Michelle Waterson vs Amanda Lemos Pick, 7/16/2022 Predictions UFC Long Island Odds

Michelle Waterson vs Amanda Lemos

UFC Long Island

UBS Arena in Elmont, New York

Saturday, July 16, 2022

Michelle Waterson will enter the Octagon with Amanda Lemos at UFC Long Island on Saturday, July 16, 2022. The moneyline has Waterson coming in at +340 while Lemos is priced at -425.

Michelle "The Karate Hottie" Waterson comes into this bout with a mark of 18-9-0. The 36-year-old weighs in at 115 lbs and stands 5'3". The orthodox fighter extends her reach 62". Amanda Lemos measures 5'4" and is fighting at 115 lbs. The southpaw fighter steps into the cage with a record of 11-2-1. The 35-year-old stretches 65". Regarding significant strikes, Michelle Waterson lands 3.57 per min while Amanda Lemos is connecting on 5.14 significant strikes per minute. Waterson is connecting on 48% of the significant strikes she attempts and Lemos lands 57%. Regarding defense, "The Karate Hottie" absorbs 4.13 significant strikes per minute and Lemos takes 4.42. Waterson also defends against 50% of the significant strikes her opponents throw at her and Lemos is able to stop 48% of the strikes thrown her way.

When it comes to wrestling, Michelle Waterson is the more effective wrestler as she takes her opponents to the canvas 1.40 times per 3 rds. Waterson is scoring a takedown on 32% of the times she tries and defending 67% of the takedowns her opponents try. Lemos is getting her opponent to the mat on 57% of her takedown tries and is defending 88% of the attempts against her. Regarding going for the sub, Waterson is the more skilled technician by going for 0.8 finishes per 15 min while Lemos attempts 0.3 finishes per 15 min.

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The last time she stepped into the Octagon, Michelle Waterson fought Marina Rodriguez and ended up walking away in defeat via unanimous decision in round 5. Rodriguez ended up landing 144 of 304 of the strikes she threw in total in this fight. Waterson ended the night having landed 100 of 222 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Rodriguez landed 125 of 282, giving her a percentage of 44%. She landed 60 of 188 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Waterson ended up landing 42% of the significant strikes she threw by landing 88 of 205. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, she landed 43 of 129 to the head. 84% of the significant strikes landed by Rodriguez and 84% of them connected on by Waterson were thrown at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Amanda Lemos, she fought Jessica Andrade and wound up taking the loss via submission in round 1. Andrade ended up connecting on 100% of the significant strikes she attempted at distance while Lemos ended up landing 100% of her significant strikes at distance. Lemos connected on 41% of the significant strikes she attempted by landing 7 of 17. She connected on 4 of 12 significant strikes aimed at the head. Andrade ended up connecting on 3 of 9 significant strikes in that fight. Of those significant strikes, she connected on 0 of 3 directed at the head. In regard to total strikes attempted in that contest, Andrade ended up landing 3 of 9 while Lemos ended up connecting on 7 of 17 of all the strikes she attempted.

Other bouts to keep an eye on

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Lauren Murphy faces off with Miesha Tate. Murphy looks to add a win to her career total of 15-5-0. The 38-year-old is fighting at 125 lbs and stands in at 5'5". The orthodox fighter reaches 67". Tate stands 5'6" and is weighing in at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to her record of 19-8-0. The 35-year-old extends her reach 65". Regarding grappling, Lauren Murphy is able to score a takedown 1.03 times per 15 minutes and Miesha Tate is able to score a takedown 1.99 times per 3 rds. When it comes to striking, Murphy lands 3.58 strikes per min and lands 38% of the strikes that she throws. On the other side we have Miesha Tate, who is landing 43% of the strikes she has thrown and connects for an average of 2.41 per min.

One more can't miss bout is when Yair Rodriguez is set to encounter Brian Ortega. Ortega holds a career mark of 15-2-0 (1 NC). The 31-year-old is weighing in at 145 lbs and measures 5'8". The switch fighter has an arm span of 69". Rodriguez measures 5'11" and steps on the scale at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 14-3-0 (1 NC). The 29-year-old reaches 71". In terms of grappling, Brian Ortega is thwarting 56% of the takedowns his opponents try and is getting his opponent to the mat on 24% of the times he tries. Rodriguez is finishing his takedown tries on 28% of his tries and is able to defend against 60% of all takedown tries against him. Concerning striking, Ortega is taking 6.69 strikes per minute and he is landing 4.15 strikes/min. Rodriguez, moreover, absorbs 4.09 strikes/min and is dealing 4.65 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Michelle Waterson (+340)

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