Lauren Murphy vs Miesha Tate Pick, 7/16/2022 Predictions UFC Long Island Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 7/12/2022

ufc picks Lauren Murphy predictions best bet odds

Lauren Murphy vs Miesha Tate

UFC Long Island

UBS Arena in Elmont, New York

Saturday, July 16, 2022

Lauren Murphy will face off against Miesha Tate at UFC Long Island on Saturday, July 16, 2022. The opening odds have Murphy priced at +150 while Tate is at -175.

Lauren "Lucky" Murphy looks to add a win to her career total of 15-5-0. The 38-year-old is fighting at 125 lbs and stands in at 5'5". The orthodox fighter reaches 67". Miesha "Cupcake" Tate stands 5'6" and is weighing in at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to her record of 19-8-0. The 35-year-old extends her reach 65". In the category of significant strikes, Lauren Murphy is connecting on 3.58 per minute and Miesha Tate is landing 2.41 significant strikes per minute. Murphy is connecting on 38% of the significant strikes she attempts and Tate connects on 43%. When it comes to defending themselves, "Lucky" takes 4.35 significant strikes per min while "Cupcake" allows 2.87. Murphy also stops 59% of the significant strikes her opponents attempt while Tate defends against 52% of the strikes thrown her way.

UFC Long Island	Lauren Murphy	Miesha Tate
Opening Odds	+150	-175
Record	15-5-0	19-8-0
Average Fight Time	14:31	12:40
Height	5'5"	5'6"
Weight	125 lbs	125 lbs
Reach	67"	65"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	3.58	2.41
Striking Accuracy	38%	43%

In the grappling category, Lauren Murphy is not as efficient of a grappler as she takes her opponents to the canvas 1.03 times per 3 rounds. Murphy is finishing her takedown attempts on 34% of her tries and is defending 65% of the takedowns her opponents try. Tate is scoring a takedown on 31% of the takedowns she tries and is stopping 53% of all takedowns attempted on her. Regarding going for the sub, Murphy is less apt at going for the finish by trying 0.1 subs per 15 min while Tate tries 1.4 subs per 3 rounds.

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In her previous bout, Lauren Murphy went up against Valentina Shevchenko and ended up walking away in defeat via punches to the head in round 4. Shevchenko ended up landing 132 of 204 total strikes attempted in that contest. Murphy ended the night having landed 19 of 100 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Shevchenko ended up landing 98 of 170, which gave her a percentage of 57%. She finished the fight landing 62 of 126 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Murphy ended up landing 12% of the significant strikes she threw by landing 11 of 91. Of those significant strikes, she connected on 4 of 73 to the head. 73% of the significant strikes connected on by Shevchenko and 100% of them connected on by Murphy were done at a distance.

In the last bout for Miesha Tate, she squared up with Ketlen Vieira and walked away in defeat via unanimous decision in round 5. Vieira ended up landing 92% of the significant strikes she took from distance and Tate landed 90% of the significant strikes she attempted at distance. Tate ended up connecting on 44% of her significant strikes attempted by connecting on 122 of 276. She landed 52 of 175 significant strikes directed at the head. Vieira ended up connecting on 113 of 263 significant strikes in that contest. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, she connected on 95 of 243 to the head. In regard to total strikes that she let go in that fight, Vieira was 156 of 313 and Tate landed 145 of 302 total strikes.

Other fights to watch out for

One more match to look forward to is when Brian Ortega squares up with Yair Rodriguez. Ortega holds a career mark of 15-2-0 (1 NC). The 31-year-old is weighing in at 145 lbs and measures 5'8". The switch fighter has an arm span of 69". Rodriguez measures 5'11" and steps on the scale at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 14-3-0 (1 NC). The 29-year-old reaches 71". In the grappling category, Brian Ortega takes his opponents down 0.87 times per 15 min and Yair Rodriguez takes his opponents to the mat 0.86 times per 3 rounds. When talking about striking, Ortega lands 4.15 strikes per minute and is landing 38% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side of the cage we have Yair Rodriguez, who is connecting on 45% of the strikes he has attempted and is connecting on 4.65 per min.

Another must see fight on the night is when Muslim Salikhov is set to enter the Octagon against Li Jingliang. Jingliang walks into the Octagon with a record of 18-7-0. The 34-year-old steps on the scale at 170 lbs and measures 6'0". The orthodox fighter reaches 71". Salikhov stands 5'11" and tips the scales at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage holding a record of 18-2-0. The 38-year-old reaches 70". In terms of grappling, Li Jingliang is preventing 58% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is taking his opponents down on 39% of his tries. Salikhov is taking his opponents down on 38% of the attempts he tries and is able to curb 81% of takedowns his opponents have tried. In the category of striking, Jingliang is absorbing 3.74 strikes per minute while he is connecting on 4.42 strikes/minute. Salikhov, at the same time, takes 2.36 strikes/minute and is dealing 3.13 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Miesha Tate (-175)

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Lauren Murphy vs Miesha Tate Pick, 7/16/2022 Predictions UFC Long Island Odds

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