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Jared Gordon vs Grant Dawson Pick, 4/30/2022 Predictions UFC Vegas 53 Odds

by Tony Sink - 4/26/2022

ufc picks Jared Gordon predictions best bet odds

Jared Gordon vs Grant Dawson

UFC Vegas 53

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, April 30, 2022

Jared Gordon will enter the Octagon against Grant Dawson at UFC Vegas 53 on Saturday, April 30, 2022. The odds have Gordon coming in at +125 while Dawson is at -145.

Jared "Flash" Gordon walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 18-4-0. The 33-year-old weighs 155 lbs and measures in at 5'9". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 68". Grant "KGD" Dawson stands in at 5'10" and weighs 155 lbs. The switch fighter steps into the cage with a record of 17-1-1. The 28-year-old extends his reach 72". In the category of significant strikes, Jared Gordon lands 5.22 per minute and Grant Dawson connects on 3.06 significant strikes per min. Gordon is connecting on 56% of the significant strikes he throws and Dawson connects on 50%. In terms of defending in the cage, "Flash" absorbs 3.12 significant strikes per min while "KGD" allows 2.05. Gordon also thwarts 59% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way while Dawson is able to curb 49% of the shots thrown in his direction.

 

UFC Vegas 53 Jared Gordon Grant Dawson
Opening Odds +125 -145
Record 18-4-0 17-1-1
Average Fight Time 11:10 11:28
Height 5'9" 5'10"
Weight 155 lbs 155 lbs
Reach 68" 72"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 5.22 3.06
Striking Accuracy 56% 50%

 

In the grappling category, Jared Gordon is not as efficient of a grappler as he is averaging a takedown 2.54 times per 3 rds. Gordon is taking his opponents to the canvas on 39% of his attempts and is stuffing 50% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Dawson is taking his opponents down on 32% of his takedown attempts and defending 40% of all takedowns attempted on him. In terms of subbing opponents, Gordon is less likely to go for the finish by going for 0.6 finishes per 15 min while Dawson goes for 1.3 finishes per 15 min.

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In his last fight, Jared Gordon squared up with Joe Solecki and took home the win by split decision in round 3. Solecki landed 70 of 102 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Gordon ended the night having landed 83 of 122 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Solecki ended up landing 38 of 69, giving him a percentage of 55%. He landed 31 of 62 significant strikes to the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Gordon landed 59% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 51 of 86. Of all the significant strikes, he was 32 of 60 pointed at the head. 65% of the significant strikes connected on by Solecki and 64% of them landed by Gordon were thrown at a distance.

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In the last bout for Grant Dawson, he battled Ricky Glenn and ended up in a draw by way of majority decision in round 3. Glenn connected on 28% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Dawson landed 12% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Dawson ended up connecting on 77% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 24 of 31. He ended up landing 12 of 17 significant strikes directed at the head. Glenn landed 28 of 41 significant strikes in that fight. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he connected on 19 of 26 aimed at the head. Regarding total strikes that he threw in that fight, Glenn ended up landing 88 of 104 while Dawson was 71 of 85 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other fights to keep an eye on

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Darren Elkins battles Tristan Connelly. Elkins will be looking to add a victory to his total of 27-10-0. The 37-year-old weighs in at 145 lbs and measures in at 5'10". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 71". Connelly measures 5'10" and is fighting at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout with a record of 14-7-0. The 36-year-old has an arm span of 68". Regarding grappling, Darren Elkins takes his opponents down 2.65 times per 3 rds and Tristan Connelly is averaging a takedown 0.50 times per 15 minutes. In the striking category, Elkins lands an average of 3.44 strikes per minute and is connecting on 38% of the strikes that he throws. Joining him in the Octagon is Tristan Connelly, who is connecting on 47% of the strikes he has thrown and connects on 2.77 per min.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Gerald Meerschaert is set to enter the Octagon with Krzysztof Jotko. Jotko will be looking to add a victory to his record of 23-5-0. The 32-year-old tips the scales at 185 lbs and measures in at 6'1". The southpaw fighter has an arm span of 77". Meerschaert measures 6'1" and records a weight of 185 lbs. The southpaw fighter comes into this bout holding a record of 34-14-0. The 34-year-old has a reach of 77". When it comes to takedowns, Krzysztof Jotko is preventing 83% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is finishing his takedown attempts on 34% of the times he tries. Meerschaert is taking his opponents down on 41% of the attempts he tries and curbs 35% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. In the category of striking, Jotko takes 2.24 strikes per minute and he connects on 2.92 strikes/minute. Meerschaert, on the contrary, absorbs 3.43 strikes/minute and dishes out 3.11 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Grant Dawson (-145)

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