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Andrei Arlovski vs Don'Tale Mayes Pick, 6/3/2023 Predictions UFC Vegas 74 Odds

by Tony Sink - 5/30/2023

Andrei Arlovski vs Don'Tale Mayes

UFC Vegas 74

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, June 3, 2023

Andrei Arlovski will face off against Don'Tale Mayes at UFC Vegas 74 on Saturday, June 3, 2023. The opener has Arlovski coming in at +100 while Mayes is priced at -120.

Andrei "The Pitbull" Arlovski comes into this fight with a record of 34-21-0 (2 NC). The 44-year-old steps on the scale at 240 lbs and measures 6'3". The orthodox fighter reaches 77". Don'Tale "Lord Kong" Mayes stands in at 6'6" and weighs in at 260 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a mark of 9-5-0 (1 NC). The 31-year-old extends his reach 81". Regarding significant strikes, Andrei Arlovski is landing 3.79 per min and Don'Tale Mayes connects on 3.41 significant strikes per min. Arlovski is landing 45% of the significant strikes he tries while Mayes is landing 45%. When it comes to defending themselves, "The Pitbull" allows 3.20 significant strikes per minute while "Lord Kong" allows 3.80. Arlovski also curbs 57% of the significant strikes that are directed at him and Mayes deflects 43% of the strikes thrown in his direction.

ufc picks Andrei Arlovski predictions best bet odds

 

UFC Vegas 74 Andrei Arlovski Don'Tale Mayes
Opening Odds +100 -120
Record 34-21-0 (2 NC) 9-5-0 (1 NC)
Average Fight Time 9:10 12:09
Height 6'3" 6'6"
Weight 240 lbs 260 lbs
Reach 77" 81"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.79 3.41
Striking Accuracy 45% 45%

 

Concerning takedowns, Andrei Arlovski is not as efficient of a grappler as he scores a takedown 0.40 times per 3 rds. Arlovski is getting his opponent to the mat on 36% of the times he tries and stopping 76% of all takedowns attempted on him. Mayes is finishing his takedowns on 50% of his takedown tries and thwarting 56% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Regarding going for the sub, Arlovski is not as skilled of a technician by going for 0.2 submissions per 15 minutes while Mayes attempts 0.4 submissions per 15 minutes.

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The last time he fought, Andrei Arlovski faced Marcos Rogerio de Lima and wound up losing the fight by rear naked choke in round 1. Lima ended up landing 25 of 33 total strikes that he let go in that contest. Arlovski finished this fight landing 3 of 6 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Lima landed 6 of 11, which gave him a rate of 54%. He finished the fight landing 3 of 8 significant strikes directed at the head. Statistically, Arlovski ended up landing 40% of his significant strikes by sticking 2 of 5. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he was 1 of 3 aimed at the head. 83% of the significant strikes landed by Lima and 100% of them landed by Arlovski were done at a distance.

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In the last bout for Don'Tale Mayes, he faced off with Augusto Sakai and wound up losing the fight by unanimous decision in round 3. Sakai connected on 39% of his significant strikes at distance and Mayes landed 82% of his significant strikes at distance. Mayes landed 46% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 29 of 62. He landed 15 of 46 significant strikes to the head. Sakai landed 53 of 95 significant strikes in that contest. Out of those significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 27 of 65 directed at the head. In relation to total strikes thrown in that contest, Sakai ended up landing 107 of 173 and Mayes landed 77 of 121 total strikes.

Other bouts on the card to watch

One more match to look forward to is when Daniel Santos encounters Johnny Munoz. Santos has a career mark of 11-2-0. The 28-year-old will fight at 135 lbs and comes in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 67". Munoz stands 5'9" and weighs 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his career total of 12-2-0. The 30-year-old has a wingspan of 71". In terms of takedowns, Daniel Santos gets a takedown 1.23 times per 15 minutes and Johnny Munoz is able to score a takedown 2.32 times per 3 rounds. In the striking category, Santos connects on 4.82 strikes per minute and is landing 32% out of all the strikes he attempts. The other fighter in this bout is Johnny Munoz, who lands 37% of the strikes that he throws and lands 3.69 per min.

Another must see fight on the night is when Luan Lacerda is set to battle Da'Mon Blackshear. Blackshear walks into the cage holding a mark of 12-5-1. The 28-year-old steps on the scale at 135 lbs and measures in at 5'10". The switch fighter extends his reach 72". Lacerda comes in at 5'7" and will fight at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a record of 12-2-0. The 30-year-old reaches 71". Regarding wrestling, Da'Mon Blackshear is stopping 42% of the takedowns fighters have attempted and is taking his opponents to the mat on 18% of the times he tries. Lacerda is finishing his takedown tries on 25% of the attempts he tries and thwarts 100% of takedowns his opponents have tried. With reference to striking, Blackshear absorbs 4.03 strikes/min while he is landing 2.43 per minute. Lacerda, on the other side, is taking 6.87 strikes/min and is landing 5.33 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Andrei Arlovski (+100)

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