Alex Caceres vs Daniel Pineda Pick, 6/3/2023 Predictions UFC Vegas 74 Odds

Alex Caceres vs Daniel Pineda

UFC Vegas 74

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, June 3, 2023

Alex Caceres will battle Daniel Pineda at UFC Vegas 74 on Saturday, June 3, 2023. The odds have Caceres priced at -175 while Pineda is coming in at +145.

Alex "Bruce Leeroy" Caceres has a record of 20-13-0 (1 NC). The 34-year-old is weighing in at 145 lbs and stands 5'10". The southpaw fighter stretches 73". Daniel "The Pit" Pineda measures 5'7" and weighs 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a mark of 28-14-0 (3 NC). The 37-year-old stretches 69". In the category of significant strikes, Alex Caceres is connecting on 4.16 per minute and Daniel Pineda connects on 3.32 significant strikes per min. Caceres is connecting on 51% of the significant strikes he attempts and Pineda is landing 49%. Regarding defending in the cage, "Bruce Leeroy" absorbs 2.92 significant strikes per minute and "The Pit" takes 3.03. Caceres also curbs 64% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt and Pineda curbs 48% of the shots thrown his way.

In terms of wrestling, Alex Caceres is the lesser skilled wrestler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 0.57 times per 15 minutes. Caceres is getting his opponent to the mat on 70% of the times he tries and stuffing 64% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Pineda is scoring a takedown on 24% of the takedowns he attempts and stopping 48% of the attempts against him. When it comes to submission attempts, Caceres is the lesser skilled fighter by attempting 0.8 subs per 3 rounds while Pineda attempts 1.8 subs per 3 rds.

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In his previous bout, Alex Caceres fought Julian Erosa and ended up getting the victory by way of a kick to the head in round 1. Erosa landed 10 of 22 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Caceres finished this fight landing 16 of 30 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Erosa landed 10 of 22, which gave him a rate of 45%. He landed 2 of 11 significant strikes directed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Caceres landed 53% of his significant strikes by sticking 16 of 30. Out of those significant strikes, he connected on 9 of 19 to the head. 100% of the significant strikes landed by Erosa and 81% of them landed by Caceres were tallied at distance.

In the last bout for Daniel Pineda, he fought Tucker Lutz and wound up taking home the win via guillotine choke in round 2. Lutz ended up connecting on 78% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Pineda connected on 91% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Pineda connected on 53% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 24 of 45. He landed 10 of 24 significant strikes directed at the head. Lutz connected on 28 of 78 significant strikes in that contest. Out of those significant strikes, he landed 17 of 61 to the head. In terms of total strikes thrown in that contest, Lutz connected on 33 of 84 and Pineda landed 41 of 66 of all the strikes he threw.

Other bouts to watch out for

One more match to look forward to is when Jim Miller enters the Octagon with Jared Gordon. Miller comes into this bout with a record of 35-17-0 (1 NC). The 39-year-old is fighting at 155 lbs and measures in at 5'8". The southpaw fighter has an arm span of 71". Gordon stands 5'9" and weighs 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon holding a record of 19-6-0 (1 NC). The 34-year-old extends his reach 68". Regarding grappling, Jim Miller takes his opponents to the mat 1.56 times per 15 minutes while Jared Gordon takes his opponents to the mat 2.01 times per 15 min. When it comes to striking, Miller is connecting on 2.85 strikes per minute and landing 41% of his attempted strikes. On the other side of the cage you've got Jared Gordon, who lands 57% of the strikes that he throws and connects for an average of 5.32 per min.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Victor Altamirano is set to square up in the Octagon with Tim Elliott. Elliott walks into the cage with a record of 19-12-1. The 36-year-old will fight at 125 lbs and measures in at 5'7". The southpaw fighter extends his reach 66". Altamirano measures in at 5'8" and records a weight of 125 lbs. The switch fighter looks to add a win to his total of 12-2-0. The 32-year-old has an arm span of 70". In terms of grappling, Tim Elliott deflects 61% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is scoring a takedown on 44% of the times he tries. Altamirano is finishing his takedown tries on 23% of his attempts and is able to deflect 74% of all takedown tries against him. With regard to striking, Elliott absorbs 2.86 strikes/minute and he is dealing 3.58 strikes/minute. Altamirano, notwithstanding, absorbs 4.65 strikes/min and lands 6.15 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Daniel Pineda (+145)

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