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Matthew Semelsberger vs AJ Fletcher Pick, 3/12/2022 Predictions UFC Vegas 50 Odds

by Tony Sink - 3/8/2022

ufc picks Matthew Semelsberger predictions best bet odds

Matthew Semelsberger vs AJ Fletcher

UFC Vegas 50

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, March 12, 2022

Matthew Semelsberger will take on AJ Fletcher at UFC Vegas 50 on Saturday, March 12, 2022. The odds have Semelsberger priced at -235 while Fletcher is at +190.

Matthew "Semi The Jedi" Semelsberger has a career mark of 9-3-0. The 29-year-old tips the scales at 170 lbs and comes in at 6'1". The switch fighter has a wingspan of 75". AJ "The Ghost" Fletcher comes in at 5'10" and steps on the scale at 170 lbs. The switch fighter comes into this bout with a record of 9-0-0. The 25-year-old has an arm span of 67". In the category of significant strikes, Matthew Semelsberger connects on 6.16 per minute while AJ Fletcher is landing 4.17 significant strikes per min. Semelsberger is connecting on 48% of the significant strikes he attempts while Fletcher is landing 62%. Concerning their defense in the cage, "Semi The Jedi" absorbs 5.67 significant strikes per min while "The Ghost" absorbs 1.67. Semelsberger also prevents 61% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way while Fletcher is able to thwart 76% of the shots thrown his way.

 

UFC Vegas 50 Matthew Semelsberger AJ Fletcher
Opening Odds -235 +190
Record 9-3-0 9-0-0
Average Fight Time 7:38 2:24
Height 6'1" 5'10"
Weight 170 lbs 170 lbs
Reach 75" 67"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 6.16 4.17
Striking Accuracy 48% 62%

 

When it comes to wrestling, Matthew Semelsberger is the lesser skilled wrestler as he takes his opponents to the mat 0.98 times per 15 minutes. Semelsberger is getting his opponent to the mat on 80% of his attempts and stuffing 80% of all takedown attempts. Fletcher is finishing his takedown attempts on 50% of his takedown attempts and is stopping 10% of all takedowns attempted on him. Regarding subbing the opposition, Semelsberger is the more capable fighter by trying 0.5 subs per 15 minutes while Fletcher tries 0.3 subs per 15 minutes.

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In his previous fight, Matthew Semelsberger squared up with Martin Sano and ended up getting the win by a punch to the head in round 1. Sano ended up landing 1 of 3 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Semelsberger walked away from this fight having landed 3 of 5 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Sano ended up landing 1 of 3, which gave him a percentage of 33%. He ended up landing 1 of 3 significant strikes aimed at the head. Statistically, Semelsberger landed 60% of his significant strikes by landing 3 of 5. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he landed 2 of 4 to the head. 100% of the significant strikes landed by Sano and 66% of them connected on by Semelsberger were tallied at a distance.

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In the last Octagon appearance for AJ Fletcher, he squared up with Leonardo Damiani and wound up taking home the win by a flying knee to the head in round 1. Damiani connected on 100% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Fletcher connected on 70% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Fletcher connected on 62% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 10 of 16. He ended up landing 6 of 10 significant strikes directed at the head. Damiani ended up connecting on 4 of 17 significant strikes in that contest. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he connected on 2 of 14 aimed at the head. In relation to total strikes attempted in that fight, Damiani landed 4 of 17 while Fletcher ended up landing 10 of 18 of all the strikes he threw.

Other fights on the card to keep an eye on

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Trevin Jones squares up against Javid Basharat. Jones steps into the Octagon holding a record of 13-7-0. The 31-year-old steps on the scale at 135 lbs and measures in at 5'7". The southpaw fighter has a reach of 70". Basharat measures 5'9" and is fighting at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a mark of 11-0-0. The 26-year-old has a wingspan of 69". When it comes to grappling, Trevin Jones is able to score a takedown 1.09 times per 15 min and Javid Basharat gets a takedown 3.17 times per 3 rds. When it comes to striking, Jones lands 2.22 strikes/minute and is connecting on 54% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side of the cage we have Javid Basharat, who lands 63% of the strikes he attempts and connects on 4.93 per minute.

Another must see fight on the night is when Kamuela Kirk is set to enter the Octagon with Damon Jackson. Jackson looks to add a victory to his career record of 19-4-1. The 33-year-old steps on the scale at 145 lbs and measures in at 5'11". The switch fighter has a wingspan of 71". Kirk measures in at 5'10" and weighs in at 145 lbs. The switch fighter steps into the Octagon with a mark of 12-4-0. The 27-year-old stretches 75". In terms of wrestling, Damon Jackson curbs 35% of the takedowns his opponents try and is scoring a takedown on 33% of his tries. Kirk is taking his opponents to the mat on 40% of his tries and curbs 58% of all takedown attempts. With reference to striking, Jackson absorbs 3.25 strikes per minute and he deals 2.54 strikes/minute. Kirk, at the same time, is taking 5.80 strikes/minute and lands 3.27 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Matthew Semelsberger (-235)

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