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Free Picks » UFC Picks » Kamaru Usman vs Leon Edwards Pick, 8/20/2022 Predictions UFC 278 Odds

Kamaru Usman vs Leon Edwards Pick, 8/20/2022 Predictions UFC 278 Odds

by Tony Sink - 8/15/2022

ufc picks Leon Edwards predictions best bet odds

Kamaru Usman vs Leon Edwards

UFC 278

Vivint Arena in Salt Lake City, UT

Saturday, August 20, 2022

Kamaru Usman will battle Leon Edwards at UFC 278 on Saturday, August 20, 2022. The opening odds have Usman coming in at -350 while Edwards is at +290.

Kamaru "The Nigerian Nightmare" Usman steps into the Octagon with a mark of 20-1-0. The 35-year-old weighs in at 170 lbs and measures in at 6'0". The switch fighter has a wingspan of 76". Leon "Rocky" Edwards comes in at 6'2" and will fight at 170 lbs. The southpaw fighter walks into the cage holding a mark of 19-3-0 (1 NC). The 30-year-old has a wingspan of 74". In the category of significant strikes, Kamaru Usman lands 4.66 per min and Leon Edwards is connecting on 2.62 significant strikes per min. Usman is landing 52% of the significant strikes he throws and Edwards is connecting on 49%. When it comes to defending in the cage, "The Nigerian Nightmare" absorbs 2.59 significant strikes per min while "Rocky" takes 2.15. Usman also deflects 58% of the significant strikes that are directed at him and Edwards is able to stop 55% of the strikes thrown his way.

 

UFC 278 Kamaru Usman Leon Edwards
Opening Odds -350 +290
Record 20-1-0 19-3-0 (1 NC)
Average Fight Time 16:40 15:15
Height 6'0" 6'2"
Weight 170 lbs 170 lbs
Reach 76" 74"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.66 2.62
Striking Accuracy 52% 49%

 

Regarding grappling, Kamaru Usman is the better grappler as he is averaging a takedown 3.00 times per 15 minutes. Usman is getting his opponent to the mat on 49% of his attempts and is defending 85% of all takedowns attempted on him. Edwards is taking his opponents to the mat on 35% of his takedown tries and is stopping 70% of the tries against him. Regarding submissions, Usman is less likely to go for the finish by attempting 0.1 finishes per 15 min while Edwards looks to get 0.3 finishes per 3 rounds.

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In his last bout, Kamaru Usman fought Colby Covington and took home the win by way of unanimous decision in round 5. Covington landed 119 of 298 of the strikes he threw in total in this fight. Usman walked away from this fight having landed 158 of 336 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Covington landed 107 of 281, giving him a percentage of 38%. He ended up landing 79 of 242 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Usman landed 41% of his significant strikes by sticking 123 of 293. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he connected on 80 of 241 to the head. 94% of the significant strikes landed by Covington and 86% of them connected on by Usman were tallied at distance.

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In the last Octagon appearance for Leon Edwards, he went up against Nate Diaz and got a win for the night by way of unanimous decision in round 5. Diaz landed 86% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Edwards ended up connecting on 88% of his significant strikes at distance. Edwards connected on 58% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 77 of 132. He landed 48 of 97 significant strikes directed at the head. Diaz connected on 76 of 162 significant strikes in that battle. Out of those significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 52 of 129 aimed at the head. In terms of total strikes attempted in that fight, Diaz landed 130 of 223 and Edwards connected on 83 of 139 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights to watch

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Paulo Costa squares up with Luke Rockhold. Costa will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 13-2-0. The 31-year-old weighs in at 185 lbs and measures in at 6'1". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 72". Rockhold stands in at 6'3" and will fight at 185 lbs. The southpaw fighter has a record of 16-5-0. The 37-year-old reaches 77". In the grappling category, Paulo Costa gets his opposition to the mat 0.21 times per 15 minutes and Luke Rockhold takes his opponents down 0.67 times per 3 rds. Regarding striking, Costa lands an average of 6.85 strikes/minute and is connecting on 59% out of all the strikes he attempts. The other fighter in this bout is Luke Rockhold, who connects on 48% of the strikes he attempts and lands an average of 4.18 per minute.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Merab Dvalishvili is set to clash with Jose Aldo. Aldo walks into the cage with a mark of 31-7-0. The 35-year-old will fight at 135 lbs and comes in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 70". Dvalishvili comes in at 5'6" and is fighting at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his total of 14-4-0. The 31-year-old has a reach of 68". Concerning grappling, Jose Aldo is able to stop 90% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is taking his opponents down on 54% of the times he tries. Dvalishvili is taking his opponents to the mat on 45% of his attempts and is able to defend against 78% of all takedown tries against him. In the matter of striking, Aldo absorbs 3.74 strikes/minute and he is landing 3.61 strikes per min. Dvalishvili, on the contrary, absorbs 2.28 strikes/minute and is connecting on 4.26 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Kamaru Usman (-350)

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