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Natan Levy vs Mike Breeden Pick, 4/30/2022 Predictions UFC Vegas 53 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 4/26/2022

ufc picks Natan Levy predictions best bet odds

Natan Levy vs Mike Breeden

UFC Vegas 53

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, April 30, 2022

Natan Levy will face off with Mike Breeden at UFC Vegas 53 on Saturday, April 30, 2022. The opener has Levy at -210 while Breeden is priced at +175.

Natan Levy steps into the cage holding a record of 6-1-0. The 30-year-old is weighing in at 155 lbs and stands in at 5'9". The southpaw fighter extends his reach 71". Mike "Money" Breeden stands 5'10" and is fighting at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a mark of 10-4-0. The 33-year-old reaches 70". Regarding significant strikes, Natan Levy connects on 2.51 per minute while Mike Breeden is landing 4.04 significant strikes per minute. Levy is connecting on 41% of the significant strikes he tries while Breeden lands 34%. In terms of defending in the cage, Levy absorbs 1.70 significant strikes per min and "Money" allows 6.61. Levy also defends against 60% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction while Breeden stops 46% of the shots thrown.

 

UFC Vegas 53 Natan Levy Mike Breeden
Opening Odds -210 +175
Record 6-1-0 10-4-0
Average Fight Time 12:58 8:10
Height 5'9" 5'10"
Weight 155 lbs 155 lbs
Reach 71" 70"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 2.51 4.04
Striking Accuracy 41% 34%

 

In terms of takedowns, Natan Levy is the more productive grappler as he is averaging a takedown 2.89 times per 15 min. Levy is taking his opponents to the canvas on 55% of his tries and is stuffing 46% of all takedown attempts. Breeden is getting his opponent to the mat on 10% of his takedown attempts and is defending 81% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Regarding subbing the opposition, Levy is the more skilled fighter by going for 1.2 finishes per 15 minutes while Breeden tries 0.5 finishes per 15 minutes.

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In his last appearance in the Octagon, Natan Levy went up against Rafa Garcia and ended up walking away in defeat by unanimous decision in round 3. Garcia ended up landing 55 of 117 of the strikes he let go in total for this contest. Levy ended the night having landed 56 of 136 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Garcia landed 35 of 91, which gave him a rate of 38%. He ended up landing 21 of 74 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side, Levy ended up landing 37% of his significant strikes by connecting on 47 of 127. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he was 21 of 94 pointed at the head. 88% of the significant strikes landed by Garcia and 95% of them landed by Levy were tallied at distance.

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In the last bout for Mike Breeden, he fought Alexander Hernandez and walked away in defeat by a punch to the head in round 1. Hernandez ended up connecting on 70% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Breeden landed 83% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Breeden connected on 40% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 6 of 15. He ended up connecting on 4 of 13 significant strikes aimed at the head. Hernandez landed 20 of 35 significant strikes in that fight. Out of those significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 15 of 29 aimed at the head. When discussing total strikes that he let go, Hernandez was 20 of 35 and Breeden was 6 of 15 total strikes.

Other fights on the card to keep an eye on

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Gina Mazany squares up against Shanna Young. Mazany comes into this fight with a mark of 7-5-0. The 33-year-old is fighting at 125 lbs and measures 5'6". The southpaw fighter reaches 68". Young comes in at 5'7" and steps on the scale at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage holding a record of 8-5-0. The 31-year-old stretches 65". Regarding grappling, Gina Mazany gets a takedown 4.70 times per 15 min and Shanna Young takes her opponents to the mat 0.80 times per 15 minutes. In the striking category, Mazany lands 3.43 strikes per min and connecting on 49% of her attempted strikes. On the other side we have Shanna Young, who is landing 53% of the strikes she attempts and lands an average of 3.04 per min.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Marlon Vera is set to square up in the Octagon against Rob Font. Font steps into the Octagon with a record of 19-5-0. The 34-year-old will fight at 135 lbs and measures 5'8". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 71". Vera measures 5'8" and steps on the scale at 135 lbs. The switch fighter looks to add a win to his total of 18-7-1. The 29-year-old has a wingspan of 70". In terms of wrestling, Rob Font deflects 55% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is finishing his takedown attempts on 36% of his tries. Vera is taking his opponents to the mat on 42% of his tries and is able to thwart 69% of all takedown attempts. In the matter of striking, Font takes 3.55 strikes/minute and he is dishing out 5.64 strikes/minute. Vera, in contrast, absorbs 4.27 strikes/minute and is dishing out 4.08 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Natan Levy (-210)

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