John Castaneda vs Daniel Santos Pick, 10/1/2022 Predictions UFC Vegas 61 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 9/27/2022

John Castaneda vs Daniel Santos

UFC Vegas 61

APEX in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, October 1, 2022

John Castaneda will face off against Daniel Santos at UFC Vegas 61 on Saturday, October 1, 2022. The opener has Castaneda at -195 while Santos is at +165.

John "Sexy Mexi" Castaneda looks to add a victory to his career record of 19-5-0. The 30-year-old is fighting at 135 lbs and measures in at 5'6". The switch fighter stretches 71". Daniel "Willycat" Santos comes in at 5'7" and steps on the scale at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his record of 8-2-0. The 27-year-old stretches 67". In the category of significant strikes, John Castaneda connects on 4.38 per min while Daniel Santos is connecting on 3.27 significant strikes per min. Castaneda lands 46% of the significant strikes he tries while Santos connects on 21%. Concerning the fighter's defense, "Sexy Mexi" takes 4.53 significant strikes per minute while "Willycat" takes 8.47. Castaneda also thwarts 56% of the significant strikes that are directed at him and Santos curbs 52% of the shots thrown.

UFC Vegas 61	John Castaneda	Daniel Santos
Opening Odds	-195	+165
Record	19-5-0	8-2-0
Average Fight Time	11:36	15:00
Height	5'6"	5'7"
Weight	135 lbs	135 lbs
Reach	71"	67"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	4.38	3.27
Striking Accuracy	46%	21%

Concerning wrestling, John Castaneda is the more productive grappler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 0.65 times per 3 rounds. Castaneda is finishing his takedown attempts on 22% of his attempts and stopping 63% of all takedowns attempted on him. Santos is scoring a takedown on 0% of the takedowns he tries and is stuffing 100% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Regarding submission attempts, Castaneda is the less likely of the two fighters to go for the finish by trying 0.3 finishes per 15 minutes while Santos attempts 0.6 finishes per 15 minutes.

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In his last appearance in the Octagon, John Castaneda faced Miles Johns and wound up taking home the victory by way of an arm triangle from half guard in round 3. Johns ended up landing 34 of 85 of the strikes he let go in total for this contest. Castaneda finished this fight landing 68 of 159 total strikes. In regard to significant strikes, Johns landed 34 of 85, which gave him a percentage of 40%. He landed 27 of 76 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Castaneda landed 39% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 58 of 147. Out of those significant strikes, he was 40 of 113 pointed at the head. 97% of the significant strikes connected on by Johns and 81% of them landed by Castaneda were thrown at a distance.

In the last fight for Daniel Santos, he battled Julio Arce and ended up walking away in defeat by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Arce ended up connecting on 98% of the significant strikes he took from distance while Santos ended up landing 93% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Santos landed 21% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 49 of 229. He connected on 27 of 197 significant strikes aimed at the head. Arce connected on 127 of 265 significant strikes in that battle. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 100 of 228 aimed at the head. Regarding total strikes attempted in that fight, Arce landed 127 of 265 while Santos was 49 of 229 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights to watch

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Mike Davis squares up with Viacheslav Borshchev. Davis comes into this fight holding a mark of 9-2-0. The 29-year-old will fight at 155 lbs and measures in at 6'0". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 72". Borshchev measures in at 5'11" and is weighing in at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a mark of 6-2-0. The 30-year-old reaches 69". In the grappling category, Mike Davis gets a takedown 1.39 times per 15 min and Viacheslav Borshchev takes his opponents to the canvas 0.50 times per 3 rds. In terms of striking, Davis is connecting on 6.24 strikes per min and connects on 53% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side we have Viacheslav Borshchev, who connects on 63% of the strikes he has tried and lands 2.85 per minute.

Another must see fight on the night is when Yan Xiaonan is set to face off against Mackenzie Dern. Dern steps into the Octagon with a record of 12-2-0. The 29-year-old steps on the scale at 115 lbs and comes in at 5'4". The orthodox fighter reaches 63". Xiaonan measures 5'5" and tips the scales at 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to her record of 15-3-0 (1 NC). The 33-year-old stretches 63". In terms of wrestling, Mackenzie Dern is able to stop 40% of the takedowns her opponents try and is taking her opponents to the canvas on 9% of her tries. Xiaonan is finishing her takedown tries on 66% of the tries she takes and deflects 65% of all takedown attempts. Concerning striking, Dern is absorbing 4.35 strikes per min and she is dealing 3.16 strikes/minute. Xiaonan, moreover, absorbs 3.77 strikes/min and is dealing 5.66 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take John Castaneda (-195)

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John Castaneda vs Daniel Santos Pick, 10/1/2022 Predictions UFC Vegas 61 Odds

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