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Free Picks » UFC Picks » Jessica Penne vs Tabatha Ricci Pick, 10/1/2022 Predictions UFC Vegas 61 Odds

Jessica Penne vs Tabatha Ricci Pick, 10/1/2022 Predictions UFC Vegas 61 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 9/27/2022

jessica penne ufc

Jessica Penne vs Tabatha Ricci

UFC Vegas 61

APEX in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, October 1, 2022

Jessica Penne will take on Tabatha Ricci at UFC Vegas 61 on Saturday, October 1, 2022. The line has Penne priced at +180 while Ricci is priced at -210.

Jessica Penne walks into the Octagon holding a record of 14-7-0. The 39-year-old tips the scales at 115 lbs and stands in at 5'5". The orthodox fighter reaches 67". Tabatha "Baby Shark" Ricci comes in at 5'1" and tips the scales at 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a mark of 7-1-0. The 27-year-old extends her reach 61". When talking about significant strikes, Jessica Penne lands 2.62 per min while Tabatha Ricci connects on 2.95 significant strikes per min. Penne is landing 32% of the significant strikes she tries while Ricci lands 37%. When it comes to the fighter's defense, Penne allows 4.74 significant strikes per minute and "Baby Shark" absorbs 4.89. Penne also stops 47% of the significant strikes her opponents attempt and Ricci deflects 58% of the shots thrown.

 

UFC Vegas 61 Jessica Penne Tabatha Ricci
Opening Odds +180 -210
Record 14-7-0 7-1-0
Average Fight Time 11:46 12:40
Height 5'5" 5'1"
Weight 115 lbs 115 lbs
Reach 67" 61"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 2.62 2.95
Striking Accuracy 32% 37%

 

Concerning takedowns, Jessica Penne is not as effective of a wrestler as she is able to score a takedown 1.39 times per 15 min. Penne is scoring a takedown on 21% of her tries and stuffing 40% of the takedowns her opponents try. Ricci is getting her opponent to the mat on 45% of her takedown tries and stopping 0% of the attempts against her. In terms of submissions, Penne is the more experienced submission fighter by trying 0.6 subs per 15 min while Ricci looks to get 0.4 subs per 3 rds.

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In her last appearance in the Octagon, Jessica Penne faced Emily Ducote and ended up losing the fight by unanimous decision in round 3. Ducote ended up landing 117 of 206 of the strikes she threw in total in this fight. Penne walked away from this fight having landed 68 of 249 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Ducote ended up landing 116 of 205, which gave her a percentage of 56%. She landed 41 of 113 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side, Penne landed 25% of the significant strikes she threw by landing 63 of 244. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, she connected on 37 of 208 pointed at the head. 99% of the significant strikes landed by Ducote and 87% of them landed by Penne were tallied at distance.

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In the last fight for Tabatha Ricci, she fought Polyana Viana and took home the victory via unanimous decision in round 3. Viana landed 80% of the significant strikes she took from distance and Ricci connected on 63% of the significant strikes she attempted at distance. Ricci ended up connecting on 45% of the significant strikes she attempted by connecting on 33 of 73. She landed 11 of 43 significant strikes aimed at the head. Viana landed 36 of 97 significant strikes in that contest. Of those significant strikes, she connected on 18 of 74 aimed at the head. In relation to total strikes that she let go in that contest, Viana was 126 of 212 and Ricci connected on 72 of 126 of the strikes she threw in total.

Other bouts on the card to watch out for

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Randy Brown goes up against Francisco Trinaldo. Brown steps into the cage with a mark of 15-4-0. The 32-year-old is fighting at 170 lbs and measures in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 78". Trinaldo measures in at 5'9" and records a weight of 170 lbs. The southpaw fighter walks into the cage holding a mark of 28-8-0. The 44-year-old has an arm span of 70". Regarding grappling, Randy Brown takes his opponents down 0.76 times per 15 min while Francisco Trinaldo is able to score a takedown 0.98 times per 15 min. When it comes to striking, Brown tags his opponents 4.42 strikes per minute and is connecting on 48% of the strikes that he attempts. The other guy in this fight is Francisco Trinaldo, who tags his opponent on 44% of the strikes he has tried and is connecting on 3.15 per minute.

One more can't miss bout is when Trevin Jones is set to enter the Octagon against Raoni Barcelos. Barcelos has a career mark of 16-3-0. The 35-year-old is fighting at 135 lbs and stands 5'7". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 67". Jones stands 5'7" and tips the scales at 135 lbs. The southpaw fighter steps into the cage with a mark of 13-8-0 (1 NC). The 32-year-old has a wingspan of 70". In the category of takedowns, Raoni Barcelos is able to thwart 92% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is getting his opponent to the mat on 43% of his tries. Jones is finishing his takedown tries on 12% of the tries he takes and is able to stop 71% of all takedown tries against him. In the matter of striking, Barcelos takes 5.64 strikes/minute and he is connecting on 5.98 strikes per min. Jones, in contrast, is taking 5.00 strikes/minute and is dealing 2.90 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Tabatha Ricci (-210)

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