Nicolau at UFC Kansas City on Saturday, April 15, 2023. The odds have Royval coming in at +165 while Nicolau is priced at -200.

Brandon "Raw Dawg" Royval looks to add a win to his record of 14-6-0. The 30-year-old steps on the scale at 125 lbs and stands in at 5'9". The southpaw fighter stretches 68". Matheus Nicolau stands 5'6" and will fight at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career mark of 19-3-1. The 30-year-old has a reach of 66". When talking about significant strikes, Brandon Royval connects on 3.32 per minute and Matheus Nicolau connects on 3.72 significant strikes per min. Royval connects on 36% of the significant strikes he attempts while Nicolau is connecting on 53%. In terms of the fighter's defense, "Raw Dawg" allows 2.72 significant strikes per minute and Nicolau allows 3.08. Royval also stops 50% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt and Nicolau is able to deflect 67% of the shots thrown.

ufc picks Brandon Royval predictions best bet odds

 

UFC Kansas City Brandon Royval Matheus Nicolau
Opening Odds +165 -200
Record 14-6-0 19-3-1
Average Fight Time 7:11 12:23
Height 5'9" 5'6"
Weight 125 lbs 125 lbs
Reach 68" 66"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.32 3.72
Striking Accuracy 36% 53%

 

In terms of grappling, Brandon Royval is the not as competent as a grappler as he takes his opponents to the mat 0.70 times per 3 rounds. Royval is getting his opponent to the mat on 85% of the times he tries and is stopping 39% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Nicolau is taking his opponents down on 45% of the takedowns he attempts and stuffing 93% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Regarding subbing opponents, Royval is the more skilled technician by attempting 2.4 subs per 3 rds while Nicolau goes for 0.9 subs per 3 rounds.

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In his previous fight, Brandon Royval fought Matt Schnell and wound up taking home the victory via guillotine choke in round 1. Schnell landed 15 of 36 total strikes attempted in that fight. Royval ended the night having landed 14 of 39 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Schnell ended up landing 12 of 33, giving him a percentage of 36%. He finished the fight landing 9 of 29 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side, Royval ended up landing 35% of his significant strikes by landing 14 of 39. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he connected on 9 of 33 aimed at the head. 83% of the significant strikes connected on by Schnell and 92% of them connected on by Royval were done at distance.

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In the last fight for Matheus Nicolau, he faced off with Matt Schnell and ended up winning this fight by a punch to the head in round 2. Schnell connected on 100% of his significant strikes at distance while Nicolau ended up landing 56% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Nicolau landed 76% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 32 of 42. He ended up connecting on 23 of 31 significant strikes aimed at the head. Schnell ended up landing 20 of 59 significant strikes in that fight. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 16 of 50 to the head. In regard to total strikes that he let go, Schnell landed 29 of 68 and Nicolau ended up connecting on 40 of 50 of all the strikes he threw.

Other bouts on the card to watch

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Zak Cummings goes up against Ed Herman. Cummings has a career record of 24-7-0. The 38-year-old weighs in at 205 lbs and comes in at 6'0". The southpaw fighter has a wingspan of 75". Herman stands 6'1" and is fighting at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his record of 27-15-0 (1 NC). The 42-year-old has a wingspan of 77". In terms of takedowns, Zak Cummings takes his opponents to the canvas 0.68 times per 15 minutes while Ed Herman takes his opponents to the canvas 2.08 times per 3 rounds. When it comes to striking, Cummings is connecting on 2.58 strikes/minute and connects on 32% of the strikes that he attempts. Joining him in the Octagon is Ed Herman, who connects on 48% of the strikes he has thrown and connects for an average of 3.28 per minute.

Another bout to watch is when Daniel Zellhuber is set to square up in the Octagon against Lando Vannata. Vannata will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 12-6-2. The 31-year-old tips the scales at 155 lbs and stands 5'9". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 71". Zellhuber stands 6'1" and weighs 155 lbs. The switch fighter has a career mark of 12-1-0. The 23-year-old has a wingspan of 77". In the category of takedowns, Lando Vannata is able to thwart 68% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is finishing his takedowns on 42% of his tries. Zellhuber is finishing his takedown tries on 50% of the tries he takes and deflects 88% of takedowns his opponents have tried. In the category of striking, Vannata absorbs 4.71 strikes/min and he is dishing out 4.64 strikes per minute. Zellhuber, notwithstanding, is absorbing 5.57 strikes per minute and is landing 5.57 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Matheus Nicolau (-200)

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