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Ashlee Evans-Smith vs Ailin Perez Pick, 7/15/2023 Predictions UFC Vegas 77 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 7/10/2023

Ashlee Evans-Smith vs Ailin Perez

UFC Vegas 77

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, July 15, 2023

Ashlee Evans-Smith will face off against Ailin Perez at UFC Vegas 77 on Saturday, July 15, 2023. The moneyline has Evans-Smith priced at +125 while Perez is priced at -150.

Ashlee "Rebel Girl" Evans-Smith will be looking to add a victory to her career total of 6-5-0. The 36-year-old will fight at 135 lbs and measures in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter stretches 67". Ailin "Fiona" Perez comes in at 5'5" and will fight at 135 lbs. The switch fighter will be looking to add a win to her career record of 7-2-0. The 28-year-old extends her reach 66". In terms of significant strikes, Ashlee Evans-Smith lands 4.54 per minute while Ailin Perez is connecting on 1.62 significant strikes per minute. Evans-Smith connects on 34% of the significant strikes she attempts and Perez is connecting on 47%. When it comes to defending in the cage, "Rebel Girl" allows 4.69 significant strikes per minute while "Fiona" takes 1.52. Evans-Smith also prevents 55% of the significant strikes her opponents throw her way while Perez thwarts 31% of the strikes thrown her way.

ufc picks Ashlee Evans-Smith ufc predictions best bet odds

 

UFC Vegas 77 Ashlee Evans-Smith Ailin Perez
Opening Odds +125 -150
Record 6-5-0 7-2-0
Average Fight Time 11:57 9:54
Height 5'8" 5'5"
Weight 135 lbs 135 lbs
Reach 67" 66"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.54 1.62
Striking Accuracy 34% 47%

 

Regarding wrestling, Ashlee Evans-Smith is not as effective of a wrestler as she takes her opponents to the canvas 1.10 times per 15 min. Evans-Smith is getting her opponent to the mat on 23% of her tries and defending 66% of the takedowns her opponents try. Perez is getting her opponent to the mat on 33% of the takedowns she attempts and is stopping 71% of all takedowns attempted by her opposition. When it comes to going for the submission, Evans-Smith is the lesser skilled of the two fighters by going for 0.4 finishes per 3 rds while Perez goes for 0.9 finishes per 15 minutes.

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In her previous bout, Ashlee Evans-Smith squared up with Norma Dumont and ended up walking away in defeat by unanimous decision in round 3. Dumont landed 109 of 178 total strikes attempted in that contest. Evans-Smith ended the night having landed 47 of 169 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Dumont landed 94 of 161, giving her a percentage of 58%. She finished the fight landing 78 of 142 significant strikes directed at the head. Statistically, Evans-Smith landed 25% of her significant strikes by landing 42 of 164. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, she landed 12 of 108 to the head. 75% of the significant strikes landed by Dumont and 88% of them landed by Evans-Smith were done at distance.

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In the last bout for Ailin Perez, she battled Stephanie Egger and was defeated by way of rear naked choke in round 2. Egger ended up landing 33% of her significant strikes at distance and Perez connected on 50% of the significant strikes she tried at a distance. Perez landed 47% of her significant strikes attempted by landing 16 of 34. She ended up landing 7 of 20 significant strikes aimed at the head. Egger connected on 15 of 22 significant strikes in that contest. Of all the significant strikes, she landed 9 of 16 directed at the head. When discussing total strikes thrown, Egger landed 47 of 64 while Perez ended up landing 41 of 61 of all the strikes she attempted.

Other fights to watch

One more match to look forward to is when Viktoriia Dudakova enters the Octagon against Istela Nunes. Dudakova will be looking to add a victory to her total of 6-0-0. The 24-year-old tips the scales at 115 lbs and measures in at 5'5". The orthodox fighter reaches 67". Nunes stands 5'4" and will fight at 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon holding a record of 6-4-0 (1 NC). The 30-year-old extends her reach 66". In the grappling category, Viktoriia Dudakova is able to score a takedown 4.00 times per 15 min while Istela Nunes takes her opponents to the canvas 0.80 times per 15 min. When it comes to striking, Dudakova lands 1.27 strikes/minute and connects on 73% out of all the strikes she attempts. On the other side of the cage we have Istela Nunes, who is landing 45% of the strikes she has attempted and is connecting on 5.05 per min.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when JunYong Park is set to go up against Albert Duraev. Duraev steps into the cage with a mark of 16-4-0. The 34-year-old steps on the scale at 185 lbs and measures 5'11". The orthodox fighter reaches 75". Park measures in at 5'10" and steps on the scale at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his career total of 16-5-0. The 32-year-old extends his reach 73". Concerning grappling, Albert Duraev deflects 50% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is taking his opponents to the mat on 27% of the times he tries. Park is finishing his takedowns on 51% of his attempts and thwarts 70% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. With reference to striking, Duraev absorbs 2.53 strikes/minute and he dishes out 2.94 strikes per minute. Park, notwithstanding, takes 3.71 strikes/minute and is dealing 4.92 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Ashlee Evans-Smith (+125)

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