Alex Perez vs Manel Kape Pick, 3/25/2023 Predictions UFC San Antonio Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 3/21/2023

Alex Perez vs Manel Kape

UFC San Antonio

AT&T Center in San Antonio, TX

Saturday, March 25, 2023

Alex Perez will enter the Octagon against Manel Kape at UFC San Antonio on Saturday, March 25, 2023. The moneyline has Perez priced at +165 while Kape is coming in at -200.

Alex Perez looks to add a victory to his career total of 24-7-0. The 30-year-old tips the scales at 125 lbs and measures in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter reaches 65". Manel "StarBoy" Kape stands 5'5" and weighs in at 125 lbs. The southpaw fighter steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 18-6-0. The 29-year-old has an arm span of 68". Concerning significant strikes, Alex Perez is connecting on 4.67 per minute while Manel Kape lands 4.46 significant strikes per min. Perez connects on 48% of the significant strikes he attempts while Kape is landing 52%. When it comes to defending in the Octagon, Perez absorbs 3.14 significant strikes per min and "StarBoy" absorbs 3.92. Perez also thwarts 60% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction and Kape is able to thwart 54% of the strikes thrown his way.

ufc picks Alex Perez predictions best bet odds

UFC San Antonio	Alex Perez	Manel Kape
Opening Odds	+165	-200
Record	24-7-0	18-6-0
Average Fight Time	5:48	10:45
Height	5'6"	5'5"
Weight	125 lbs	125 lbs
Reach	65"	68"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	4.67	4.46
Striking Accuracy	48%	52%

When it comes to grappling, Alex Perez is the more efficient wrestler as he is averaging a takedown 2.84 times per 15 min. Perez is getting his opponent to the mat on 44% of his tries and is stopping 77% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Kape is scoring a takedown on 28% of his takedown attempts and stuffing 69% of the attempts against him. When it comes to submissions, Perez is the more capable of the two fighters by attempting 1.3 finishes per 3 rds while Kape tries 0.6 finishes per 3 rounds.

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The last time he fought, Alex Perez fought Alexandre Pantoja and was on the losing end of this fight by way of a neck crank in round 1. Pantoja landed 8 of 12 total strikes that he let go. Perez ended the night having landed 10 of 14 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Pantoja landed 8 of 12, which means his percentage was 66%. He ended up landing 7 of 11 significant strikes to the head. On the other side, Perez ended up landing 71% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 10 of 14. Out of those significant strikes, he was 9 of 13 pointed at the head. 87% of the significant strikes connected on by Pantoja and 100% of them landed by Perez were done at distance.

In the last fight for Manel Kape, he faced off with David Dvorak and ended up winning this fight by unanimous decision in round 3. Dvorak landed 93% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Kape connected on 75% of his significant strikes at distance. Kape ended up connecting on 48% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 58 of 119. He ended up connecting on 33 of 85 significant strikes directed at the head. Dvorak ended up landing 33 of 94 significant strikes in that fight. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he ended up connecting on 17 of 68 aimed at the head. When discussing total strikes that he let go, Dvorak connected on 55 of 122 and Kape ended up landing 67 of 136 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights to watch out for

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Chidi Njokuani goes up against Albert Duraev. Njokuani comes into this bout with a mark of 22-8-0 (1 NC). The 34-year-old records a weight of 185 lbs and stands 6'3". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 80". Duraev measures 5'11" and steps on the scale at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a record of 15-4-0. The 34-year-old stretches 75". In the grappling category, Chidi Njokuani gets his opposition to the mat 0.40 times per 3 rounds while Albert Duraev scores a takedown 2.11 times per 3 rounds. When talking about striking, Njokuani connects on 4.28 strikes per min and is landing 72% out of all the strikes he attempts. The other fighter in this bout is Albert Duraev, who tags the opposition on 43% of the strikes he attempts and connects for an average of 2.91 per minute.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Tucker Lutz is set to square up in the Octagon with Daniel Pineda. Pineda walks into the cage with a record of 27-14-0 (3 NC). The 37-year-old is weighing in at 145 lbs and stands in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 69". Lutz stands 5'8" and records a weight of 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a record of 12-2-0. The 28-year-old extends his reach 72". Concerning grappling, Daniel Pineda is thwarting 42% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is taking his opponents to the canvas on 22% of the times he tries. Lutz is finishing his takedown tries on 66% of the tries he takes and is able to defend against 70% of the takedowns his opponents try. With reference to striking, Pineda is absorbing 2.97 strikes/min while he is dishing out 3.35 strikes per minute. Lutz, moreover, is taking 3.02 strikes per minute and is connecting on 4.10 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Alex Perez (+165)

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Alex Perez vs Manel Kape Pick, 3/25/2023 Predictions UFC San Antonio Odds

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