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Petr Yan vs Sean O'Malley Pick, 10/22/2022 Predictions UFC 280 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 10/18/2022

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Petr Yan vs Sean O'Malley

UFC 280

Fight Island in Abu Dhabi, UAE

Saturday, October 22, 2022

Petr Yan will enter the Octagon against Sean O'Malley at UFC 280 on Saturday, October 22, 2022. The odds have Yan coming in at -280 while O'Malley is coming in at +235.

Petr "No Mercy" Yan steps into the cage holding a mark of 16-3-0. The 29-year-old weighs 135 lbs and measures 5'7". The switch fighter has a wingspan of 67". Sean "Sugar" O'Malley measures 5'11" and records a weight of 135 lbs. The switch fighter steps into the Octagon with a mark of 15-1-0 (1 NC). The 27-year-old stretches 72". Concerning significant strikes, Petr Yan is connecting on 5.45 per min and Sean O'Malley is landing 7.75 significant strikes per minute. Yan connects on 53% of the significant strikes he throws while O'Malley lands 62%. In terms of defending in the cage, "No Mercy" takes 3.88 significant strikes per min and "Sugar" absorbs 3.48. Yan also stops 61% of the significant strikes that are directed at him while O'Malley defends against 64% of the shots thrown in his direction.

 

UFC 280 Petr Yan Sean O'Malley
Opening Odds -280 +235
Record 16-3-0 15-1-0 (1 NC)
Average Fight Time 16:12 8:25
Height 5'7" 5'11"
Weight 135 lbs 135 lbs
Reach 67" 72"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 5.45 7.75
Striking Accuracy 53% 62%

 

Concerning grappling, Petr Yan is averaging more takedowns in the cage as he gets a takedown 1.48 times per 15 minutes. Yan is finishing his takedown attempts on 61% of his attempts and stopping 90% of all takedown attempts. O'Malley is finishing his takedowns on 50% of the takedowns he attempts and stuffing 64% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. In terms of submissions, Yan is the lesser skilled fighter by attempting 0.2 finishes per 3 rds while O'Malley goes for 0.5 finishes per 15 min.

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In his last bout, Petr Yan went up against Aljamain Sterling and was on the losing end of this fight by split decision in round 5. Sterling ended up landing 91 of 143 total strikes that he let go. Yan ended the night having landed 139 of 186 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Sterling landed 62 of 110, which gave him a percentage of 56%. He finished the fight landing 29 of 66 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Yan ended up landing 61% of his significant strikes by sticking 63 of 103. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he connected on 32 of 71 pointed at the head. 67% of the significant strikes connected on by Sterling and 73% of them connected on by Yan were thrown at distance.

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In the last fight for Sean O'Malley, he faced off with Pedro Munhoz and the fight ended in a no contest via an accidental eye poke by O'Malley in round 2. Munhoz landed 100% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and O'Malley ended up connecting on 100% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. O'Malley landed 53% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 25 of 47. He connected on 14 of 30 significant strikes to the head. Munhoz connected on 26 of 41 significant strikes in that contest. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he landed 0 of 9 directed at the head. When discussing total strikes attempted in that fight, Munhoz landed 26 of 41 and O'Malley ended up landing 25 of 47 of all the strikes he threw.

Other bouts to watch out for

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Beneil Dariush battles Mateusz Gamrot. Dariush comes into this bout with a mark of 21-4-1. The 33-year-old steps on the scale at 155 lbs and measures 5'10". The southpaw fighter extends his reach 72". Gamrot comes in at 5'10" and steps on the scale at 155 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a win to his career record of 21-1-0 (1 NC). The 31-year-old has an arm span of 70". In terms of takedowns, Beneil Dariush takes his opponents to the canvas 2.11 times per 15 min while Mateusz Gamrot takes his opponents to the mat 4.83 times per 15 min. In the striking category, Dariush is connecting on 3.80 strikes/minute and connects on 49% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side of the cage we have Mateusz Gamrot, who tags his opponent on 51% of the strikes he has attempted and is landing 3.54 per min.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Sean Brady is set to encounter Belal Muhammad. Muhammad looks to add a victory to his career record of 21-3-0 (1 NC). The 34-year-old will fight at 170 lbs and stands 5'11". The orthodox fighter reaches 72". Brady stands in at 5'10" and will fight at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage with a record of 15-0-0. The 29-year-old has an arm span of 72". In terms of wrestling, Belal Muhammad deflects 91% of the takedowns fighters have attempted and is finishing his takedown attempts on 35% of his tries. Brady is taking his opponents to the mat on 60% of the attempts he tries and defends against 87% of all takedown tries against him. Concerning striking, Muhammad absorbs 3.58 strikes/min and he deals 4.31 strikes per min. Brady, at the same time, takes 3.22 strikes per min and connects on 3.91 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Petr Yan (-280)

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