Randy Brown vs Francisco Trinaldo Pick, 10/1/2022 Predictions UFC Vegas 61 Odds

by Tony Sink - 9/27/2022

ufc picks Randy Brown predictions best bet odds

Randy Brown vs Francisco Trinaldo

UFC Vegas 61

APEX in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, October 1, 2022

Randy Brown will enter the Octagon against Francisco Trinaldo at UFC Vegas 61 on Saturday, October 1, 2022. The moneyline has Brown coming in at -305 while Trinaldo is priced at +255.

Randy "Rudeboy" Brown steps into the cage with a mark of 15-4-0. The 32-year-old is fighting at 170 lbs and measures in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 78". Francisco "Massaranduba" Trinaldo measures in at 5'9" and records a weight of 170 lbs. The southpaw fighter walks into the cage holding a mark of 28-8-0. The 44-year-old has an arm span of 70". Regarding significant strikes, Randy Brown lands 4.42 per minute while Francisco Trinaldo lands 3.15 significant strikes per minute. Brown is landing 48% of the significant strikes he attempts and Trinaldo lands 44%. When it comes to defending in the cage, "Rudeboy" takes 3.32 significant strikes per minute and "Massaranduba" takes 2.60. Brown also stops 55% of the significant strikes that are directed at him and Trinaldo thwarts 60% of the shots thrown in his direction.

UFC Vegas 61	Randy Brown	Francisco Trinaldo
Opening Odds	-305	+255
Record	15-4-0	28-8-0
Average Fight Time	10:34	12:17
Height	6'3"	5'9"
Weight	170 lbs	170 lbs
Reach	78"	70"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	4.42	3.15
Striking Accuracy	48%	44%

Regarding takedowns, Randy Brown is not as efficient of a wrestler as he takes his opponents down 0.76 times per 15 minutes. Brown is taking his opponents to the canvas on 35% of his tries and is stopping 71% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Trinaldo is finishing his takedown attempts on 43% of the takedowns he attempts and defending 59% of all takedowns attempted on him. Regarding submissions, Brown is the more skilled technician by attempting 0.6 submissions per 3 rounds while Trinaldo goes for 0.5 submissions per 3 rounds.

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In his previous fight, Randy Brown faced Khaos Williams and wound up taking home the win by split decision in round 3. Williams landed 96 of 246 of the strikes he threw in total in this fight. Brown walked away from this fight having landed 103 of 188 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Williams landed 75 of 224, which gave him a percentage of 33%. He finished the fight landing 26 of 159 significant strikes aimed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Brown ended up landing 52% of his significant strikes by connecting on 93 of 177. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he landed 68 of 144 pointed at the head. 90% of the significant strikes connected on by Williams and 79% of them connected on by Brown were thrown at distance.

In the last fight for Francisco Trinaldo, he squared up with Danny Roberts and wound up getting the victory by unanimous decision in round 3. Roberts landed 75% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Trinaldo landed 63% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Trinaldo ended up landing 64% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 80 of 124. He ended up connecting on 62 of 102 significant strikes aimed at the head. Roberts ended up landing 36 of 118 significant strikes in that battle. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he ended up landing 15 of 92 to the head. In terms of total strikes attempted in that fight, Roberts ended up connecting on 44 of 128 while Trinaldo landed 91 of 137 of all the strikes he threw.

Other bouts to watch out for

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Raoni Barcelos fights Trevin Jones. Barcelos has a career mark of 16-3-0. The 35-year-old is fighting at 135 lbs and stands 5'7". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 67". Jones stands 5'7" and tips the scales at 135 lbs. The southpaw fighter steps into the cage with a mark of 13-8-0 (1 NC). The 32-year-old has a wingspan of 70". In terms of takedowns, Raoni Barcelos gets his opposition to the mat 1.66 times per 3 rounds while Trevin Jones gets a takedown 0.71 times per 3 rounds. When it comes to striking, Barcelos is landing 5.98 strikes per minute and connects on 51% of his attempted strikes. The other guy in this fight is Trevin Jones, who is connecting on 42% of the strikes he has tried and connects for an average of 2.90 per minute.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Daniel Santos is set to take on John Castaneda. Castaneda looks to add a victory to his career record of 19-5-0. The 30-year-old is fighting at 135 lbs and measures in at 5'6". The switch fighter stretches 71". Santos comes in at 5'7" and steps on the scale at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his record of 8-2-0. The 27-year-old stretches 67". Regarding takedowns, John Castaneda defends against 63% of the takedowns fighters have gone for and is taking his opponents to the canvas on 22% of his attempts. Santos is finishing his takedowns on 0% of the tries he takes and is able to curb 100% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Concerning striking, Castaneda is absorbing 4.53 strikes per minute while he is connecting on 4.38 strikes/min. Santos, notwithstanding, absorbs 8.47 strikes per minute and deals 3.27 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Randy Brown (-305)

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Randy Brown vs Francisco Trinaldo Pick, 10/1/2022 Predictions UFC Vegas 61 Odds

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