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Alexa Grasso vs Valentina Shevchenko Pick, 9/16/2023 Predictions Noche UFC Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 9/11/2023

Alexa Grasso vs Valentina Shevchenko

Noche UFC

T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, September 16, 2023

Alexa Grasso will face off with Valentina Shevchenko at Noche UFC on Saturday, September 16, 2023. The moneyline has Grasso at +154 while Shevchenko is coming in at -185.

Alexa Grasso steps into the Octagon with a record of 16-3-0. The 30-year-old weighs in at 125 lbs and stands in at 5'5". The orthodox fighter reaches 66". Valentina "Bullet" Shevchenko measures in at 5'5" and is fighting at 125 lbs. The southpaw fighter has a career mark of 23-4-0. The 35-year-old extends her reach 66". When talking about significant strikes, Alexa Grasso is landing 4.88 per min while Valentina Shevchenko is connecting on 3.29 significant strikes per min. Grasso connects on 43% of the significant strikes she tries while Shevchenko is connecting on 53%. Regarding defending in the Octagon, Grasso allows 4.07 significant strikes per min while "Bullet" allows 1.99. Grasso also stops 59% of the significant strikes her opponents throw her way while Shevchenko thwarts 63% of the shots thrown in her direction.

ufc picks Alexa Grasso ufc predictions best bet odds

 

Noche UFC Alexa Grasso Valentina Shevchenko
Opening Odds +154 -185
Record 16-3-0 23-4-0
Average Fight Time 14:12 17:29
Height 5'5" 5'5"
Weight 125 lbs 125 lbs
Reach 66" 66"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.88 3.29
Striking Accuracy 43% 53%

 

When it comes to grappling, Alexa Grasso is not as efficient of a grappler as she takes her opponents to the mat 0.38 times per 15 min. Grasso is getting her opponent to the mat on 44% of the times she tries and defending 61% of the takedowns her opponents try. Shevchenko is getting her opponent to the mat on 64% of her takedown tries and is stuffing 72% of all takedowns attempted on her. In terms of subbing the opposition, Grasso is the more capable fighter by attempting 0.6 finishes per 15 min while Shevchenko goes for 0.3 finishes per 3 rds.

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In her previous bout, Alexa Grasso fought Valentina Shevchenko and wound up taking home the win via rear naked choke in round 4. Shevchenko ended up landing 167 of 228 total strikes that she let go. Grasso walked away from this fight having landed 182 of 308 total strikes. In regard to significant strikes, Shevchenko ended up landing 87 of 145, which gave her a percentage of 60%. She finished the fight landing 68 of 121 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Grasso ended up landing 32% of her significant strikes by landing 59 of 181. Of those significant strikes, she connected on 31 of 137 aimed at the head. 91% of the significant strikes connected on by Shevchenko and 84% of them connected on by Grasso were thrown at distance.

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In the last bout for Valentina Shevchenko, she battled Alexa Grasso and walked away with a loss via rear naked choke in round 4. Grasso connected on 84% of the significant strikes she tried at a distance while Shevchenko ended up landing 91% of the significant strikes she took from distance. Shevchenko ended up landing 60% of her significant strikes attempted by landing 87 of 145. She ended up connecting on 68 of 121 significant strikes directed at the head. Grasso connected on 59 of 181 significant strikes in that battle. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, she landed 31 of 137 aimed at the head. In terms of the total strikes thrown in this fight, Grasso connected on 182 of 308 and Shevchenko ended up connecting on 167 of 228 total strikes.

Other bouts to keep an eye on

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Loopy Godinez faces off against Elise Reed. Godinez steps into the cage with a mark of 10-3-0. The 30-year-old records a weight of 115 lbs and measures in at 5'2". The orthodox fighter stretches 61". Reed measures 5'3" and tips the scales at 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a mark of 7-3-0. The 30-year-old reaches 63". In the grappling category, Loopy Godinez takes her opponents to the mat 3.43 times per 3 rds and Elise Reed takes her opponents to the mat 0.66 times per 3 rds. Regarding striking, Godinez connects on 4.16 strikes/min and landing 49% out of all the strikes she attempts. On the other side of the cage we have Elise Reed, who is landing 50% of the strikes she attempts and is connecting on 2.95 per min.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Jasmine Jasudavicius is set to enter the Octagon with Tracy Cortez. Cortez looks to add a victory to her career total of 10-1-0. The 29-year-old steps on the scale at 125 lbs and measures 5'5". The orthodox fighter extends her reach 65". Jasudavicius stands 5'7" and steps on the scale at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to her total of 9-2-0. The 34-year-old extends her reach 68". Concerning wrestling, Tracy Cortez stops 71% of the takedowns her opponents go for and is getting her opponent to the mat on 48% of the times she tries. Jasudavicius is finishing her takedown tries on 44% of her tries and is able to stop 78% of all takedown attempts. In the category of striking, Cortez is taking 2.32 strikes/minute while she lands 3.56 per min. Jasudavicius, moreover, is taking 3.92 strikes per minute and is connecting on 3.23 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Alexa Grasso (+154)

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