Phil Rowe vs Abubakar Nurmagomedov Pick, 7/16/2022 Predictions UFC Long Island Odds

by Tony Sink - 7/12/2022

ufc picks Phil Rowe predictions best bet odds

Phil Rowe vs Abubakar Nurmagomedov

UFC Long Island

UBS Arena in Elmont, New York

Saturday, July 16, 2022

Phil Rowe will take on Abubakar Nurmagomedov at UFC Long Island on Saturday, July 16, 2022. The line has Rowe priced at +130 while Nurmagomedov is coming in at -160.

Phil "The Fresh Prince" Rowe walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 9-3-0. The 31-year-old steps on the scale at 170 lbs and measures 6'3". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 80". Abubakar Nurmagomedov measures in at 5'11" and steps on the scale at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a mark of 16-3-1. The 32-year-old has an arm span of 72". In terms of significant strikes, Phil Rowe is landing 4.30 per min and Abubakar Nurmagomedov lands 3.59 significant strikes per min. Rowe is landing 56% of the significant strikes he attempts and Nurmagomedov is connecting on 49%. Regarding defending in the cage, "The Fresh Prince" allows 3.94 significant strikes per min and Nurmagomedov takes 2.52. Rowe also stops 52% of the significant strikes that are directed at him and Nurmagomedov is able to deflect 69% of them.

UFC Long Island	Phil Rowe	Abubakar Nurmagomedov
Opening Odds	+130	-160
Record	9-3-0	16-3-1
Average Fight Time	10:28	8:55
Height	6'3"	5'11"
Weight	170 lbs	170 lbs
Reach	80"	72"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	4.30	3.59
Striking Accuracy	56%	49%

In terms of wrestling, Phil Rowe is the not as competent as a wrestler as he takes his opponents down 0.72 times per 15 minutes. Rowe is scoring a takedown on 33% of his tries and defending 47% of all takedown attempts. Nurmagomedov is scoring a takedown on 33% of his takedown tries and is stopping 15% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Regarding subbing the opposition, Rowe is not as skilled of a technician by going for 0.4 subs per 3 rounds while Nurmagomedov tries 0.7 subs per 3 rounds.

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In his last appearance in the Octagon, Phil Rowe fought Jason Witt and ended up getting the win via a punch to the head in round 2. Witt landed 25 of 43 total strikes that he let go in that fight. Rowe ended the night having landed 8 of 17 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Witt ended up landing 8 of 22, which gave him a percentage of 36%. He finished the fight landing 5 of 15 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the cage, Rowe landed 47% of his significant strikes by sticking 8 of 17. Of those significant strikes, he connected on 8 of 16 to the head. 87% of the significant strikes connected on by Witt and 62% of them landed by Rowe were tallied at a distance.

In the last bout for Abubakar Nurmagomedov, he battled Jared Gooden and took home the win by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Gooden ended up connecting on 81% of his significant strikes at distance while Nurmagomedov ended up connecting on 93% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Nurmagomedov ended up connecting on 50% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 60 of 120. He ended up landing 45 of 105 significant strikes directed at the head. Gooden connected on 43 of 136 significant strikes in that battle. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he landed 30 of 110 to the head. In terms of total strikes that he threw in that fight, Gooden ended up landing 111 of 207 and Nurmagomedov landed 100 of 164 total strikes.

Other fights on the card to watch out for

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Michelle Waterson enters the Octagon with Amanda Lemos. Waterson comes into this bout with a mark of 18-9-0. The 36-year-old weighs in at 115 lbs and stands 5'3". The orthodox fighter extends her reach 62". Lemos measures 5'4" and is fighting at 115 lbs. The southpaw fighter steps into the cage with a record of 11-2-1. The 35-year-old stretches 65". Regarding grappling, Michelle Waterson is able to score a takedown 1.40 times per 3 rounds while Amanda Lemos is able to score a takedown 1.22 times per 15 min. When talking about striking, Waterson lands 3.57 strikes/minute and landing 48% out of all the strikes she attempts. Joining her in the Octagon is Amanda Lemos, who is landing 57% of the strikes she has attempted and is connecting on 5.14 per min.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Miesha Tate is set to encounter Lauren Murphy. Murphy looks to add a win to her career total of 15-5-0. The 38-year-old is fighting at 125 lbs and stands in at 5'5". The orthodox fighter reaches 67". Tate stands 5'6" and is weighing in at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to her record of 19-8-0. The 35-year-old extends her reach 65". In terms of wrestling, Lauren Murphy is stopping 65% of the takedowns her opponents try and is getting her opponent to the mat on 34% of her tries. Tate is finishing her takedown tries on 31% of her tries and is able to deflect 53% of all takedown attempts. With regard to striking, Murphy takes 4.35 strikes/minute and she is landing 3.58 per min. Tate, moreover, absorbs 2.87 strikes/minute and deals 2.41 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Abubakar Nurmagomedov (-160)

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Phil Rowe vs Abubakar Nurmagomedov Pick, 7/16/2022 Predictions UFC Long Island Odds

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