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Gilbert Burns vs Khamzat Chimaev Pick, 4/9/2022 Predictions UFC 273 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 4/5/2022

ufc picks Gilbert Burns predictions best bet odds

Gilbert Burns vs Khamzat Chimaev

UFC 273

VyStar Veterans Memorial Arena in Jacksonville, FL

Saturday, April 9, 2022

Gilbert Burns will battle Khamzat Chimaev at UFC 273 on Saturday, April 9, 2022. The opening odds have Burns at +360 while Chimaev is coming in at -490.

Gilbert "Durinho" Burns walks into the cage with a record of 20-4-0. The 35-year-old is weighing in at 170 lbs and stands 5'10". The orthodox fighter reaches 71". Khamzat "Borz" Chimaev measures in at 6'2" and is weighing in at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his record of 10-0-0. The 27-year-old has a reach of 75". When talking about significant strikes, Gilbert Burns lands 3.12 per min while Khamzat Chimaev connects on 8.68 significant strikes per min. Burns connects on 46% of the significant strikes he throws and Chimaev connects on 77%. In terms of defending in the Octagon, "Durinho" takes 2.90 significant strikes per minute while "Borz" allows 0.08. Burns also deflects 55% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt and Chimaev thwarts 75% of the strikes thrown his way.

 

UFC 273 Gilbert Burns Khamzat Chimaev
Opening Odds +360 -490
Record 20-4-0 10-0-0
Average Fight Time 11:28 3:14
Height 5'10" 6'2"
Weight 170 lbs 170 lbs
Reach 71" 75"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.12 8.68
Striking Accuracy 46% 77%

 

Concerning wrestling, Gilbert Burns is the not as competent as a grappler as he takes his opponents to the mat 2.16 times per 3 rounds. Burns is finishing his takedown attempts on 36% of the times he tries and stopping 50% of all takedown attempts. Chimaev is finishing his takedowns on 66% of the takedowns he attempts and is stuffing 10% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Regarding subbing opponents, Burns is the lesser skilled fighter by trying 0.6 submissions per 15 minutes while Chimaev looks to get 5.8 submissions per 3 rounds.

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In his previous fight, Gilbert Burns faced Stephen Thompson and took home the victory via unanimous decision in round 3. Thompson ended up landing 59 of 98 total strikes attempted in that contest. Burns finished this fight landing 101 of 126 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Thompson ended up landing 19 of 53, which gave him a rate of 35%. He ended up landing 14 of 44 significant strikes to the head. Statistically, Burns ended up landing 67% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 29 of 43. Of those significant strikes, he connected on 17 of 29 aimed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes landed by Thompson and 55% of them landed by Burns were tallied at a distance.

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In the last Octagon appearance for Khamzat Chimaev, he battled Li Jingliang and wound up getting the victory by way of rear naked choke in round 1. Jingliang connected on 33% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Chimaev connected on 4% of his significant strikes at distance. Chimaev landed 100% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 25 of 25. He connected on 25 of 25 significant strikes aimed at the head. Jingliang landed 0 of 1 significant strikes in that fight. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he ended up connecting on 0 of 1 directed at the head. Regarding total strikes that he let go in that contest, Jingliang landed 0 of 1 and Chimaev was 58 of 62 total strikes.

Other fights on the card to keep an eye on

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Ian Garry squares up with Darian Weeks. Garry holds a career mark of 8-0-0. The 24-year-old weighs in at 170 lbs and stands in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter stretches 74". Weeks measures 5'11" and tips the scales at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage with a mark of 5-1-0. The 28-year-old extends his reach 72". When it comes to grappling, Ian Garry is averaging a takedown 0.50 times per 3 rds while Darian Weeks takes his opponents down 4.00 times per 15 minutes. In the striking category, Garry tags his opponents 3.61 strikes per minute and connects on 64% of the strikes that he attempts. On the other side we have Darian Weeks, who connects on 56% of his attempted strikes and connects for an average of 7.87 per minute.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Marcin Tybura is set to fight Jairzinho Rozenstruik. Rozenstruik holds a career record of 12-3-0. The 34-year-old is weighing in at 242 lbs and measures in at 6'2". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 78". Tybura stands 6'3" and will fight at 249 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage with a mark of 22-7-0. The 36-year-old extends his reach 78". Regarding takedowns, Jairzinho Rozenstruik prevents 75% of the takedowns his opponents try and is taking his opponents down on 10% of the times he tries. Tybura is taking his opponents to the mat on 32% of his tries and is able to defend against 82% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. In the category of striking, Rozenstruik takes 3.07 strikes per min while he is landing 2.80 per min. Tybura, in contrast, is absorbing 3.44 strikes/minute and dishes out 3.65 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Gilbert Burns (+360)

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