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Istela Nunes vs Sam Hughes Pick, 4/16/2022 Predictions UFC Vegas 51 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 4/12/2022

ufc picks Istela Nunes predictions best bet odds

Istela Nunes vs Sam Hughes

UFC Vegas 51

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, April 16, 2022

Istela Nunes will battle Sam Hughes at UFC Vegas 51 on Saturday, April 16, 2022. The moneyline has Nunes coming in at -210 while Hughes is coming in at +175.

Istela Nunes has a career mark of 6-2-0 (1 NC). The 29-year-old is weighing in at 115 lbs and comes in at 5'4". The orthodox fighter reaches 66". Sam "Sampage" Hughes comes in at 5'5" and is weighing in at 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage holding a mark of 5-4-0. The 29-year-old stretches 64". In terms of significant strikes, Istela Nunes is landing 4.79 per min while Sam Hughes connects on 3.49 significant strikes per min. Nunes lands 52% of the significant strikes she attempts and Hughes is connecting on 47%. Regarding defending in the cage, Nunes takes 2.78 significant strikes per min and "Sampage" absorbs 5.60. Nunes also defends 66% of the significant strikes her opponents throw at her and Hughes is able to stop 49% of the shots thrown.

 

UFC Vegas 51 Istela Nunes Sam Hughes
Opening Odds -210 +175
Record 6-2-0 (1 NC) 5-4-0
Average Fight Time 12:57 11:40
Height 5'4" 5'5"
Weight 115 lbs 115 lbs
Reach 66" 64"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.79 3.49
Striking Accuracy 52% 47%

 

Regarding grappling, Istela Nunes is the more apt wrestler as she is able to score a takedown 0.60 times per 3 rounds. Nunes is getting her opponent to the mat on 10% of her tries and stuffing 28% of all takedown attempts. Hughes is scoring a takedown on 10% of her takedown tries and stopping 41% of the attempts against her. When it comes to submissions, Nunes is the more capable of the two fighters by trying 0.5 subs per 15 min while Hughes tries 0.3 subs per 3 rounds.

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In her previous bout, Istela Nunes went up against Ariane Carnelossi and was on the losing end of this fight by way of rear naked choke in round 3. Carnelossi landed 76 of 158 total strikes that she let go. Nunes finished this fight landing 98 of 156 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Carnelossi ended up landing 36 of 108, which means her percentage was 33%. She finished the fight landing 33 of 103 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Nunes ended up landing 52% of her significant strikes by connecting on 62 of 119. Out of those significant strikes, she was 37 of 88 aimed at the head. 91% of the significant strikes connected on by Carnelossi and 87% of them connected on by Nunes were done at distance.

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In the last Octagon appearance for Sam Hughes, she went up against Luana Pinheiro and ended up taking the loss via unanimous decision in round 3. Pinheiro connected on 88% of the significant strikes she attempted at distance and Hughes connected on 94% of her significant strikes at distance. Hughes landed 40% of her significant strikes attempted by landing 53 of 130. She connected on 23 of 72 significant strikes to the head. Pinheiro connected on 60 of 159 significant strikes in that battle. Of those significant strikes, she connected on 40 of 126 aimed at the head. When discussing total strikes thrown in that contest, Pinheiro ended up connecting on 67 of 170 while Hughes was 65 of 147 of all the strikes she attempted.

Other fights to watch out for

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Vicente Luque goes up against Belal Muhammad. Luque steps into the cage holding a record of 21-7-1. The 30-year-old records a weight of 170 lbs and measures in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 75". Muhammad stands 5'11" and is weighing in at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his career total of 20-3-0 (1 NC). The 33-year-old has a wingspan of 72". In the grappling category, Vicente Luque takes his opponents to the canvas 0.64 times per 3 rds while Belal Muhammad takes his opponents to the canvas 2.20 times per 15 min. When it comes to striking, Luque connects for an average of 5.65 strikes per min and connecting on 54% of the strikes that he attempts. On the other side we have Belal Muhammad, who lands 43% of his attempted strikes and connects for an average of 4.55 per minute.

One more can't miss bout is when Gadzhi Omargadzhiev is set to face off against Caio Borralho. Borralho will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 10-1-0 (1 NC). The 29-year-old weighs 185 lbs and stands in at 5'10". The southpaw fighter extends his reach 75". Omargadzhiev measures 6'1" and weighs in at 185 lbs. The switch fighter steps into the cage with a record of 13-0-0. The 29-year-old has an arm span of 71". Regarding wrestling, Caio Borralho is able to curb 80% of the takedowns fighters have attempted and is taking his opponents to the mat on 75% of the times he tries. Omargadzhiev is finishing his takedown tries on 80% of his attempts and deflects 10% of all takedown tries against him. In the matter of striking, Borralho is absorbing 2.40 strikes per minute while he lands 4.86 strikes per minute. Omargadzhiev, notwithstanding, is taking 0.46 strikes per min and is connecting on 2.32 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Istela Nunes (-210)

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