Thiago Santos vs Magomed Ankalaev Pick, 3/12/2022 Predictions UFC Vegas 50 Odds
Thiago Santos vs Magomed Ankalaev
UFC Vegas 50
UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV
Saturday, March 12, 2022
Thiago Santos will enter the Octagon against Magomed Ankalaev at UFC Vegas 50 on Saturday, March 12, 2022. The opening moneyline has Santos coming in at +410 while Ankalaev is at -575.
Thiago "Marreta" Santos walks into the cage holding a record of 22-9-0. The 38-year-old tips the scales at 205 lbs and measures 6'2". The orthodox fighter reaches 76". Magomed Ankalaev stands in at 6'3" and weighs 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a mark of 16-1-0. The 29-year-old has a reach of 75". In the category of significant strikes, Thiago Santos is connecting on 3.95 per min while Magomed Ankalaev is landing 3.60 significant strikes per minute. Santos is connecting on 48% of the significant strikes he attempts and Ankalaev connects on 55%. When it comes to defending in the Octagon, "Marreta" takes 2.28 significant strikes per min while Ankalaev allows 2.05. Santos also defends 56% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction and Ankalaev is able to curb 62% of the shots thrown in his direction.
UFC Vegas 50 | Thiago Santos | Magomed Ankalaev |
---|---|---|
Opening Odds | +410 | -575 |
Record | 22-9-0 | 16-1-0 |
Average Fight Time | 8:55 | 9:49 |
Height | 6'2" | 6'3" |
Weight | 205 lbs | 205 lbs |
Reach | 76" | 75" |
Strikes Landed Per Minute | 3.95 | 3.60 |
Striking Accuracy | 48% | 55% |
Regarding takedowns, Thiago Santos is not as efficient of a grappler as he is able to score a takedown 0.61 times per 3 rds. Santos is scoring a takedown on 36% of his tries and stopping 66% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Ankalaev is scoring a takedown on 31% of the takedowns he tries and is stuffing 85% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Regarding going for the sub, Santos is the lesser skilled of the two fighters by trying 0.1 submissions per 15 minutes while Ankalaev goes for 0.3 submissions per 15 min.
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The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Thiago Santos went up against Johnny Walker and wound up getting the win via unanimous decision in round 5. Walker ended up landing 48 of 130 total strikes that he let go. Santos finished this fight landing 44 of 105 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Walker landed 48 of 130, giving him a percentage of 36%. He ended up landing 7 of 55 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side, Santos landed 41% of his significant strikes by sticking 44 of 105. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he connected on 9 of 40 aimed at the head. 95% of the significant strikes connected on by Walker and 95% of them landed by Santos were done at a distance.
In the last fight for Magomed Ankalaev, he squared up with Volkan Oezdemir and ended up getting the victory in the fight by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Oezdemir ended up landing 85% of the significant strikes he took from distance while Ankalaev connected on 89% of his significant strikes at distance. Ankalaev landed 61% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 66 of 108. He landed 43 of 82 significant strikes to the head. Oezdemir connected on 48 of 102 significant strikes in that battle. Of those significant strikes, he connected on 23 of 67 aimed at the head. Regarding total strikes attempted in that fight, Oezdemir landed 56 of 112 while Ankalaev ended up landing 76 of 118 total strikes.
Other fights to watch
An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Marlon Moraes squares up against Song Yadong. Moraes looks to add a victory to his record of 23-9-1. The 33-year-old weighs in at 135 lbs and comes in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 67". Yadong comes in at 5'8" and records a weight of 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his record of 18-5-1. The 24-year-old has an arm span of 67". When it comes to grappling, Marlon Moraes takes his opponents down 0.89 times per 15 minutes and Song Yadong gets a takedown 0.46 times per 3 rds. When it comes to striking, Moraes tags his opponents 3.34 strikes/minute and landing 40% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side of the cage you've got Song Yadong, who tags the opposition on 42% of the strikes he has thrown and lands an average of 4.88 per minute.
Another must see fight on the night is when Alex Caceres is set to enter the Octagon against Sodiq Yusuff. Yusuff will be looking to add a victory to his record of 11-2-0. The 28-year-old is weighing in at 145 lbs and measures 5'9". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 71". Caceres measures 5'10" and steps on the scale at 145 lbs. The southpaw fighter walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 19-12-0. The 33-year-old extends his reach 73". Regarding takedowns, Sodiq Yusuff is able to defend against 68% of his opponents' takedown tries and is taking his opponents down on 10% of the times he tries. Caceres is taking his opponents down on 78% of the attempts he tries and thwarts 64% of all takedown attempts. With regard to striking, Yusuff is absorbing 3.46 strikes/minute while he is dealing 5.43 per minute. Caceres, moreover, takes 2.85 strikes/minute and is dishing out 4.14 per min.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Tony's Pick: Take Thiago Santos (+410)
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