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Anthony Smith vs Khalil Rountree Jr. Pick, 12/9/2023 Predictions UFC Vegas 83 Odds

by Tony Sink - 12/6/2023

Anthony Smith vs Khalil Rountree Jr.

UFC Vegas 83

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, December 9, 2023

Anthony Smith will battle Khalil Rountree Jr. at UFC Vegas 83 on Saturday, December 9, 2023. The opening moneyline has Smith priced at +195 while Jr. is priced at -238.

Anthony "Lionheart" Smith will be looking to add a victory to his record of 37-18-0. The 35-year-old steps on the scale at 205 lbs and stands in at 6'4". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 76". Khalil Rountree comes in at 6'1" and is fighting at 205 lbs. The southpaw fighter holds a career record of 13-5-0 (1 NC). The 33-year-old extends his reach 76". In the category of significant strikes, Anthony Smith is connecting on 3.16 per min while Khalil Rountree Jr. connects on 3.73 significant strikes per minute. Smith connects on 48% of the significant strikes he tries and Rountree Jr. lands 38%. When it comes to defending in the cage, "Lionheart" takes 4.45 significant strikes per min and Rountree takes 4.16. Smith also stops 46% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him while Rountree Jr. stops 50% of the shots thrown his way.

ufc picks Anthony Smith ufc predictions best bet odds

 

UFC Vegas 83 Anthony Smith Khalil Rountree Jr.
Opening Odds +195 -238
Record 37-18-0 13-5-0 (1 NC)
Average Fight Time 9:55 7:37
Height 6'4" 6'1"
Weight 205 lbs 205 lbs
Reach 76" 76"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.16 3.73
Striking Accuracy 48% 38%

 

Regarding grappling, Anthony Smith is the better wrestler as he takes his opponents down 0.52 times per 15 minutes. Smith is scoring a takedown on 28% of his attempts and stuffing 48% of all takedowns attempted on him. Rountree Jr. is taking his opponents to the canvas on 15% of the takedowns he tries and is stopping 56% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Regarding going for the sub, Smith is the more apt fighter by trying 0.7 submissions per 3 rds while Rountree Jr. looks to get 0.1 submissions per 3 rounds.

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In his last fight, Anthony Smith fought Ryan Spann and wound up getting the victory by split decision in round 3. Spann ended up landing 62 of 191 total strikes attempted in that contest. Smith ended the night having landed 91 of 147 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Spann ended up landing 59 of 187, which gave him a rate of 31%. He landed 39 of 158 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side, Smith landed 61% of his significant strikes by sticking 91 of 147. Out of those significant strikes, he connected on 44 of 92 aimed at the head. 84% of the significant strikes landed by Spann and 98% of them landed by Smith were done at a distance.

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In the last Octagon appearance for Khalil Rountree Jr., he went up against Chris Daukaus and took home the win by way of a punch to the head in round 1. Daukaus landed 87% of his significant strikes at distance and Jr. connected on 68% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Jr. ended up landing 66% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 16 of 24. He ended up landing 12 of 19 significant strikes to the head. Daukaus ended up landing 8 of 21 significant strikes in that fight. Of those significant strikes, he connected on 6 of 19 to the head. Regarding total strikes that he let go in that fight, Daukaus landed 14 of 28 and Jr. connected on 16 of 24 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other bouts on the card to watch

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Su Mudaerji faces off with Allan Nascimento. Mudaerji walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 16-5-0. The 27-year-old tips the scales at 125 lbs and stands in at 5'8". The southpaw fighter has a wingspan of 72". Nascimento stands 5'8" and weighs in at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his total of 20-6-0. The 32-year-old stretches 69". When it comes to grappling, Su Mudaerji is able to score a takedown 0.32 times per 3 rounds and Allan Nascimento is averaging a takedown 1.55 times per 15 min. In terms of striking, Mudaerji connects for an average of 4.83 strikes/min and lands 54% of his attempted strikes. Joining him in the Octagon is Allan Nascimento, who is landing 61% of the strikes he has tried and is landing 3.21 per minute.

Another bout to watch is when Jamie Mullarkey is set to encounter Nasrat Haqparast. Haqparast will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 15-5-0. The 28-year-old is weighing in at 155 lbs and measures in at 5'10". The southpaw fighter extends his reach 72". Mullarkey stands 6'0" and weighs 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career mark of 17-6-0. The 29-year-old extends his reach 74". Regarding wrestling, Nasrat Haqparast is able to defend against 78% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is taking his opponents to the mat on 20% of his tries. Mullarkey is taking his opponents down on 34% of the attempts he tries and prevents 76% of takedowns his opponents have tried. With regard to striking, Haqparast takes 5.26 strikes/min and he is landing 5.73 strikes/min. Mullarkey, at the same time, absorbs 4.41 strikes per minute and connects on 4.46 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Khalil Rountree Jr. (-238)

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