Paddy Pimblett vs Kazula Vargas Pick, 3/19/2022 Predictions UFC London Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 3/15/2022

ufc picks Paddy Pimblett predictions best bet odds

Paddy Pimblett vs Kazula Vargas

UFC London

O2 Arena in London, UK

Saturday, March 19, 2022

Paddy Pimblett will face off with Kazula Vargas at UFC London on Saturday, March 19, 2022. The odds have Pimblett at -490 while Vargas is priced at +360.

Paddy "The Baddy" Pimblett comes into this fight with a mark of 17-3-0. The 27-year-old tips the scales at 155 lbs and measures 5'10". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 73". Kazula Vargas comes in at 5'8" and tips the scales at 155 lbs. The southpaw fighter steps into the cage with a record of 12-4-0. The 36-year-old has a reach of 71". In the category of significant strikes, Paddy Pimblett connects on 10.64 per minute and Kazula Vargas is connecting on 3.85 significant strikes per min. Pimblett connects on 58% of the significant strikes he tries while Vargas is landing 53%. Regarding defending in the Octagon, "The Baddy" absorbs 5.66 significant strikes per min while Vargas allows 1.88. Pimblett also thwarts 50% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way while Vargas is able to deflect 58% of the shots thrown in his direction.

UFC London	Paddy Pimblett	Kazula Vargas
Opening Odds	-490	+360
Record	17-3-0	12-4-0
Average Fight Time	4:25	11:21
Height	5'10"	5'8"
Weight	155 lbs	155 lbs
Reach	73"	71"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	10.64	3.85
Striking Accuracy	58%	53%

Concerning takedowns, Paddy Pimblett is the lesser skilled grappler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 0.20 times per 3 rds. Pimblett is taking his opponents to the canvas on 10% of the times he tries and defending 10% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Vargas is taking his opponents to the canvas on 25% of the takedowns he tries and stopping 25% of all takedowns attempted on him. Regarding subbing opponents, Pimblett is the lesser skilled of the two fighters by going for 0.2 finishes per 3 rounds while Vargas tries 0.4 finishes per 15 min.

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In his last fight, Paddy Pimblett went up against Luigi Vendramini and wound up getting the win via a punch to the head in round 1. Vendramini landed 30 of 56 of the strikes he threw in total in this fight. Pimblett walked away from this fight having landed 47 of 81 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Vendramini ended up landing 25 of 51, which means his percentage was 49%. He finished the fight landing 14 of 40 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side, Pimblett landed 58% of his significant strikes by sticking 47 of 81. Out of those significant strikes, he landed 29 of 62 to the head. 84% of the significant strikes landed by Vendramini and 97% of them landed by Pimblett were thrown at distance.

In the last fight for Kazula Vargas, he squared up with Rong Zhu and ended up getting the victory by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Zhu ended up connecting on 95% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Vargas connected on 97% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Vargas landed 54% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 96 of 176. He landed 50 of 121 significant strikes aimed at the head. Zhu connected on 42 of 105 significant strikes in that contest. Of all the significant strikes, he landed 40 of 101 aimed at the head. When discussing total strikes thrown, Zhu connected on 49 of 114 and Vargas ended up connecting on 111 of 192 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights on the card to keep an eye on

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Gunnar Nelson squares up in the Octagon against Takashi Sato. Nelson will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 17-5-1. The 33-year-old weighs in at 170 lbs and measures in at 5'11". The switch fighter has a reach of 72". Sato measures in at 5'10" and weighs 170 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 16-4-0. The 31-year-old reaches 73". Regarding grappling, Gunnar Nelson scores a takedown 1.72 times per 3 rounds and Takashi Sato scores a takedown 0.53 times per 3 rds. In terms of striking, Nelson tags his opponents 1.71 strikes/min and lands 57% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side of the cage you've got Takashi Sato, who is landing 37% of the strikes he has attempted and connects for an average of 3.16 per min.

Another must see fight on the night is when Sergei Pavlovich is set to square up against Shamil Abdurakhimov. Abdurakhimov walks into the cage with a record of 20-6-0. The 40-year-old steps on the scale at 235 lbs and stands in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 76". Pavlovich measures in at 6'3" and is fighting at 257 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a win to his career record of 14-1-0. The 29-year-old has an arm span of 84". In terms of grappling, Shamil Abdurakhimov is able to thwart 47% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is taking his opponents to the canvas on 24% of the times he tries. Pavlovich is taking his opponents down on 10% of the tries he takes and thwarts 50% of all takedown tries against him. Concerning striking, Abdurakhimov is taking 2.69 strikes per minute while he deals 2.53 per min. Pavlovich, in contrast, absorbs 4.59 strikes per minute and is dishing out 6.55 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Paddy Pimblett (-490)

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Paddy Pimblett vs Kazula Vargas Pick, 3/19/2022 Predictions UFC London Odds

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