Abubakar Nurmagomedov vs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos Pick, 6/3/2023 Predictions UFC Vegas 74 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 5/30/2023

Abubakar Nurmagomedov vs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

UFC Vegas 74

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, June 3, 2023

Abubakar Nurmagomedov will take on Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos at UFC Vegas 74 on Saturday, June 3, 2023. The opener has Nurmagomedov at -110 while Santos is coming in at -110.

Abubakar Nurmagomedov steps into the cage holding a record of 17-3-1. The 33-year-old records a weight of 170 lbs and comes in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 72". Elizeu "Capoeira" Zaleski dos Santos measures 5'11" and is weighing in at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage with a record of 23-7-0. The 36-year-old has a reach of 73". In terms of significant strikes, Abubakar Nurmagomedov is connecting on 3.17 per minute while Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos is connecting on 4.65 significant strikes per minute. Nurmagomedov is connecting on 53% of the significant strikes he throws while Zaleski dos Santos connects on 42%. In terms of defending in the cage, Nurmagomedov absorbs 2.53 significant strikes per minute while "Capoeira" takes 3.22. Nurmagomedov also defends against 66% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him while Zaleski dos Santos curbs 58% of them.

ufc picks Abubakar Nurmagomedov ufc predictions best bet odds

UFC Vegas 74	Abubakar Nurmagomedov	Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos
Opening Odds	-110	-110
Record	17-3-1	23-7-0
Average Fight Time	10:57	12:07
Height	5'11"	5'11"
Weight	170 lbs	170 lbs
Reach	72"	73"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	3.17	4.65
Striking Accuracy	53%	42%

Regarding grappling, Abubakar Nurmagomedov is the more productive wrestler as he is averaging a takedown 1.37 times per 15 min. Nurmagomedov is finishing his takedown attempts on 30% of his tries and is defending 85% of all takedown attempts. Zaleski dos Santos is finishing his takedowns on 15% of the takedowns he tries and thwarting 62% of the tries against him. In terms of subbing the opposition, Nurmagomedov is less apt at going for the finish by attempting 0.2 subs per 15 min while Zaleski dos Santos attempts 0.4 subs per 3 rounds.

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In his previous fight, Abubakar Nurmagomedov went up against Gadzhi Omargadzhiev and got a win for the night by unanimous decision in round 3. Omargadzhiev ended up landing 79 of 142 total strikes attempted in that fight. Nurmagomedov ended the night having landed 76 of 104 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Omargadzhiev landed 38 of 99, which means his percentage was 38%. He finished the fight landing 22 of 69 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Nurmagomedov ended up landing 59% of his significant strikes by connecting on 40 of 67. Out of those significant strikes, he connected on 29 of 55 pointed at the head. 65% of the significant strikes landed by Omargadzhiev and 90% of them landed by Nurmagomedov were done at distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos, he fought Benoit Saint Denis and wound up getting the win by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Denis ended up landing 95% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Santos ended up connecting on 75% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Santos ended up landing 57% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 149 of 259. He ended up landing 96 of 200 significant strikes aimed at the head. Denis connected on 67 of 148 significant strikes in that fight. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 40 of 114 directed at the head. In relation to total strikes thrown in that contest, Denis was 80 of 162 and Santos connected on 167 of 279 of all the strikes he threw.

Other fights to keep an eye on

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Andrei Arlovski squares up against Don'Tale Mayes. Arlovski comes into this fight with a record of 34-21-0 (2 NC). The 44-year-old steps on the scale at 240 lbs and measures 6'3". The orthodox fighter reaches 77". Mayes stands in at 6'6" and weighs in at 260 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a mark of 9-5-0 (1 NC). The 31-year-old extends his reach 81". In the grappling category, Andrei Arlovski takes his opponents to the canvas 0.40 times per 3 rounds while Don'Tale Mayes takes his opponents to the mat 0.96 times per 15 minutes. When it comes to striking, Arlovski lands an average of 3.79 strikes/minute and connects on 45% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side of the cage you've got Don'Tale Mayes, who tags his opponent on 45% of the strikes he has attempted and connects on 3.41 per min.

Another must see fight on the night is when Johnny Munoz is set to fight Daniel Santos. Santos has a career mark of 11-2-0. The 28-year-old will fight at 135 lbs and comes in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 67". Munoz stands 5'9" and weighs 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his career total of 12-2-0. The 30-year-old has a wingspan of 71". Concerning grappling, Daniel Santos curbs 57% of the takedowns fighters have gone for and is taking his opponents to the mat on 33% of his attempts. Munoz is taking his opponents down on 25% of the tries he takes and defends against 66% of takedowns his opponents have tried. With reference to striking, Santos is absorbing 7.52 strikes per min while he is connecting on 4.82 per min. Munoz, notwithstanding, is taking 2.30 strikes/minute and deals 3.69 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos (-110)

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Abubakar Nurmagomedov vs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos Pick, 6/3/2023 Predictions UFC Vegas 74 Odds

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