Rafa Garcia vs Jesse Ronson Pick, 4/16/2022 Predictions UFC Vegas 51 Odds

by Tony Sink - 4/12/2022

ufc picks Rafa Garcia predictions best bet odds

Rafa Garcia vs Jesse Ronson

UFC Vegas 51

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, April 16, 2022

Rafa Garcia will enter the Octagon with Jesse Ronson at UFC Vegas 51 on Saturday, April 16, 2022. The opener has Garcia at -120 while Ronson is at +100.

Rafa "Gifted" Garcia holds a career mark of 13-2-0. The 27-year-old records a weight of 155 lbs and stands in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 70". Jesse "The Body Snatcher" Ronson stands 5'10" and weighs in at 155 lbs. The southpaw fighter steps into the Octagon with a mark of 21-10-0 (1 NC). The 36-year-old has a reach of 70". With respect to significant strikes, Rafa Garcia connects on 3.53 per min while Jesse Ronson connects on 3.54 significant strikes per minute. Garcia lands 35% of the significant strikes he tries while Ronson connects on 49%. When it comes to defending in the Octagon, "Gifted" absorbs 5.47 significant strikes per minute while "The Body Snatcher" takes 2.99. Garcia also curbs 53% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction and Ronson is able to defend against 59% of the shots thrown in his direction.

UFC Vegas 51	Rafa Garcia	Jesse Ronson
Opening Odds	-120	+100
Record	13-2-0	21-10-0 (1 NC)
Average Fight Time	15:00	11:57
Height	5'7"	5'10"
Weight	155 lbs	155 lbs
Reach	70"	70"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	3.53	3.54
Striking Accuracy	35%	49%

When it comes to grappling, Rafa Garcia is the more efficient wrestler as he gets a takedown 4.00 times per 3 rds. Garcia is finishing his takedown attempts on 44% of his tries and defending 70% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Ronson is finishing his takedowns on 40% of his takedown tries and is stopping 61% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Regarding going for the sub, Garcia is not as skilled of a technician by attempting 0.3 subs per 3 rounds while Ronson tries 0.6 subs per 15 minutes.

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In his previous fight, Rafa Garcia went up against Natan Levy and wound up getting the win by unanimous decision in round 3. Levy landed 56 of 136 total strikes attempted in that fight. Garcia finished this fight landing 55 of 117 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Levy landed 47 of 127, which gave him a percentage of 37%. He finished the fight landing 21 of 94 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Garcia landed 38% of his significant strikes by connecting on 35 of 91. Out of those significant strikes, he connected on 21 of 74 aimed at the head. 95% of the significant strikes connected on by Levy and 88% of them landed by Garcia were thrown at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Jesse Ronson, he fought Nicolas Dalby and the fight ended in a no contest by way of a failed drug test by Ronson in round 1. Dalby ended up connecting on 85% of his significant strikes at distance while Ronson ended up landing 70% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Ronson ended up connecting on 66% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 30 of 45. He ended up connecting on 22 of 34 significant strikes aimed at the head. Dalby ended up landing 20 of 50 significant strikes in that battle. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he landed 10 of 38 to the head. Relating to total strikes that he let go, Dalby ended up connecting on 20 of 53 while Ronson connected on 31 of 46 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights on the card to keep an eye on

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Chris Barnett battles Martin Buday. Barnett walks into the Octagon with a mark of 22-7-0. The 35-year-old weighs 265 lbs and stands 5'9". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 75". Buday comes in at 6'4" and is fighting at 265 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a record of 9-1-0. The 30-year-old stretches 77". In the grappling category, Chris Barnett is able to score a takedown 0.70 times per 3 rds and Martin Buday takes his opponents to the mat 0.30 times per 3 rds. In terms of striking, Barnett connects for an average of 4.90 strikes/minute and is landing 45% of his attempted strikes. On the other side of the cage you've got Martin Buday, who tags the opposition on 88% of the strikes he attempts and lands 4.66 per minute.

One more can't miss bout is when Kevin Croom is set to clash with Heili Alateng. Alateng looks to add a victory to his total of 14-8-2. The 30-year-old is fighting at 135 lbs and comes in at 5'5". The orthodox fighter stretches 66". Croom comes in at 5'11" and records a weight of 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a record of 21-14-0 (1 NC). The 34-year-old stretches 73". Regarding takedowns, Heili Alateng curbs 72% of the takedowns fighters have gone for and is taking his opponents down on 33% of his attempts. Croom is taking his opponents down on 5% of the tries he takes and is able to stop 30% of all takedown tries against him. In the category of striking, Alateng is taking 5.10 strikes/minute and he is landing 2.75 strikes/min. Croom, on the other side, is taking 2.88 strikes/minute and is connecting on 2.65 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Rafa Garcia (-120)

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Rafa Garcia vs Jesse Ronson Pick, 4/16/2022 Predictions UFC Vegas 51 Odds

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