Matheus Nicolau vs David Dvorak Pick, 3/26/2022 Predictions UFC Columbus Odds

by Tony Sink - 3/22/2022

ufc picks Matheus Nicolau predictions best bet odds

Matheus Nicolau vs David Dvorak

UFC Columbus

Nationwide Arena in Columbus, OH

Saturday, March 26, 2022

Matheus Nicolau will enter the Octagon against David Dvorak at UFC Columbus on Saturday, March 26, 2022. The moneyline has Nicolau at +120 while Dvorak is priced at -140.

Matheus Nicolau has a record of 17-3-1. The 29-year-old is weighing in at 125 lbs and measures 5'6". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 66". David "Undertaker" Dvorak stands in at 5'5" and records a weight of 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon holding a record of 20-3-0. The 29-year-old has a reach of 68". Regarding significant strikes, Matheus Nicolau connects on 3.88 per minute while David Dvorak lands 4.46 significant strikes per min. Nicolau connects on 53% of the significant strikes he attempts and Dvorak lands 46%. Concerning their defense in the cage, Nicolau allows 3.18 significant strikes per min and "Undertaker" allows 3.28. Nicolau also defends 67% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him and Dvorak curbs 63% of the strikes thrown in his direction.

UFC Columbus	Matheus Nicolau	David Dvorak
Opening Odds	+120	-140
Record	17-3-1	20-3-0
Average Fight Time	12:53	10:46
Height	5'6"	5'5"
Weight	125 lbs	125 lbs
Reach	66"	68"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	3.88	4.46
Striking Accuracy	53%	46%

In the grappling category, Matheus Nicolau is the more skilled grappler as he is able to score a takedown 1.75 times per 15 min. Nicolau is getting his opponent to the mat on 47% of his attempts and is stuffing 92% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Dvorak is getting his opponent to the mat on 10% of his takedown tries and is stuffing 78% of the attempts against him. In terms of subbing opponents, Nicolau is the more skilled technician by going for 1.2 submissions per 15 min while Dvorak looks to get 0.5 submissions per 3 rounds.

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In his last appearance in the Octagon, Matheus Nicolau went up against Tim Elliott and wound up getting the win by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Elliott ended up landing 105 of 255 total strikes attempted in that contest. Nicolau finished this fight landing 128 of 176 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Elliott ended up landing 70 of 215, giving him a percentage of 32%. He landed 39 of 160 significant strikes aimed at the head. Statistically, Nicolau ended up landing 58% of his significant strikes by connecting on 64 of 109. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he landed 28 of 63 pointed at the head. 88% of the significant strikes landed by Elliott and 100% of them landed by Nicolau were tallied at a distance.

In the last fight for David Dvorak, he went up against Juancamilo Ronderos and ended up winning this fight via rear naked choke in round 1. Ronderos connected on 72% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Dvorak ended up connecting on 100% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Dvorak ended up connecting on 32% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 9 of 28. He connected on 4 of 19 significant strikes aimed at the head. Ronderos ended up connecting on 11 of 32 significant strikes in that fight. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he ended up connecting on 5 of 25 to the head. When discussing the strikes he fired off in this contest, Ronderos ended up landing 12 of 33 while Dvorak ended up connecting on 9 of 28 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other bouts on the card to watch

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Luis Saldana squares up against Bruno Souza. Saldana will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 15-7-0. The 31-year-old weighs 145 lbs and stands 5'11". The orthodox fighter stretches 73". Souza stands 5'10" and is weighing in at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a career mark of 10-2-0. The 26-year-old has a reach of 70". In terms of takedowns, Luis Saldana takes his opponents to the canvas 0.30 times per 15 min while Bruno Souza takes his opponents down 0.70 times per 3 rds. In terms of striking, Saldana is connecting on 4.66 strikes/min and connects on 50% of the strikes that he attempts. On the other side we have Bruno Souza, who tags the opposition on 44% of the strikes he has attempted and connects for an average of 3.07 per min.

Another bout to watch is when Karol Rosa is set to square up in the Octagon against Sara McMann. McMann looks to add a win to her career total of 12-6-0. The 41-year-old is fighting at 135 lbs and comes in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter extends her reach 66". Rosa stands 5'5" and is weighing in at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a career record of 15-3-0. The 27-year-old extends her reach 67". In terms of wrestling, Sara McMann defends against 50% of the takedowns her opponents try and is scoring a takedown on 65% of her tries. Rosa is taking her opponents to the mat on 50% of the tries she takes and is able to curb 91% of the takedowns her opponents attempt. With regard to striking, McMann is taking 1.94 strikes per minute and she is dealing 2.32 strikes/minute. Rosa, at the same time, takes 5.17 strikes/min and lands 7.88 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Matheus Nicolau (+120)

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Matheus Nicolau vs David Dvorak Pick, 3/26/2022 Predictions UFC Columbus Odds

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