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Movsar Evloev vs Ilia Topuria Pick, 1/22/2022 Predictions UFC 270 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 1/18/2022

ufc picks Movsar Evloev predictions best bet odds

Movsar Evloev vs Ilia Topuria

UFC 270

Honda Center in Anaheim, CA

Saturday, January 22, 2022

Movsar Evloev will battle Ilia Topuria at UFC 270 on Saturday, January 22, 2022. The moneyline has Evloev coming in at +110 while Topuria is priced at -135.

Movsar Evloev looks to add a win to his career record of 15-0-0. The 27-year-old tips the scales at 145 lbs and measures in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 72". Ilia "El Matador" Topuria measures 5'7" and is weighing in at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a record of 11-0-0. The 24-year-old has a reach of 69". When talking about significant strikes, Movsar Evloev is connecting on 4.32 per minute and Ilia Topuria lands 2.77 significant strikes per min. Evloev is connecting on 44% of the significant strikes he attempts while Topuria is connecting on 48%. In terms of defending in the cage, Evloev takes 2.79 significant strikes per minute while "El Matador" allows 1.92. Evloev also deflects 63% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt while Topuria is able to deflect 64% of the shots thrown in his direction.

 

UFC 270 Movsar Evloev Ilia Topuria
Opening Odds +110 -135
Record 15-0-0 11-0-0
Average Fight Time 15:00 7:28
Height 5'7" 5'7"
Weight 145 lbs 145 lbs
Reach 72" 69"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.32 2.77
Striking Accuracy 44% 48%

 

In terms of takedowns, Movsar Evloev is the more productive wrestler as he takes his opponents to the mat 4.00 times per 15 min. Evloev is getting his opponent to the mat on 47% of his attempts and is defending 71% of all takedowns attempted on him. Topuria is finishing his takedowns on 55% of the takedowns he attempts and stopping 100% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. In terms of going for the sub, Evloev is less apt at going for the finish by attempting 0.4 subs per 3 rounds while Topuria looks to get 3.4 subs per 3 rounds.

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The last time he fought, Movsar Evloev faced Hakeem Dawodu and wound up getting the win by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Dawodu ended up landing 60 of 129 of the strikes he let go in total for this contest. Evloev finished this fight landing 193 of 266 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Dawodu landed 39 of 92, which means his percentage was 42%. He ended up landing 26 of 70 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side, Evloev ended up landing 46% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 42 of 90. Of those significant strikes, he landed 37 of 83 aimed at the head. 94% of the significant strikes connected on by Dawodu and 50% of them landed by Evloev were tallied at a distance.

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In the last bout for Ilia Topuria, he squared up with Ryan Hall and ended up getting the victory in the fight via a punch to the head while on the ground in round 1. Hall landed 90% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Topuria connected on 16% of his significant strikes at distance. Topuria ended up connecting on 56% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 18 of 32. He connected on 11 of 24 significant strikes aimed at the head. Hall ended up landing 10 of 17 significant strikes in that battle. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he landed 2 of 7 directed at the head. Discussing total strikes that he let go in that fight, Hall ended up connecting on 13 of 21 and Topuria ended up landing 18 of 32 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights to watch

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Warlley Alves meets Jack Della Maddalena. Alves walks into the Octagon holding a record of 15-5-0. The 31-year-old tips the scales at 170 lbs and stands in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 72". Della Maddalena stands in at 5'11" and will fight at 170 lbs. The switch fighter will be looking to add a win to his career record of 10-2-0. The 25-year-old reaches 73". Regarding grappling, Warlley Alves gets a takedown 1.42 times per 15 min while Jack Della Maddalena is averaging a takedown 0.50 times per 15 minutes. In the striking category, Alves connects on 3.07 strikes/minute and landing 48% out of all the strikes he attempts. The other guy in this fight is Jack Della Maddalena, who tags his opponent on 47% of his attempted strikes and connects on 7.20 per minute.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Saimon Oliveira is set to square up with Tony Gravely. Gravely will be looking to add a win to his record of 21-7-0. The 30-year-old is fighting at 135 lbs and measures 5'5". The orthodox fighter stretches 69". Oliveira stands 5'4" and weighs 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a mark of 18-3-0. The 30-year-old reaches 72". Concerning grappling, Tony Gravely is able to stop 50% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is getting his opponent to the mat on 48% of his tries. Oliveira is taking his opponents down on 42% of the tries he takes and stops 100% of all takedown attempts. In the category of striking, Gravely is absorbing 3.27 strikes/minute while he connects on 4.14 strikes/min. Oliveira, in contrast, is taking 3.13 strikes per minute and deals 3.13 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Ilia Topuria (-135)

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