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Alexander Volkanovski vs Yair Rodriguez Pick, 7/8/2023 Predictions UFC 290 Odds

by Tony Sink - 7/3/2023

Alexander Volkanovski vs Yair Rodriguez

UFC 290

T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, July 8, 2023

Alexander Volkanovski will battle Yair Rodriguez at UFC 290 on Saturday, July 8, 2023. The odds have Volkanovski priced at -420 while Rodriguez is priced at +310.

Alexander "The Great" Volkanovski looks to add a win to his record of 25-2-0. The 34-year-old weighs 145 lbs and comes in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter reaches 71". Yair "El Pantera" Rodriguez measures 5'11" and records a weight of 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career record of 16-3-0 (1 NC). The 30-year-old reaches 71". When talking about significant strikes, Alexander Volkanovski lands 6.35 per min while Yair Rodriguez is connecting on 4.78 significant strikes per min. Volkanovski lands 56% of the significant strikes he attempts while Rodriguez is connecting on 46%. When it comes to defending themselves, "The Great" absorbs 3.40 significant strikes per min and "El Pantera" takes 4.03. Volkanovski also thwarts 59% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way and Rodriguez is able to curb 53% of the strikes thrown his way.

ufc picks Alexander Volkanovski predictions best bet odds

 

UFC 290 Alexander Volkanovski Yair Rodriguez
Opening Odds -420 +310
Record 25-2-0 16-3-0 (1 NC)
Average Fight Time 17:28 13:11
Height 5'6" 5'11"
Weight 145 lbs 145 lbs
Reach 71" 71"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 6.35 4.78
Striking Accuracy 56% 46%

 

When it comes to grappling, Alexander Volkanovski is the more productive grappler as he takes his opponents to the mat 1.52 times per 15 minutes. Volkanovski is getting his opponent to the mat on 34% of his attempts and stopping 69% of all takedown attempts. Rodriguez is finishing his takedown tries on 28% of the takedowns he attempts and stopping 63% of all takedowns attempted on him. When it comes to going for the submission, Volkanovski is less likely to go for the finish by trying 0.2 subs per 15 min while Rodriguez looks to get 0.8 subs per 3 rds.

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In his previous bout, Alexander Volkanovski went up against Islam Makhachev and walked away in defeat by way of unanimous decision in round 5. Makhachev landed 95 of 135 total strikes attempted in that fight. Volkanovski finished this fight landing 164 of 255 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Makhachev ended up landing 57 of 95, giving him a percentage of 60%. He ended up landing 36 of 72 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Volkanovski landed 48% of his significant strikes by connecting on 70 of 143. Out of those significant strikes, he was 37 of 96 to the head. 78% of the significant strikes connected on by Makhachev and 82% of them landed by Volkanovski were thrown at a distance.

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In the last fight for Yair Rodriguez, he squared up with Josh Emmett and wound up getting the win via a triangle choke in round 2. Emmett landed 59% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Rodriguez landed 75% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Rodriguez connected on 57% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 62 of 107. He landed 36 of 76 significant strikes aimed at the head. Emmett landed 22 of 52 significant strikes in that fight. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he connected on 17 of 44 aimed at the head. In relation to total strikes thrown in that contest, Emmett ended up connecting on 35 of 72 while Rodriguez ended up connecting on 98 of 143 of all the strikes he threw.

Other fights on the card to watch

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Brandon Moreno meets Alexandre Pantoja. Moreno walks into the cage holding a mark of 21-6-2. The 29-year-old weighs in at 125 lbs and measures in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 70". Pantoja measures in at 5'5" and is fighting at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his record of 25-5-0. The 33-year-old has an arm span of 67". Regarding grappling, Brandon Moreno gets a takedown 1.80 times per 3 rds while Alexandre Pantoja takes his opponents down 1.37 times per 3 rds. When it comes to striking, Moreno lands an average of 3.55 strikes/min and connecting on 40% of the strikes that he attempts. On the other side we have Alexandre Pantoja, who tags his opponent on 48% of the strikes that he throws and connects on 4.25 per min.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Dricus Du Plessis is set to go up against Robert Whittaker. Whittaker steps into the cage with a record of 25-6-0. The 32-year-old is weighing in at 185 lbs and measures in at 6'0". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 73". Du Plessis stands in at 6'1" and will fight at 185 lbs. The switch fighter steps into the cage with a mark of 19-2-0. The 29-year-old has an arm span of 76". In terms of wrestling, Robert Whittaker thwarts 84% of his opponents' takedown tries and is finishing his takedown tries on 37% of the times he tries. Du Plessis is taking his opponents to the mat on 47% of the attempts he tries and prevents 50% of all takedown tries against him. Concerning striking, Whittaker is absorbing 3.26 strikes/minute while he lands 4.48 strikes per min. Du Plessis, on the contrary, absorbs 3.73 strikes per minute and is dishing out 6.72 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Alexander Volkanovski (-420)

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