Vicente Luque vs Belal Muhammad Pick, 4/16/2022 Predictions UFC Vegas 51 Odds

by Tony Sink - 4/12/2022

ufc picks Vincente Luque predictions best bet odds

Vicente Luque vs Belal Muhammad

UFC Vegas 51

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, April 16, 2022

Vicente Luque will face off against Belal Muhammad at UFC Vegas 51 on Saturday, April 16, 2022. The line has Luque at -170 while Muhammad is coming in at +150.

Vicente "The Silent Assassin" Luque will be looking to add a win to his record of 21-7-1. The 30-year-old is weighing in at 170 lbs and stands 5'11". The orthodox fighter reaches 75". Belal "Remember the Name" Muhammad measures 5'11" and weighs in at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage holding a mark of 20-3-0 (1 NC). The 33-year-old has an arm span of 72". In terms of significant strikes, Vicente Luque is landing 5.65 per minute and Belal Muhammad is landing 4.55 significant strikes per minute. Luque is connecting on 54% of the significant strikes he tries while Muhammad is connecting on 43%. In terms of defending in the Octagon, "The Silent Assassin" allows 5.67 significant strikes per min and "Remember the Name" absorbs 3.61. Luque also curbs 52% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him and Muhammad thwarts 59% of the strikes thrown his way.

UFC Vegas 51	Vicente Luque	Belal Muhammad
Opening Odds	-170	+150
Record	21-7-1	20-3-0 (1 NC)
Average Fight Time	8:15	13:11
Height	5'11"	5'11"
Weight	170 lbs	170 lbs
Reach	75"	72"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	5.65	4.55
Striking Accuracy	54%	43%

In the wrestling category, Vicente Luque is the lesser skilled grappler as he gets a takedown 0.64 times per 15 min. Luque is taking his opponents to the canvas on 50% of the times he tries and stopping 64% of the takedowns his opponents try. Muhammad is finishing his takedown attempts on 33% of his takedown tries and defending 91% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. When it comes to submissions, Luque is the more able fighter by attempting 1.0 finish per 3 rounds while Muhammad attempts 0.2 finishes per 15 minutes.

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In his previous bout, Vicente Luque squared up with Michael Chiesa and ended up getting the win by way of d'arce choke in round 1. Chiesa landed 6 of 16 total strikes attempted in that contest. Luque walked away from this fight having landed 8 of 13 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Chiesa landed 4 of 12, which gave him a rate of 33%. He ended up landing 4 of 12 significant strikes to the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Luque ended up landing 58% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 7 of 12. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he landed 2 of 7 to the head. 100% of the significant strikes connected on by Chiesa and 100% of them connected on by Luque were tallied at distance.

In the last bout for Belal Muhammad, he faced off with Stephen Thompson and ended up winning this fight by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Thompson ended up landing 89% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Muhammad ended up landing 3% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Muhammad landed 61% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 58 of 95. He landed 56 of 92 significant strikes directed at the head. Thompson connected on 19 of 32 significant strikes in that contest. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he connected on 14 of 27 directed at the head. In terms of total strikes that he let go in that fight, Thompson connected on 51 of 67 while Muhammad connected on 171 of 271 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other bouts on the card to watch

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Caio Borralho squares up in the Octagon against Gadzhi Omargadzhiev. Borralho walks into the Octagon with a mark of 10-1-0 (1 NC). The 29-year-old weighs 185 lbs and stands 5'10". The southpaw fighter stretches 75". Omargadzhiev measures 6'1" and tips the scales at 185 lbs. The switch fighter walks into the cage with a record of 13-0-0. The 29-year-old reaches 71". Regarding grappling, Caio Borralho is averaging a takedown 2.70 times per 15 min and Gadzhi Omargadzhiev gets a takedown 3.47 times per 15 min. When it comes to striking, Borralho tags his opponents 4.86 strikes/minute and is landing 64% of the strikes that he attempts. The other fighter in this bout is Gadzhi Omargadzhiev, who lands 66% of the strikes he attempts and is landing 2.32 per min.

One more can't miss bout is when Andre Fialho is set to encounter Miguel Baeza. Baeza comes into this bout with a mark of 10-2-0. The 29-year-old is weighing in at 170 lbs and stands in at 6'2". The orthodox fighter stretches 74". Fialho stands 6'0" and is weighing in at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his total of 14-4-0 (1 NC). The 28-year-old stretches 74". Regarding wrestling, Miguel Baeza stops 80% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is taking his opponents to the mat on 28% of his attempts. Fialho is finishing his takedowns on 10% of his attempts and is able to curb 75% of takedowns his opponents have tried. With reference to striking, Baeza takes 4.97 strikes per minute while he is landing 4.86 strikes per min. Fialho, on the contrary, takes 7.13 strikes/min and is dealing 3.00 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Vicente Luque (-170)

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