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Ariane Lipski vs Melissa Gatto Pick, 7/1/2023 Predictions UFC Vegas 76 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 6/26/2023

Ariane Lipski vs Melissa Gatto

UFC Vegas 76

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, July 1, 2023

Ariane Lipski will face off against Melissa Gatto at UFC Vegas 76 on Saturday, July 1, 2023. The line has Lipski priced at +150 while Gatto is coming in at -200.

Ariane "Queen of Violence" Lipski walks into the Octagon with a mark of 15-8-0. The 29-year-old is fighting at 125 lbs and measures 5'6". The orthodox fighter reaches 67". Melissa Gatto stands 5'5" and weighs in at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage with a record of 8-1-2. The 27-year-old stretches 69". Concerning significant strikes, Ariane Lipski lands 3.86 per minute and Melissa Gatto is connecting on 3.27 significant strikes per min. Lipski connects on 39% of the significant strikes she attempts while Gatto is connecting on 51%. In terms of the fighter's defense, "Queen of Violence" takes 3.97 significant strikes per min and Gatto allows 2.60. Lipski also deflects 51% of the significant strikes her opponents attempt and Gatto prevents 53% of the strikes thrown her way.

ufc picks Ariane Lipski ufc predictions best bet odds

 

UFC Vegas 76 Ariane Lipski Melissa Gatto
Opening Odds +150 -200
Record 15-8-0 8-1-2
Average Fight Time 10:44 11:55
Height 5'6" 5'5"
Weight 125 lbs 125 lbs
Reach 67" 69"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.86 3.27
Striking Accuracy 39% 51%

 

In terms of wrestling, Ariane Lipski is the lesser skilled grappler as she takes her opponents to the canvas 0.47 times per 15 minutes. Lipski is getting her opponent to the mat on 42% of her tries and stopping 73% of all takedowns attempted by her opposition. Gatto is getting her opponent to the mat on 33% of her takedown tries and defending 70% of the attempts against her. In terms of going for the submission, Lipski is the lesser skilled fighter by attempting 0.3 subs per 3 rds while Gatto looks to get 0.4 subs per 15 minutes.

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In her last bout, Ariane Lipski squared up with JJ Aldrich and ended up getting the victory by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Aldrich ended up landing 56 of 106 total strikes that she threw in that contest. Lipski ended the night having landed 113 of 216 total strikes. In regard to significant strikes, Aldrich landed 49 of 99, which gave her a rate of 49%. She landed 42 of 92 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Lipski landed 49% of her significant strikes by sticking 101 of 204. Out of those significant strikes, she connected on 47 of 134 to the head. 91% of the significant strikes landed by Aldrich and 76% of them landed by Lipski were tallied at a distance.

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In the last fight for Melissa Gatto, she went up against Tracy Cortez and wound up walking away in defeat by unanimous decision in round 3. Cortez ended up connecting on 38% of her significant strikes at distance while Gatto landed 90% of her significant strikes at distance. Gatto landed 41% of the significant strikes she attempted by landing 30 of 73. She landed 25 of 61 significant strikes aimed at the head. Cortez ended up landing 36 of 66 significant strikes in that contest. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, she connected on 25 of 51 to the head. Discussing the total strikes thrown in this fight, Cortez ended up connecting on 70 of 102 and Gatto was 49 of 95 of all the strikes she attempted.

Other bouts to watch out for

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Sean Strickland enters the Octagon with Abus Magomedov. Strickland steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 26-5-0. The 32-year-old is weighing in at 185 lbs and measures in at 6'1". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 76". Magomedov comes in at 6'2" and steps on the scale at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his career total of 25-4-1. The 32-year-old has a reach of 78". When it comes to grappling, Sean Strickland gets his opposition to the mat 1.04 times per 15 min and Abus Magomedov takes his opponents to the canvas 0.60 times per 15 minutes. In the striking category, Strickland connects on 5.76 strikes/min and connects on 41% of his attempted strikes. Joining him in the Octagon is Abus Magomedov, who tags the opposition on 100% of his attempted strikes and connects for an average of 22.11 per min.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Grant Dawson is set to enter the Octagon with Damir Ismagulov. Ismagulov holds a record of 24-2-0. The 32-year-old steps on the scale at 155 lbs and measures in at 5'10". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 74". Dawson comes in at 5'10" and steps on the scale at 155 lbs. The switch fighter looks to add a win to his career record of 19-1-1. The 29-year-old extends his reach 72". In the category of takedowns, Damir Ismagulov is preventing 75% of the takedowns his opponents try and is taking his opponents to the canvas on 28% of the times he tries. Dawson is finishing his takedown tries on 34% of his tries and is able to stop 40% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. In the matter of striking, Ismagulov is taking 2.51 strikes/minute and he is landing 3.78 per minute. Dawson, notwithstanding, is taking 2.41 strikes per minute and dishes out 3.12 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Ariane Lipski (+150)

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