Miguel Baeza vs Andre Fialho Pick, 4/16/2022 Predictions UFC Vegas 51 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 4/12/2022

ufc picks Miguel Baeza predictions best bet odds

Miguel Baeza vs Andre Fialho

UFC Vegas 51

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, April 16, 2022

Miguel Baeza will enter the Octagon with Andre Fialho at UFC Vegas 51 on Saturday, April 16, 2022. The opening odds have Baeza coming in at -180 while Fialho is priced at +155.

Miguel "Caramel Thunder" Baeza comes into this bout with a mark of 10-2-0. The 29-year-old is weighing in at 170 lbs and stands in at 6'2". The orthodox fighter stretches 74". Andre Fialho stands 6'0" and is weighing in at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his total of 14-4-0 (1 NC). The 28-year-old stretches 74". Regarding significant strikes, Miguel Baeza lands 4.86 per minute while Andre Fialho lands 3.00 significant strikes per minute. Baeza is connecting on 50% of the significant strikes he throws and Fialho is connecting on 33%. In terms of defending themselves, "Caramel Thunder" allows 4.97 significant strikes per min and Fialho allows 7.13. Baeza also defends against 54% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt and Fialho defends against 47% of the shots thrown his way.

UFC Vegas 51	Miguel Baeza	Andre Fialho
Opening Odds	-180	+155
Record	10-2-0	14-4-0 (1 NC)
Average Fight Time	10:33	15:00
Height	6'2"	6'0"
Weight	170 lbs	170 lbs
Reach	74"	74"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	4.86	3.00
Striking Accuracy	50%	33%

In terms of wrestling, Miguel Baeza is not as effective of a grappler as he scores a takedown 0.47 times per 15 min. Baeza is scoring a takedown on 28% of the times he tries and thwarting 80% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Fialho is getting his opponent to the mat on 10% of his takedown attempts and stopping 75% of the attempts against him. Regarding going for the sub, Baeza is the more skilled fighter by attempting 1.9 subs per 15 min while Fialho goes for 0.5 subs per 15 min.

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The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Miguel Baeza fought Khaos Williams and took a loss on the night by way of a punch to the head in round 3. Williams ended up landing 60 of 145 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Baeza walked away from this fight having landed 32 of 57 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Williams landed 49 of 131, which gave him a rate of 37%. He landed 23 of 94 significant strikes directed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Baeza ended up landing 55% of his significant strikes by sticking 31 of 56. Of those significant strikes, he landed 13 of 35 to the head. 73% of the significant strikes connected on by Williams and 100% of them landed by Baeza were done at distance.

In the last bout for Andre Fialho, he squared up with Michel Pereira and walked away with a loss by unanimous decision in round 3. Pereira ended up connecting on 89% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Fialho landed 80% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Fialho connected on 33% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 45 of 135. He landed 40 of 128 significant strikes to the head. Pereira ended up landing 107 of 202 significant strikes in that fight. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 49 of 122 to the head. In terms of the total strikes thrown in this fight, Pereira landed 112 of 209 while Fialho landed 48 of 138 of all the strikes he threw.

Other fights to watch out for

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Pat Sabatini enters the Octagon against TJ Laramie. Sabatini steps into the cage holding a mark of 16-3-0. The 31-year-old steps on the scale at 145 lbs and measures 5'8". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 70". Laramie comes in at 5'6" and is fighting at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight holding a mark of 12-4-0. The 24-year-old stretches 66". When it comes to grappling, Pat Sabatini gets his opposition to the mat 2.82 times per 3 rds and TJ Laramie takes his opponents to the mat 2.56 times per 3 rds. When it comes to striking, Sabatini connects on 1.35 strikes/minute and connects on 55% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side of the cage you've got TJ Laramie, who connects on 51% of the strikes he attempts and connects for an average of 2.73 per min.

One more can't miss bout is when William Knight is set to square up against Devin Clark. Clark walks into the cage holding a mark of 12-6-0. The 32-year-old is weighing in at 205 lbs and stands in at 6'0". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 75". Knight stands 5'10" and steps on the scale at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout holding a record of 11-3-0. The 34-year-old stretches 73". In terms of grappling, Devin Clark defends against 56% of the takedowns fighters have attempted and is taking his opponents down on 34% of the times he tries. Knight is finishing his takedown tries on 42% of the tries he takes and is able to thwart 45% of the takedowns his opponents try. In the matter of striking, Clark is absorbing 2.64 strikes per min while he lands 3.13 strikes per min. Knight, moreover, is absorbing 3.06 strikes/min and connects on 3.18 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Miguel Baeza (-180)

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Miguel Baeza vs Andre Fialho Pick, 4/16/2022 Predictions UFC Vegas 51 Odds

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