Kris Moutinho vs Guido Cannetti Pick, 3/12/2022 Predictions UFC Vegas 50 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 3/8/2022

ufc picks Kris Moutinho predictions best bet odds

Kris Moutinho vs Guido Cannetti

UFC Vegas 50

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, March 12, 2022

Kris Moutinho will enter the Octagon with Guido Cannetti at UFC Vegas 50 on Saturday, March 12, 2022. The moneyline has Moutinho priced at -145 while Cannetti is at +125.

Kris Moutinho looks to add a victory to his total of 9-5-0. The 29-year-old weighs 135 lbs and stands in at 5'7". The southpaw fighter extends his reach 68". Guido "Ninja" Cannetti stands 5'6" and weighs 135 lbs. The southpaw fighter holds a mark of 8-7-0. The 42-year-old extends his reach 68". Regarding significant strikes, Kris Moutinho lands 4.81 per min and Guido Cannetti is landing 3.20 significant strikes per min. Moutinho connects on 32% of the significant strikes he tries while Cannetti is landing 54%. In terms of defending in the cage, Moutinho absorbs 15.81 significant strikes per minute and "Ninja" absorbs 2.87. Moutinho also deflects 27% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt while Cannetti thwarts 50% of the shots thrown in his direction.

UFC Vegas 50	Kris Moutinho	Guido Cannetti
Opening Odds	-145	+125
Record	9-5-0	8-7-0
Average Fight Time	14:33	9:27
Height	5'7"	5'6"
Weight	135 lbs	135 lbs
Reach	68"	68"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	4.81	3.20
Striking Accuracy	32%	54%

In terms of grappling, Kris Moutinho is not as efficient of a grappler as he is averaging a takedown 0.71 times per 3 rounds. Moutinho is finishing his takedown attempts on 10% of his attempts and stuffing 10% of the takedowns his opponents try. Cannetti is getting his opponent to the mat on 50% of the takedowns he attempts and thwarting 70% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Regarding going for the sub, Moutinho is the more experienced of the two fighters by trying 0.4 finishes per 3 rds while Cannetti tries 0.2 finishes per 3 rounds.

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In his previous bout, Kris Moutinho squared up with Sean O'Malley and was on the losing end of this fight by way of a punch to the head in round 3. O'Malley landed 230 of 318 total strikes attempted in that fight. Moutinho ended the night having landed 70 of 218 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, O'Malley landed 230 of 318, which gave him a percentage of 72%. He ended up landing 177 of 255 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Moutinho ended up landing 32% of his significant strikes by sticking 70 of 218. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he was 39 of 168 pointed at the head. 99% of the significant strikes landed by O'Malley and 98% of them connected on by Moutinho were thrown at distance.

In the last bout for Guido Cannetti, he fought Mana Martinez and wound up losing the fight by split decision in round 3. Martinez connected on 91% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Cannetti landed 96% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Cannetti ended up connecting on 60% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 66 of 109. He connected on 21 of 57 significant strikes aimed at the head. Martinez ended up connecting on 79 of 157 significant strikes in that fight. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he landed 35 of 98 directed at the head. In terms of total strikes attempted in that contest, Martinez ended up landing 88 of 169 while Cannetti ended up connecting on 68 of 111 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights on the card to watch

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Tafon Nchukwi encounters Azamat Murzakanov. Nchukwi has a mark of 6-1-0. The 27-year-old will fight at 205 lbs and comes in at 6'0". The orthodox fighter stretches 77". Murzakanov stands in at 5'10" and tips the scales at 225 lbs. The southpaw fighter holds a career record of 10-0-0. The 32-year-old extends his reach 71". Regarding grappling, Tafon Nchukwi gets a takedown 1.15 times per 15 min while Azamat Murzakanov takes his opponents to the canvas 0.86 times per 15 minutes. When talking about striking, Nchukwi connects for an average of 6.56 strikes per minute and connects on 53% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side of the cage you've got Azamat Murzakanov, who connects on 52% of the strikes he has attempted and lands 3.00 per minute.

One more can't miss bout is when Gillian Robertson is set to square up in the Octagon with JJ Aldrich. Aldrich will be looking to add a win to her record of 10-4-0. The 29-year-old is fighting at 125 lbs and stands 5'5". The southpaw fighter reaches 67". Robertson measures in at 5'5" and steps on the scale at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage with a mark of 10-6-0. The 26-year-old extends her reach 63". In terms of wrestling, JJ Aldrich is able to curb 68% of the takedowns her opponents try and is getting her opponent to the mat on 41% of her tries. Robertson is taking her opponents down on 44% of her tries and prevents 16% of all takedown tries against her. With reference to striking, Aldrich is absorbing 4.56 strikes per minute and she is dealing 4.05 per minute. Robertson, moreover, is absorbing 2.59 strikes/min and dishes out 2.23 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Kris Moutinho (-145)

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Kris Moutinho vs Guido Cannetti Pick, 3/12/2022 Predictions UFC Vegas 50 Odds

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