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Raoni Barcelos vs Trevin Jones Pick, 10/1/2022 Predictions UFC Vegas 61 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 9/27/2022

raoni barcelos ufc

Raoni Barcelos vs Trevin Jones

UFC Vegas 61

APEX in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, October 1, 2022

Raoni Barcelos will take on Trevin Jones at UFC Vegas 61 on Saturday, October 1, 2022. The opening moneyline has Barcelos at -225 while Jones is coming in at +190.

Raoni Barcelos has a career mark of 16-3-0. The 35-year-old is fighting at 135 lbs and stands 5'7". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 67". Trevin "5 Star" Jones stands 5'7" and tips the scales at 135 lbs. The southpaw fighter steps into the cage with a mark of 13-8-0 (1 NC). The 32-year-old has a wingspan of 70". With respect to significant strikes, Raoni Barcelos is connecting on 5.98 per minute and Trevin Jones is connecting on 2.90 significant strikes per minute. Barcelos connects on 51% of the significant strikes he attempts and Jones lands 42%. When it comes to defending themselves, Barcelos allows 5.64 significant strikes per minute while "5 Star" allows 5.00. Barcelos also defends against 61% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way while Jones is able to deflect 41% of them.

 

UFC Vegas 61 Raoni Barcelos Trevin Jones
Opening Odds -225 +190
Record 16-3-0 13-8-0 (1 NC)
Average Fight Time 12:56 10:36
Height 5'7" 5'7"
Weight 135 lbs 135 lbs
Reach 67" 70"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 5.98 2.90
Striking Accuracy 51% 42%

 

Concerning grappling, Raoni Barcelos is the more productive grappler as he is averaging a takedown 1.66 times per 15 min. Barcelos is scoring a takedown on 43% of his tries and thwarting 92% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Jones is finishing his takedown tries on 12% of his takedown attempts and is stopping 71% of the tries against him. Regarding submission attempts, Barcelos is the more experienced of the two fighters by attempting 0.5 finishes per 15 min while Jones goes for 0.3 finishes per 15 min.

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The last time he fought, Raoni Barcelos faced Victor Henry and walked away with a loss by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Henry landed 222 of 397 total strikes attempted in that fight. Barcelos finished this fight landing 134 of 277 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Henry ended up landing 181 of 352, which gave him a rate of 51%. He ended up landing 102 of 252 significant strikes to the head. On the other side, Barcelos ended up landing 48% of his significant strikes by sticking 134 of 277. Out of those significant strikes, he landed 107 of 244 to the head. 90% of the significant strikes connected on by Henry and 93% of them connected on by Barcelos were thrown at a distance.

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In the last bout for Trevin Jones, he battled Javid Basharat and wound up losing the fight via unanimous decision in round 3. Basharat landed 88% of the significant strikes he took from distance while Jones ended up landing 98% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Jones connected on 34% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 62 of 178. He ended up connecting on 33 of 142 significant strikes to the head. Basharat ended up connecting on 89 of 164 significant strikes in that contest. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 52 of 119 directed at the head. Discussing the strikes he fired off in this contest, Basharat ended up connecting on 89 of 164 while Jones was 62 of 178 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights on the card to keep an eye on

Another fight to keep an eye on is when John Castaneda enters the Octagon with Daniel Santos. Castaneda looks to add a victory to his career record of 19-5-0. The 30-year-old is fighting at 135 lbs and measures in at 5'6". The switch fighter stretches 71". Santos comes in at 5'7" and steps on the scale at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his record of 8-2-0. The 27-year-old stretches 67". In the grappling category, John Castaneda is averaging a takedown 0.65 times per 3 rds while Daniel Santos takes his opponents to the canvas 0.30 times per 15 min. When talking about striking, Castaneda connects for an average of 4.38 strikes/min and lands 46% of his attempted strikes. On the other side of the cage you've got Daniel Santos, who tags the opposition on 21% of the strikes he attempts and connects on 3.27 per min.

Another must see fight on the night is when Viacheslav Borshchev is set to go up against Mike Davis. Davis comes into this fight holding a mark of 9-2-0. The 29-year-old will fight at 155 lbs and measures in at 6'0". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 72". Borshchev measures in at 5'11" and is weighing in at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a mark of 6-2-0. The 30-year-old reaches 69". In terms of wrestling, Mike Davis thwarts 69% of the takedowns fighters have attempted and is getting his opponent to the mat on 33% of the times he tries. Borshchev is taking his opponents to the mat on 0% of his tries and defends against 37% of the takedowns his opponents try. In the matter of striking, Davis is taking 6.76 strikes/minute while he deals 6.24 strikes/minute. Borshchev, on the other side, is taking 2.64 strikes per min and lands 2.85 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Trevin Jones (+190)

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