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Jailton Almeida vs Maxim Grishin Pick, 11/5/2022 Predictions UFC Vegas 64 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 10/31/2022

ufc picks Maxim Grishin predictions best bet odds

Jailton Almeida vs Maxim Grishin

UFC Vegas 64

UFC APEX in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, November 5, 2022

Jailton Almeida will face off with Maxim Grishin at UFC Vegas 64 on Saturday, November 5, 2022. The opening odds have Almeida coming in at -660 while Grishin is coming in at +490.

Jailton "Malhadinho" Almeida holds a career mark of 17-2-0. The 31-year-old weighs in at 205 lbs and stands 6'3". The orthodox fighter stretches 79". Maxim "Maximus" Grishin measures in at 6'3" and steps on the scale at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his total of 32-9-2. The 38-year-old has a reach of 78". When talking about significant strikes, Jailton Almeida is landing 3.56 per min and Maxim Grishin lands 3.40 significant strikes per min. Almeida connects on 57% of the significant strikes he throws and Grishin lands 52%. When it comes to the fighter's defense, "Malhadinho" allows 0.43 significant strikes per min and "Maximus" absorbs 2.07. Almeida also stops 11% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt while Grishin stops 59% of the shots thrown.

 

UFC Vegas 64 Jailton Almeida Maxim Grishin
Opening Odds -660 +490
Record 17-2-0 32-9-2
Average Fight Time 4:42 13:45
Height 6'3" 6'3"
Weight 205 lbs 205 lbs
Reach 79" 78"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.56 3.40
Striking Accuracy 57% 52%

 

Concerning grappling, Jailton Almeida is the more effective grappler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 7.18 times per 15 min. Almeida is taking his opponents to the canvas on 75% of his attempts and defending 50% of all takedowns attempted on him. Grishin is finishing his takedowns on 33% of his takedown attempts and stopping 66% of the attempts against him. Regarding going for the sub, Almeida is the more skilled of the two fighters by going for 3.2 finishes per 3 rounds while Grishin tries 0.5 finishes per 15 minutes.

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The last time he fought, Jailton Almeida faced Anton Turkalj and took home the victory by rear naked choke in round 1. Turkalj ended up landing 19 of 22 of the strikes he threw in total in this fight. Almeida finished this fight landing 23 of 31 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Turkalj ended up landing 1 of 1, which gave him a percentage of 100%. He ended up landing 0 of 0 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Almeida ended up landing 70% of his significant strikes by sticking 17 of 24. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he was 17 of 22 to the head. 100% of the significant strikes connected on by Turkalj and 0% of them landed by Almeida were thrown at a distance.

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In the last Octagon appearance for Maxim Grishin, he squared up with William Knight and got a win for the night by unanimous decision in round 3. Knight ended up connecting on 76% of his significant strikes at distance and Grishin ended up connecting on 89% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Grishin ended up landing 77% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 69 of 89. He connected on 16 of 32 significant strikes to the head. Knight landed 21 of 68 significant strikes in that contest. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he ended up landing 9 of 39 directed at the head. In relation to total strikes that he let go in that fight, Knight ended up connecting on 32 of 79 and Grishin ended up connecting on 88 of 112 of all the strikes he threw.

Other fights on the card to watch

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Darrick Minner battles Shayilan Nuerdanbieke. Minner comes into this bout holding a record of 26-13-0. The 32-year-old weighs in at 145 lbs and stands in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 69". Nuerdanbieke measures 5'8" and steps on the scale at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon holding a record of 38-10-0. The 28-year-old has a wingspan of 69". Regarding grappling, Darrick Minner scores a takedown 2.46 times per 3 rds and Shayilan Nuerdanbieke scores a takedown 3.00 times per 15 minutes. When it comes to striking, Minner tags his opponents 2.58 strikes/minute and landing 64% of his attempted strikes. The other guy in this fight is Shayilan Nuerdanbieke, who is landing 42% of the strikes he has attempted and lands an average of 1.80 per min.

Another must see fight on the night is when Benito Lopez is set to encounter Mario Bautista. Bautista steps into the cage with a record of 10-2-0. The 29-year-old is fighting at 135 lbs and stands 5'9". The switch fighter has a reach of 69". Lopez stands in at 5'10" and is fighting at 135 lbs. The switch fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 10-1-0. The 28-year-old has a reach of 73". Regarding wrestling, Mario Bautista curbs 66% of the takedowns fighters have gone for and is taking his opponents down on 63% of the times he tries. Lopez is taking his opponents down on 15% of his attempts and is able to deflect 78% of all takedown attempts. In the category of striking, Bautista takes 3.96 strikes/min and he is dishing out 5.27 strikes per min. Lopez, on the other side, takes 4.80 strikes per min and is landing 4.49 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Jailton Almeida (-660)

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