Gunnar Nelson vs Takashi Sato Pick, 3/19/2022 Predictions UFC London Odds

by Tony Sink - 3/15/2022

ufc picks Gunnar Nelson predictions best bet odds

Gunnar Nelson vs Takashi Sato

UFC London

O2 Arena in London, UK

Saturday, March 19, 2022

Gunnar Nelson will enter the Octagon with Takashi Sato at UFC London on Saturday, March 19, 2022. The opening moneyline has Nelson at -380 while Sato is priced at +290.

Gunnar "Gunni" Nelson will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 17-5-1. The 33-year-old weighs in at 170 lbs and measures in at 5'11". The switch fighter has a reach of 72". Takashi "Ten" Sato measures in at 5'10" and weighs 170 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 16-4-0. The 31-year-old reaches 73". Regarding significant strikes, Gunnar Nelson lands 1.71 per min while Takashi Sato is connecting on 3.16 significant strikes per minute. Nelson lands 57% of the significant strikes he attempts while Sato is connecting on 37%. Regarding defending in the Octagon, "Gunni" allows 3.33 significant strikes per minute while "Ten" absorbs 4.81. Nelson also defends against 49% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him while Sato thwarts 50% of the strikes thrown in his direction.

UFC London	Gunnar Nelson	Takashi Sato
Opening Odds	-380	+290
Record	17-5-1	16-4-0
Average Fight Time	10:02	7:07
Height	5'11"	5'10"
Weight	170 lbs	170 lbs
Reach	72"	73"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	1.71	3.16
Striking Accuracy	57%	37%

In terms of grappling, Gunnar Nelson is the more capable grappler as he gets a takedown 1.72 times per 15 min. Nelson is getting his opponent to the mat on 55% of his attempts and defending 66% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Sato is taking his opponents to the canvas on 50% of the takedowns he tries and stuffing 75% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. When it comes to sub attempts, Nelson is the more skilled of the two fighters by going for 0.9 finishes per 3 rounds while Sato tries 0.5 finishes per 15 minutes.

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The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Gunnar Nelson fought Gilbert Burns and wound up taking the loss by unanimous decision in round 3. Burns ended up landing 46 of 99 total strikes that he let go in that fight. Nelson ended the night having landed 26 of 45 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Burns landed 30 of 76, which gave him a rate of 39%. He ended up landing 8 of 47 significant strikes to the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Nelson landed 55% of his significant strikes by connecting on 20 of 36. Out of those significant strikes, he connected on 9 of 23 pointed at the head. 63% of the significant strikes connected on by Burns and 90% of them landed by Nelson were done at distance.

In the last bout for Takashi Sato, he faced off with Miguel Baeza and was defeated via an arm triangle in round 2. Baeza connected on 80% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Sato ended up connecting on 100% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Sato landed 25% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 15 of 58. He connected on 10 of 49 significant strikes directed at the head. Baeza landed 40 of 73 significant strikes in that fight. Of all the significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 16 of 40 aimed at the head. Discussing the strikes he fired off in this contest, Baeza was 43 of 82 and Sato connected on 15 of 58 of all the strikes he threw.

Other fights on the card to watch out for

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Shamil Abdurakhimov opposes Sergei Pavlovich. Abdurakhimov walks into the cage with a record of 20-6-0. The 40-year-old steps on the scale at 235 lbs and stands in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 76". Pavlovich measures in at 6'3" and is fighting at 257 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a win to his career record of 14-1-0. The 29-year-old has an arm span of 84". In terms of takedowns, Shamil Abdurakhimov takes his opponents to the canvas 1.14 times per 15 min while Sergei Pavlovich gets a takedown 0.60 times per 3 rds. When it comes to striking, Abdurakhimov is landing 2.53 strikes per min and is connecting on 43% out of all the strikes he attempts. The other fighter in this bout is Sergei Pavlovich, who tags his opponent on 52% of the strikes he has tried and lands an average of 6.55 per min.

One more can't miss bout is when Paul Craig is set to square up with Nikita Krylov. Krylov walks into the cage holding a record of 27-8-0. The 30-year-old weighs in at 205 lbs and measures 6'3". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 77". Craig measures 6'3" and tips the scales at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage with a mark of 15-4-1. The 34-year-old has a wingspan of 76". Concerning wrestling, Nikita Krylov is able to curb 55% of his opponents' takedown tries and is taking his opponents down on 33% of his attempts. Craig is taking his opponents to the mat on 25% of the tries he takes and curbs 55% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Concerning striking, Krylov is taking 2.52 strikes per minute while he is connecting on 4.33 strikes/min. Craig, on the other hand, takes 2.39 strikes/minute and is dishing out 2.59 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Takashi Sato (+290)

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Gunnar Nelson vs Takashi Sato Pick, 3/19/2022 Predictions UFC London Odds

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