Makhmud Muradov vs Caio Borralho Pick, 10/22/2022 Predictions UFC 280 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 10/18/2022

ufc picks Caio Borralho predictions best bet odds

Makhmud Muradov vs Caio Borralho

UFC 280

Fight Island in Abu Dhabi, UAE

Saturday, October 22, 2022

Makhmud Muradov will enter the Octagon against Caio Borralho at UFC 280 on Saturday, October 22, 2022. The moneyline has Muradov coming in at +170 while Borralho is at -200.

Makhmud "Mach" Muradov walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 25-7-0. The 32-year-old records a weight of 185 lbs and stands in at 6'2". The orthodox fighter stretches 75". Caio "The Natural" Borralho comes in at 5'10" and tips the scales at 185 lbs. The southpaw fighter steps into the cage with a record of 12-1-0 (1 NC). The 29-year-old has a reach of 75". Regarding significant strikes, Makhmud Muradov is landing 5.39 per min and Caio Borralho lands 2.72 significant strikes per minute. Muradov is landing 42% of the significant strikes he attempts and Borralho lands 62%. In terms of defending themselves, "Mach" takes 3.17 significant strikes per minute while "The Natural" allows 1.82. Muradov also prevents 61% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way and Borralho is able to deflect 61% of the strikes thrown his way.

UFC 280	Makhmud Muradov	Caio Borralho
Opening Odds	+170	-200
Record	25-7-0	12-1-0 (1 NC)
Average Fight Time	12:14	11:24
Height	6'2"	5'10"
Weight	185 lbs	185 lbs
Reach	75"	75"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	5.39	2.72
Striking Accuracy	42%	62%

In the category of takedowns, Makhmud Muradov is not as effective of a grappler as he scores a takedown 0.31 times per 15 min. Muradov is getting his opponent to the mat on 16% of his tries and defending 80% of all takedowns attempted on him. Borralho is scoring a takedown on 80% of his takedown tries and is stuffing 75% of the attempts against him. Regarding going for the sub, Muradov is less apt at going for the finish by trying 0.3 subs per 15 minutes while Borralho looks to get 0.6 subs per 15 min.

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The last time he fought, Makhmud Muradov faced Gerald Meerschaert and wound up walking away in defeat via rear naked choke in round 2. Meerschaert ended up landing 39 of 65 total strikes that he let go. Muradov walked away from this fight having landed 41 of 100 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Meerschaert ended up landing 32 of 56, which gave him a percentage of 57%. He ended up landing 23 of 45 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side, Muradov landed 40% of his significant strikes by landing 40 of 99. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he was 27 of 81 to the head. 100% of the significant strikes connected on by Meerschaert and 90% of them connected on by Muradov were thrown at distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Caio Borralho, he battled Armen Petrosyan and ended up winning this fight via unanimous decision in round 3. Petrosyan ended up connecting on 51% of the significant strikes he took from distance while Borralho landed 91% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Borralho ended up landing 48% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 12 of 25. He connected on 4 of 15 significant strikes directed at the head. Petrosyan ended up landing 31 of 61 significant strikes in that contest. Of all the significant strikes, he landed 2 of 19 aimed at the head. In terms of total strikes that he let go in that fight, Petrosyan landed 72 of 132 and Borralho landed 49 of 83 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other bouts to watch out for

One more match to look forward to is when Volkan Oezdemir goes up against Nikita Krylov. Oezdemir comes into this fight with a mark of 18-6-0. The 33-year-old weighs 205 lbs and comes in at 6'2". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 75". Krylov comes in at 6'3" and records a weight of 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage holding a mark of 28-9-0. The 30-year-old reaches 77". In terms of takedowns, Volkan Oezdemir gets a takedown 0.40 times per 3 rounds and Nikita Krylov is able to score a takedown 1.41 times per 3 rounds. In the striking category, Oezdemir is landing 4.76 strikes/minute and landing 47% of the strikes that he throws. Joining him in the Octagon is Nikita Krylov, who tags the opposition on 56% of the strikes he has attempted and is connecting on 4.55 per min.

Another bout to watch is when Lucas Almeida is set to go up against Zubaira Tukhugov. Tukhugov comes into this bout with a mark of 20-5-1. The 31-year-old records a weight of 145 lbs and comes in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 68". Almeida measures 5'11" and is weighing in at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his total of 14-1-0. The 31-year-old has a wingspan of 71". When it comes to takedowns, Zubaira Tukhugov is able to defend against 85% of his opponents' takedown tries and is taking his opponents to the canvas on 43% of his tries. Almeida is finishing his takedown tries on 15% of his tries and deflects 50% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. With regard to striking, Tukhugov is taking 2.84 strikes/min and he deals 2.94 strikes/minute. Almeida, notwithstanding, is taking 5.63 strikes per min and is landing 6.60 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Caio Borralho (-200)

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Makhmud Muradov vs Caio Borralho Pick, 10/22/2022 Predictions UFC 280 Odds

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