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Julian Marquez vs Deron Winn Pick, 12/17/2022 Predictions UFC Vegas 66 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 12/14/2022

ufc picks Deron Winn predictions best bet odds

Julian Marquez vs Deron Winn

UFC Vegas 66

UFC Apex in Las Vegas

Saturday, December 17, 2022

Julian Marquez will battle Deron Winn at UFC Vegas 66 on Saturday, December 17, 2022. The moneyline has Marquez at -170 while Winn is at +145.

Julian "The Cuban Missile Crisis" Marquez has a career record of 9-3-0. The 32-year-old is fighting at 185 lbs and stands in at 6'2". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 72". Deron Winn measures in at 5'6" and records a weight of 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 7-3-0. The 33-year-old has a reach of 70". With respect to significant strikes, Julian Marquez connects on 4.18 per minute while Deron Winn is connecting on 4.55 significant strikes per minute. Marquez connects on 43% of the significant strikes he attempts while Winn is connecting on 44%. When it comes to defending in the cage, "The Cuban Missile Crisis" absorbs 3.84 significant strikes per min and Winn allows 6.21. Marquez also prevents 51% of the significant strikes that are directed at him and Winn is able to defend against 46% of the shots thrown his way.

 

UFC Vegas 66 Julian Marquez Deron Winn
Opening Odds -170 +145
Record 9-3-0 7-3-0
Average Fight Time 9:07 13:20
Height 6'2" 5'6"
Weight 185 lbs 185 lbs
Reach 72" 70"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.18 4.55
Striking Accuracy 43% 44%

 

In the wrestling category, Julian Marquez is not as efficient of a wrestler as he is averaging a takedown 0.50 times per 3 rounds. Marquez is getting his opponent to the mat on 15% of his tries and defending 53% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Winn is taking his opponents to the canvas on 52% of his takedown tries and stopping 40% of the tries against him. Regarding going for the sub, Marquez is the more skilled of the two fighters by trying 3.0 submissions per 3 rds while Winn looks to get 0.6 submissions per 15 min.

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In his last appearance in the Octagon, Julian Marquez went up against Gregory Rodrigues and walked away in defeat via a punch to the head in round 1. Rodrigues ended up landing 50 of 74 total strikes that he let go. Marquez finished this fight landing 13 of 42 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Rodrigues landed 49 of 72, which means his percentage was 68%. He landed 46 of 67 significant strikes aimed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Marquez ended up landing 30% of his significant strikes by landing 13 of 42. Of those significant strikes, he connected on 8 of 36 to the head. 67% of the significant strikes connected on by Rodrigues and 100% of them landed by Marquez were tallied at a distance.

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In the last Octagon appearance for Deron Winn, he went up against Phil Hawes and was on the losing end of this fight by way of an elbow to the head in round 2. Hawes ended up landing 75% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Winn ended up landing 90% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Winn landed 28% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 32 of 111. He ended up connecting on 24 of 101 significant strikes aimed at the head. Hawes ended up connecting on 118 of 175 significant strikes in that battle. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he connected on 99 of 152 aimed at the head. Discussing the strikes he fired off in this contest, Hawes ended up connecting on 126 of 191 and Winn connected on 34 of 114 of all the strikes he threw.

Other bouts on the card to watch

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Said Nurmagomedov encounters Saidyokub Kakhramonov. Nurmagomedov will be looking to add a win to his career total of 16-2-0. The 30-year-old tips the scales at 135 lbs and stands in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 70". Kakhramonov stands in at 5'8" and will fight at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a mark of 10-2-0. The 27-year-old extends his reach 69". In the grappling category, Said Nurmagomedov takes his opponents to the canvas 0.61 times per 15 min while Saidyokub Kakhramonov scores a takedown 6.07 times per 3 rds. When talking about striking, Nurmagomedov connects for an average of 4.15 strikes per minute and lands 46% of his attempted strikes. Joining him in the Octagon is Saidyokub Kakhramonov, who tags the opposition on 54% of the strikes that he throws and is landing 2.29 per minute.

One more can't miss bout is when Hayisaer Maheshate is set to take on Rafa Garcia. Garcia has a career record of 14-3-0. The 28-year-old will fight at 155 lbs and measures in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter reaches 70". Maheshate measures in at 6'0" and will fight at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a career mark of 9-1-0. The 23-year-old has a reach of 71". In terms of grappling, Rafa Garcia is able to defend against 76% of the takedowns fighters have gone for and is finishing his takedowns on 42% of his attempts. Maheshate is taking his opponents down on 15% of the tries he takes and thwarts 15% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Concerning striking, Garcia takes 4.75 strikes per min while he is landing 3.26 per minute. Maheshate, on the other side, takes 3.39 strikes/min and connects on 3.45 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Deron Winn (+145)

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