Michael Chandler vs Tony Ferguson Pick, 5/7/2022 Predictions UFC 274 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 5/3/2022

ufc picks Michael Chandler predictions best bet odds

Michael Chandler vs Tony Ferguson

UFC 274

Footprint Center in Phoenix, AZ

Saturday, May 7, 2022

Michael Chandler will take on Tony Ferguson at UFC 274 on Saturday, May 7, 2022. The opening line has Chandler priced at -410 while Ferguson is coming in at +310.

Michael "Iron" Chandler steps into the cage holding a mark of 22-7-0. The 36-year-old will fight at 155 lbs and stands in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 71". Tony "El Cucuy" Ferguson measures 5'11" and is fighting at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his career record of 26-6-0. The 38-year-old extends his reach 76". Regarding significant strikes, Michael Chandler is landing 5.17 per min while Tony Ferguson connects on 5.15 significant strikes per min. Chandler is connecting on 46% of the significant strikes he attempts and Ferguson is landing 45%. Concerning their defense in the Octagon, "Iron" takes 4.98 significant strikes per minute and "El Cucuy" absorbs 3.78. Chandler also stops 44% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction while Ferguson is able to thwart 59% of the shots thrown.

UFC 274	Michael Chandler	Tony Ferguson
Opening Odds	-410	+310
Record	22-7-0	26-6-0
Average Fight Time	7:31	11:18
Height	5'8"	5'11"
Weight	155 lbs	155 lbs
Reach	71"	76"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	5.17	5.15
Striking Accuracy	46%	45%

Regarding grappling, Michael Chandler is the more capable grappler as he is able to score a takedown 1.73 times per 3 rds. Chandler is scoring a takedown on 33% of the times he tries and defending 71% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Ferguson is finishing his takedowns on 42% of his takedown tries and defending 67% of the attempts against him. When it comes to going for the sub, Chandler is the less likely of the two fighters to go for the finish by going for 1.1 finishes per 3 rounds while Ferguson tries 1.2 finishes per 15 minutes.

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In his last appearance in the Octagon, Michael Chandler faced Justin Gaethje and took a loss on the night by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Gaethje ended up landing 133 of 205 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Chandler finished this fight landing 104 of 246 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Gaethje ended up landing 116 of 183, which means his percentage was 63%. He landed 83 of 143 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the cage, Chandler ended up landing 42% of his significant strikes by connecting on 103 of 245. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he was 64 of 199 pointed at the head. 87% of the significant strikes landed by Gaethje and 96% of them landed by Chandler were done at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Tony Ferguson, he fought Beneil Dariush and walked away with a loss by unanimous decision in round 3. Dariush landed 65% of his significant strikes at distance while Ferguson landed 40% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Ferguson ended up connecting on 44% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 15 of 34. He ended up connecting on 10 of 29 significant strikes to the head. Dariush ended up landing 23 of 55 significant strikes in that fight. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he connected on 16 of 48 to the head. Discussing the strikes he fired off in this contest, Dariush was 76 of 142 and Ferguson ended up landing 37 of 59 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other bouts on the card to watch out for

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Mauricio Rua fights Ovince Saint Preux. Rua looks to add a victory to his career record of 27-12-1. The 40-year-old will fight at 205 lbs and measures 6'1". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 76". Saint Preux measures 6'3" and weighs 205 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a win to his career total of 25-16-0. The 39-year-old stretches 80". In terms of takedowns, Mauricio Rua gets a takedown 2.12 times per 3 rds while Ovince Saint Preux is averaging a takedown 1.21 times per 3 rounds. In the striking category, Rua connects on 3.57 strikes/min and connecting on 50% of the strikes that he attempts. On the other side of the cage you've got Ovince Saint Preux, who tags his opponent on 46% of the strikes he attempts and is connecting on 2.65 per min.

Another must see fight on the night is when Joe Lauzon is set to battle Donald Cerrone. Cerrone comes into this bout with a mark of 36-16-0 (2 NC). The 39-year-old is weighing in at 170 lbs and stands 6'1". The orthodox fighter stretches 73". Lauzon measures 5'10" and will fight at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage with a mark of 28-16-0. The 37-year-old has an arm span of 71". In terms of wrestling, Donald Cerrone is preventing 74% of the takedowns fighters have attempted and is taking his opponents to the mat on 33% of his attempts. Lauzon is taking his opponents down on 45% of his tries and is able to stop 54% of the takedowns his opponents try. With reference to striking, Cerrone is absorbing 4.49 strikes per min and he lands 4.43 strikes/minute. Lauzon, on the other side, absorbs 5.39 strikes per minute and connects on 2.84 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Tony Ferguson (+310)

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Michael Chandler vs Tony Ferguson Pick, 5/7/2022 Predictions UFC 274 Odds

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