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Jan Blachowicz vs Aleksandar Rakic Pick, 5/14/2022 Predictions UFC Vegas 54 Odds

by Tony Sink - 5/10/2022

ufc picks Jan Blachowicz predictions best bet odds

Jan Blachowicz vs Aleksandar Rakic

UFC Vegas 54

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Jan Blachowicz will enter the Octagon against Aleksandar Rakic at UFC Vegas 54 on . The opening line has Blachowicz coming in at +140 while Rakic is at -170.

Jan Blachowicz looks to add a victory to his record of 28-9-0. The 39-year-old tips the scales at 205 lbs and stands 6'2". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 78". Aleksandar Rakic stands in at 6'4" and weighs in at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career mark of 14-2-0. The 30-year-old stretches 78". Regarding significant strikes, Jan Blachowicz connects on 3.59 per minute and Aleksandar Rakic connects on 4.23 significant strikes per minute. Blachowicz is landing 49% of the significant strikes he attempts while Rakic is connecting on 52%. When it comes to defending in the Octagon, Blachowicz absorbs 2.79 significant strikes per minute while Rakic takes 2.23. Blachowicz also defends 53% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction while Rakic is able to deflect 52% of the shots thrown in his direction.

 

UFC Vegas 54 Jan Blachowicz Aleksandar Rakic
Opening Odds +140 -170
Record 28-9-0 14-2-0
Average Fight Time 12:24 11:25
Height 6'2" 6'4"
Weight 205 lbs 205 lbs
Reach 78" 78"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.59 4.23
Striking Accuracy 49% 52%

 

When it comes to grappling, Jan Blachowicz is averaging more takedowns in the cage as he takes his opponents down 1.14 times per 15 min. Blachowicz is getting his opponent to the mat on 53% of his tries and stopping 65% of the tries against him. Rakic is scoring a takedown on 25% of his takedown tries and thwarting 90% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Regarding submissions, Blachowicz is less apt at going for the finish by attempting 0.2 finishes per 15 minutes while Rakic tries 0.4 finishes per 3 rds.

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The last time he fought, Jan Blachowicz went up against Glover Teixeira and ended up taking the loss by way of rear naked choke in round 2. Teixeira ended up landing 71 of 93 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Blachowicz walked away from this fight having landed 53 of 73 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Teixeira landed 23 of 39, which gave him a rate of 58%. He landed 17 of 33 significant strikes aimed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Blachowicz landed 62% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 28 of 45. Of all the significant strikes, he landed 20 of 37 pointed at the head. 47% of the significant strikes connected on by Teixeira and 92% of them connected on by Blachowicz were thrown at distance.

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In the last fight for Aleksandar Rakic, he went up against Thiago Santos and ended up getting the victory by unanimous decision in round 3. Santos landed 71% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Rakic landed 80% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Rakic landed 40% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 36 of 89. He ended up landing 8 of 47 significant strikes aimed at the head. Santos connected on 49 of 97 significant strikes in that contest. Out of those significant strikes, he ended up landing 10 of 41 aimed at the head. Regarding total strikes thrown, Santos ended up connecting on 61 of 109 while Rakic was 50 of 103 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other bouts on the card to watch

One more match to look forward to is when Ryan Spann takes on Ion Cutelaba. Spann holds a mark of 19-7-0. The 30-year-old records a weight of 205 lbs and stands in at 6'5". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 79". Cutelaba stands in at 6'1" and will fight at 205 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a victory to his total of 16-6-1 (1 NC). The 28-year-old stretches 75". When it comes to grappling, Ryan Spann takes his opponents to the mat 1.58 times per 15 min and Ion Cutelaba gets a takedown 4.39 times per 3 rounds. In terms of striking, Spann is connecting on 3.43 strikes/min and connects on 44% of the strikes that he attempts. On the other side of the cage you've got Ion Cutelaba, who lands 42% of the strikes he attempts and lands 4.91 per minute.

Another must see fight on the night is when Louis Smolka is set to square up in the Octagon against Davey Grant. Grant walks into the cage with a record of 13-6-0. The 36-year-old will fight at 135 lbs and stands in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 69". Smolka comes in at 5'9" and is weighing in at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout holding a record of 17-8-0. The 30-year-old extends his reach 68". Regarding wrestling, Davey Grant is stopping 60% of the takedowns his opponents try and is taking his opponents down on 44% of his tries. Smolka is taking his opponents to the mat on 37% of the tries he takes and is able to stop 31% of all takedown attempts. With regard to striking, Grant is taking 3.75 strikes/minute while he lands 4.55 strikes per min. Smolka, on the other hand, is absorbing 3.87 strikes per min and lands 4.54 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Jan Blachowicz (+140)

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