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Austin Lingo vs Melquizael Costa Pick, 7/15/2023 Predictions UFC Vegas 77 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 7/10/2023

Austin Lingo vs Melquizael Costa

UFC Vegas 77

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, July 15, 2023

Austin Lingo will face off against Melquizael Costa at UFC Vegas 77 on Saturday, July 15, 2023. The opener has Lingo coming in at +185 while Costa is coming in at -225.

Austin "Lights Out" Lingo steps into the Octagon holding a record of 9-2-0. The 29-year-old weighs in at 145 lbs and comes in at 5'10". The orthodox fighter stretches 70". Melquizael "Melk Cauthy" Costa comes in at 5'10" and weighs 145 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a victory to his career record of 19-6-0. The 26-year-old has a reach of 71". With respect to significant strikes, Austin Lingo is connecting on 4.21 per min and Melquizael Costa is connecting on 2.53 significant strikes per minute. Lingo connects on 40% of the significant strikes he attempts and Costa is connecting on 46%. When it comes to defending themselves, "Lights Out" allows 4.36 significant strikes per min while "Melk Cauthy" allows 2.42. Lingo also curbs 58% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way while Costa is able to stop 33% of them.

austin lingo ufc

 

UFC Vegas 77 Austin Lingo Melquizael Costa
Opening Odds +185 -225
Record 9-2-0 19-6-0
Average Fight Time 13:33 9:05
Height 5'10" 5'10"
Weight 145 lbs 145 lbs
Reach 70" 71"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.21 2.53
Striking Accuracy 40% 46%

 

When it comes to wrestling, Austin Lingo is the more effective wrestler as he takes his opponents to the mat 0.55 times per 3 rounds. Lingo is getting his opponent to the mat on 66% of his attempts and is defending 78% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Costa is finishing his takedown attempts on 15% of his takedown attempts and stuffing 42% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Regarding going for the sub, Lingo is the lesser skilled of the two fighters by trying 0.4 finishes per 3 rds while Costa looks to get 0.7 finishes per 3 rds.

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The last time he fought, Austin Lingo squared up with Nate Landwehr and walked away with a loss by way of rear naked choke in round 2. Landwehr ended up landing 68 of 160 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Lingo finished this fight landing 50 of 148 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Landwehr ended up landing 64 of 153, giving him a percentage of 41%. He landed 36 of 104 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the cage, Lingo landed 32% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 48 of 146. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he connected on 28 of 116 to the head. 95% of the significant strikes landed by Landwehr and 100% of them connected on by Lingo were done at distance.

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In the last fight for Melquizael Costa, he squared up with Thiago Moises and ended up taking the loss by way of rear naked choke in round 2. Moises ended up landing 50% of the significant strikes he took from distance while Costa ended up landing 91% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Costa ended up landing 46% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 23 of 50. He ended up connecting on 2 of 19 significant strikes aimed at the head. Moises ended up connecting on 22 of 33 significant strikes in that contest. Out of those significant strikes, he ended up landing 14 of 25 directed at the head. When discussing the total strikes thrown in this fight, Moises ended up connecting on 45 of 58 while Costa connected on 43 of 71 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other bouts to watch

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Evan Elder enters the Octagon with Genaro Valdez. Elder holds a mark of 7-2-0. The 26-year-old weighs in at 155 lbs and measures 5'10". The switch fighter extends his reach 72". Valdez stands in at 5'9" and steps on the scale at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage with a record of 10-2-0. The 31-year-old stretches 72". When it comes to grappling, Evan Elder scores a takedown 0.59 times per 15 min while Genaro Valdez gets a takedown 2.50 times per 15 min. When it comes to striking, Elder lands an average of 3.78 strikes/minute and lands 48% of the strikes that he attempts. The other guy in this fight is Genaro Valdez, who tags the opposition on 32% of the strikes he has attempted and is landing 3.96 per minute.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Carl Deaton is set to encounter Alexander Munoz. Munoz has a mark of 6-2-0. The 33-year-old weighs 155 lbs and stands in at 5'9". The switch fighter has an arm span of 72". Deaton measures in at 5'7" and records a weight of 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon holding a record of 17-6-0 (2 NC). The 33-year-old has a reach of 69". In the category of takedowns, Alexander Munoz is able to thwart 15% of the takedowns fighters have gone for and is scoring a takedown on 39% of his attempts. Deaton is taking his opponents to the mat on 15% of the attempts he tries and is able to defend against 33% of all takedown tries against him. Concerning striking, Munoz is absorbing 5.49 strikes per minute and he dishes out 3.96 per minute. Deaton, in contrast, is absorbing 0.20 strikes per min and is connecting on 0.10 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Melquizael Costa (-225)

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