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Gabriel Benitez vs TJ Brown Pick, 1/15/2022 Predictions UFC Vegas 46 Odds

by Tony Sink - 1/11/2022

ufc picks Gabriel Benitez predictions best bet odds

Gabriel Benitez vs TJ Brown

UFC Vegas 46

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, January 15, 2022

Gabriel Benitez will battle TJ Brown at UFC Vegas 46 on Saturday, January 15, 2022. The moneyline has Benitez priced at -190 while Brown is priced at +160.

Gabriel "Moggly" Benitez will be looking to add a win to his career total of 22-10-0. The 33-year-old tips the scales at 155 lbs and measures in at 5'8". The southpaw fighter has a reach of 71". TJ "Downtown" Brown measures 5'9" and will fight at 145 lbs. The switch fighter has a career record of 15-8-0. The 31-year-old has an arm span of 72". Concerning significant strikes, Gabriel Benitez connects on 4.35 per minute and TJ Brown connects on 3.87 significant strikes per min. Benitez connects on 39% of the significant strikes he attempts and Brown is connecting on 40%. When it comes to the fighter's defense, "Moggly" allows 3.80 significant strikes per min while "Downtown" allows 2.75. Benitez also thwarts 65% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt and Brown thwarts 51% of them.

 

UFC Vegas 46 Gabriel Benitez TJ Brown
Opening Odds -190 +160
Record 22-10-0 15-8-0
Average Fight Time 9:20 12:54
Height 5'8" 5'9"
Weight 155 lbs 145 lbs
Reach 71" 72"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.35 3.87
Striking Accuracy 39% 40%

 

In terms of wrestling, Gabriel Benitez is not as efficient of a wrestler as he scores a takedown 0.15 times per 15 min. Benitez is taking his opponents to the canvas on 50% of the times he tries and is stopping 56% of all takedowns attempted on him. Brown is taking his opponents down on 58% of his takedown attempts and stopping 36% of all takedowns attempted on him. Regarding going for the sub, Benitez is the more experienced submission fighter by going for 1.2 submissions per 15 minutes while Brown looks to get 0.6 submissions per 3 rounds.

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In his previous bout, Gabriel Benitez faced Billy Quarantillo and was on the losing end of this fight via a punch to the head in round 3. Quarantillo ended up landing 179 of 259 total strikes that he let go. Benitez ended the night having landed 67 of 122 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Quarantillo landed 100 of 156, giving him a percentage of 64%. He ended up landing 73 of 126 significant strikes to the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Benitez ended up landing 51% of his significant strikes by sticking 57 of 110. Of those significant strikes, he connected on 38 of 89 aimed at the head. 61% of the significant strikes connected on by Quarantillo and 77% of them landed by Benitez were done at distance.

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In the last Octagon appearance for TJ Brown, he faced off with Kai Kamaka and wound up getting the victory by split decision in round 3. Kamaka connected on 83% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Brown ended up landing 93% of his significant strikes at distance. Brown landed 38% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 82 of 211. He landed 54 of 174 significant strikes directed at the head. Kamaka ended up landing 61 of 128 significant strikes in that battle. Out of those significant strikes, he connected on 38 of 100 to the head. When discussing total strikes attempted in that fight, Kamaka ended up connecting on 85 of 155 and Brown landed 110 of 243 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other bouts to watch out for

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Dakota Bush faces off with Viacheslav Borshchev. Bush looks to add a win to his record of 8-3-0. The 27-year-old will fight at 155 lbs and comes in at 5'10". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 73". Borshchev stands 5'11" and tips the scales at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon holding a record of 5-1-0. The 30-year-old has a reach of 69". In terms of takedowns, Dakota Bush gets a takedown 1.00 times per 15 min while Viacheslav Borshchev is averaging a takedown 0.00 times per 3 rounds. When it comes to striking, Bush is landing 2.73 strikes per minute and connecting on 39% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side we have Viacheslav Borshchev, who connects on 67% of the strikes he has thrown and is landing 7.50 per min.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Saidyokub Kakhramonov is set to take on Brian Kelleher. Kelleher steps into the Octagon with a record of 23-12-0. The 35-year-old tips the scales at 135 lbs and comes in at 5'6". The switch fighter has an arm span of 66". Kakhramonov stands in at 5'8" and weighs 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his record of 9-2-0. The 26-year-old has a wingspan of 69". Regarding wrestling, Brian Kelleher is thwarting 59% of the takedowns fighters have gone for and is taking his opponents to the mat on 33% of the times he tries. Kakhramonov is taking his opponents to the mat on 28% of the attempts he tries and is able to stop 87% of all takedown attempts. In the matter of striking, Kelleher is taking 4.72 strikes/min and he is connecting on 3.63 strikes per min. Kakhramonov, in contrast, absorbs 0.82 strikes per minute and connects on 2.46 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Gabriel Benitez (-190)

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