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Alexander Hernandez vs Bill Algeo Pick, 10/7/2023 Predictions UFC Vegas 80 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 10/2/2023

Alexander Hernandez vs Bill Algeo

UFC Vegas 80

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, October 7, 2023

Alexander Hernandez will face off against Bill Algeo at UFC Vegas 80 on Saturday, October 7, 2023. The opening moneyline has Hernandez priced at +114 while Algeo is priced at -135.

Alexander "The Great Ape" Hernandez looks to add a win to his record of 14-6-0. The 31-year-old weighs 145 lbs and measures in at 5'9". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 72". Bill "Senor Perfecto" Algeo comes in at 6'0" and records a weight of 145 lbs. The switch fighter holds a record of 17-7-0. The 34-year-old has a reach of 73". Concerning significant strikes, Alexander Hernandez is connecting on 4.57 per minute while Bill Algeo lands 5.93 significant strikes per minute. Hernandez is connecting on 40% of the significant strikes he tries and Algeo connects on 53%. When it comes to the fighter's defense, "The Great Ape" takes 4.53 significant strikes per minute while "Senor Perfecto" absorbs 4.32. Hernandez also stops 56% of the significant strikes that are directed at him while Algeo is able to curb 46% of the shots thrown.

ufc picks Alexander Hernandez predictions best bet odds

 

UFC Vegas 80 Alexander Hernandez Bill Algeo
Opening Odds +114 -135
Record 14-6-0 17-7-0
Average Fight Time 8:54 12:56
Height 5'9" 6'0"
Weight 145 lbs 145 lbs
Reach 72" 73"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.57 5.93
Striking Accuracy 40% 53%

 

Regarding grappling, Alexander Hernandez is the more efficient grappler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 1.38 times per 15 min. Hernandez is getting his opponent to the mat on 32% of his tries and is stuffing 63% of the takedowns his opponents try. Algeo is taking his opponents down on 42% of his takedown attempts and stuffing 55% of the attempts against him. Regarding going for the sub, Hernandez is the more capable fighter by going for 0.5 submissions per 3 rds while Algeo tries 0.1 submissions per 3 rds.

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The last time he fought, Alexander Hernandez fought Jim Miller and got a win for the night by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Miller ended up landing 68 of 186 total strikes that he let go in that fight. Hernandez walked away from this fight having landed 111 of 238 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Miller landed 67 of 185, giving him a percentage of 36%. He finished the fight landing 32 of 137 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side, Hernandez ended up landing 46% of his significant strikes by landing 108 of 234. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he was 62 of 169 pointed at the head. 95% of the significant strikes connected on by Miller and 90% of them connected on by Hernandez were tallied at distance.

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In the last bout for Bill Algeo, he went up against TJ Brown and ended up getting the victory by rear naked choke in round 2. Brown connected on 71% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Algeo landed 75% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Algeo ended up landing 58% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 64 of 110. He ended up connecting on 44 of 81 significant strikes directed at the head. Brown landed 46 of 91 significant strikes in that contest. Of those significant strikes, he landed 34 of 78 directed at the head. Regarding total strikes thrown in that contest, Brown ended up connecting on 49 of 94 while Algeo ended up landing 77 of 123 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other bouts to watch

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Chris Gutierrez opposes Montel Jackson. Gutierrez walks into the Octagon with a record of 19-5-2. The 32-year-old records a weight of 135 lbs and stands in at 5'9". The orthodox fighter reaches 67". Jackson comes in at 5'10" and weighs 135 lbs. The southpaw fighter has a mark of 13-2-0. The 31-year-old has a reach of 75". When it comes to grappling, Chris Gutierrez gets his opposition to the mat 0.38 times per 3 rounds while Montel Jackson is averaging a takedown 3.42 times per 3 rounds. When talking about striking, Gutierrez tags his opponents 4.75 strikes per minute and connecting on 58% of the strikes that he attempts. The other guy in this fight is Montel Jackson, who tags the opposition on 53% of the strikes he has tried and connects on 3.36 per min.

Another must see fight on the night is when Johnny Munoz is set to enter the Octagon with Qileng Aori. Aori will be looking to add a win to his record of 24-10-0. The 30-year-old is weighing in at 135 lbs and measures 5'7". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 69". Munoz comes in at 5'9" and weighs in at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 12-3-0. The 30-year-old reaches 71". Regarding wrestling, Qileng Aori thwarts 55% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is finishing his takedown attempts on 45% of his attempts. Munoz is finishing his takedowns on 21% of his attempts and is able to defend against 42% of takedowns his opponents have tried. In the matter of striking, Aori takes 7.12 strikes/minute and he dishes out 6.04 strikes/min. Munoz, on the other hand, is absorbing 2.59 strikes per minute and is dealing 3.00 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Bill Algeo (-135)

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