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Miles Johns vs John Castaneda Pick, 2/5/2022 Predictions UFC Vegas 47 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 2/1/2022

ufc picks Miles Johns predictions best bet odds

Miles Johns vs John Castaneda

UFC Vegas 47

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, February 5, 2022

Miles Johns will enter the Octagon with John Castaneda at UFC Vegas 47 on Saturday, February 5, 2022. The opener has Johns priced at -220 while Castaneda is at +180.

Miles "Chapo" Johns walks into the Octagon with a record of 12-1-0. The 27-year-old will fight at 135 lbs and stands in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 66". John "Sexy Mexi" Castaneda stands 5'6" and is weighing in at 135 lbs. The switch fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 18-5-0. The 30-year-old stretches 71". In the category of significant strikes, Miles Johns is connecting on 4.03 per minute and John Castaneda lands 4.17 significant strikes per minute. Johns is connecting on 53% of the significant strikes he throws while Castaneda is landing 49%. Concerning their defense in the Octagon, "Chapo" takes 2.50 significant strikes per min while "Sexy Mexi" allows 5.07. Johns also defends 71% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way while Castaneda defends against 55% of the shots thrown his way.

 

UFC Vegas 47 Miles Johns John Castaneda
Opening Odds -220 +180
Record 12-1-0 18-5-0
Average Fight Time 12:10 11:35
Height 5'7" 5'6"
Weight 135 lbs 135 lbs
Reach 66" 71"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.03 4.17
Striking Accuracy 53% 49%

 

In terms of grappling, Miles Johns is the more efficient grappler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 0.99 times per 15 min. Johns is getting his opponent to the mat on 30% of his tries and thwarting 92% of all takedown attempts. Castaneda is taking his opponents down on 25% of his takedown attempts and is defending 60% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. In terms of subbing the opposition, Johns is the more capable fighter by going for 0.5 subs per 15 min while Castaneda attempts 0.3 subs per 3 rounds.

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In his last fight, Miles Johns squared up with Anderson Dos Santos and wound up taking home the win via a punch to the head in round 3. Santos ended up landing 33 of 165 of the strikes he let go in total for this contest. Johns finished this fight landing 80 of 118 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Santos ended up landing 32 of 164, which gave him a rate of 19%. He landed 24 of 149 significant strikes aimed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Johns ended up landing 67% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 80 of 118. Out of those significant strikes, he was 54 of 90 aimed at the head. 96% of the significant strikes landed by Santos and 97% of them landed by Johns were done at a distance.

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In the last bout for John Castaneda, he faced off with Eddie Wineland and wound up taking home the win by a punch to the head in round 1. Wineland ended up connecting on 94% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Castaneda ended up connecting on 80% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Castaneda connected on 73% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 42 of 57. He landed 23 of 34 significant strikes directed at the head. Wineland connected on 17 of 66 significant strikes in that contest. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he connected on 10 of 50 directed at the head. Regarding the total strikes thrown in this fight, Wineland ended up connecting on 17 of 66 while Castaneda ended up landing 44 of 59 of all the strikes he threw.

Other bouts on the card to watch

One more match to look forward to is when Hakeem Dawodu squares up in the Octagon against Michael Trizano. Dawodu walks into the Octagon with a record of 12-2-1. The 30-year-old tips the scales at 145 lbs and measures in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter reaches 73". Trizano measures in at 5'11" and records a weight of 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon holding a record of 10-1-0. The 30-year-old stretches 71". In the grappling category, Hakeem Dawodu scores a takedown 0.10 times per 3 rds while Michael Trizano is able to score a takedown 0.29 times per 15 min. In terms of striking, Dawodu connects for an average of 4.72 strikes/min and connecting on 46% of his attempted strikes. On the other side of the cage we have Michael Trizano, who is connecting on 53% of the strikes he has attempted and connects on 3.22 per min.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Marc-Andre Barriault is set to battle Chidi Njokuani. Njokuani will be looking to add a victory to his record of 20-7-0. The 33-year-old weighs in at 170 lbs and stands 6'3". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 80". Barriault stands 6'1" and is weighing in at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a mark of 13-4-0. The 31-year-old has an arm span of 74". Concerning grappling, Chidi Njokuani is able to deflect 78% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is getting his opponent to the mat on 10% of his attempts. Barriault is finishing his takedown tries on 25% of the attempts he tries and is able to curb 70% of all takedown attempts. In the matter of striking, Njokuani takes 1.47 strikes per minute while he connects on 3.54 per min. Barriault, moreover, is taking 4.94 strikes/min and connects on 5.80 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take John Castaneda (+180)

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