Rose Namajunas vs Carla Esparza Pick, 5/7/2022 Predictions UFC 274 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 5/3/2022

ufc picks Rose Namajunas predictions best bet odds

Rose Namajunas vs Carla Esparza

UFC 274

Footprint Center in Phoenix, AZ

Saturday, May 7, 2022

Rose Namajunas will battle Carla Esparza at UFC 274 on Saturday, May 7, 2022. The opening moneyline has Namajunas at -195 while Esparza is coming in at +165.

Rose "Thug" Namajunas walks into the Octagon holding a record of 12-4-0. The 29-year-old is weighing in at 115 lbs and measures in at 5'5". The orthodox fighter extends her reach 65". Carla "Cookie Monster" Esparza measures 5'1" and weighs 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon holding a record of 19-6-0. The 34-year-old stretches 63". In the category of significant strikes, Rose Namajunas connects on 4.01 per min while Carla Esparza connects on 2.34 significant strikes per minute. Namajunas is connecting on 41% of the significant strikes she attempts while Esparza connects on 43%. Regarding defense, "Thug" allows 3.88 significant strikes per minute while "Cookie Monster" absorbs 2.75. Namajunas also curbs 59% of the significant strikes her opponents throw at her and Esparza defends against 53% of the strikes thrown her way.

UFC 274	Rose Namajunas	Carla Esparza
Opening Odds	-195	+165
Record	12-4-0	19-6-0
Average Fight Time	12:39	13:43
Height	5'5"	5'1"
Weight	115 lbs	115 lbs
Reach	65"	63"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	4.01	2.34
Striking Accuracy	41%	43%

Regarding grappling, Rose Namajunas is the lesser skilled wrestler as she takes her opponents to the canvas 1.78 times per 15 minutes. Namajunas is getting her opponent to the mat on 56% of the times she tries and defending 51% of all takedowns attempted by her opposition. Esparza is getting her opponent to the mat on 37% of the takedowns she tries and defending 48% of the attempts against her. In terms of subbing opponents, Namajunas is the more skilled of the two fighters by going for 0.7 submissions per 15 min while Esparza goes for 0.3 submissions per 3 rounds.

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In her last fight, Rose Namajunas faced Zhang Weili and ended up getting the win by split decision in round 5. Weili ended up landing 162 of 272 of the strikes she let go in total for this contest. Namajunas finished this fight landing 130 of 219 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Weili landed 83 of 173, which gave her a rate of 47%. She ended up landing 36 of 112 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Namajunas ended up landing 51% of her significant strikes by connecting on 86 of 168. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, she landed 57 of 131 aimed at the head. 77% of the significant strikes landed by Weili and 69% of them landed by Namajunas were thrown at a distance.

In the last bout for Carla Esparza, she battled Yan Xiaonan and wound up taking home the win by punches to the head from the crucifix position in round 2. Xiaonan landed 40% of her significant strikes at distance while Esparza ended up landing 3% of the significant strikes she attempted at distance. Esparza connected on 81% of the significant strikes she attempted by connecting on 27 of 33. She ended up landing 27 of 33 significant strikes directed at the head. Xiaonan ended up connecting on 5 of 11 significant strikes in that contest. Of those significant strikes, she landed 4 of 10 directed at the head. In regard to total strikes attempted in that fight, Xiaonan was 31 of 41 while Esparza ended up connecting on 170 of 194 total strikes.

Other bouts on the card to watch

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Macy Chiasson enters the Octagon with Norma Dumont. Chiasson walks into the cage holding a mark of 8-2-0. The 30-year-old tips the scales at 145 lbs and comes in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter reaches 72". Dumont measures in at 5'7" and is weighing in at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight holding a mark of 7-1-0. The 31-year-old stretches 67". Regarding grappling, Macy Chiasson is able to score a takedown 1.08 times per 3 rds and Norma Dumont is able to score a takedown 1.28 times per 3 rounds. When it comes to striking, Chiasson tags his opponents 4.04 strikes/min and is connecting on 46% out of all the strikes she attempts. On the other side we have Norma Dumont, who is landing 50% of the strikes she has thrown and connects on 3.96 per min.

Another bout to watch is when Melissa Gatto is set to face off against Tracy Cortez. Cortez looks to add a victory to her career record of 9-1-0. The 28-year-old is fighting at 125 lbs and stands in at 5'5". The orthodox fighter reaches 65". Gatto comes in at 5'5" and is weighing in at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to her career total of 8-0-2. The 26-year-old extends her reach 69". Concerning grappling, Tracy Cortez is thwarting 87% of the takedowns her opponents try and is scoring a takedown on 46% of her tries. Gatto is taking her opponents to the mat on 16% of the tries she takes and is able to thwart 85% of all takedown attempts. In the matter of striking, Cortez absorbs 2.40 strikes/min while she is landing 3.85 strikes per minute. Gatto, on the other hand, absorbs 2.75 strikes per min and deals 4.19 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Rose Namajunas (-195)

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Rose Namajunas vs Carla Esparza Pick, 5/7/2022 Predictions UFC 274 Odds

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