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Free Picks » UFC Picks » Dustin Poirier vs Michael Chandler Pick, 11/12/2022 Predictions UFC 281 Odds

Dustin Poirier vs Michael Chandler Pick, 11/12/2022 Predictions UFC 281 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 11/8/2022

ufc picks Michael Chandler predictions best bet odds

Dustin Poirier vs Michael Chandler

UFC 281

Madison Square Garden in NYC

Saturday, November 12, 2022

Dustin Poirier will battle Michael Chandler at UFC 281 on Saturday, November 12, 2022. The line has Poirier priced at -220 while Chandler is at +185.

Dustin "The Diamond" Poirier comes into this bout holding a record of 28-7-0 (1 NC). The 33-year-old is weighing in at 155 lbs and comes in at 5'9". The southpaw fighter extends his reach 72". Michael "Iron" Chandler comes in at 5'8" and will fight at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a record of 23-7-0. The 36-year-old reaches 71". Regarding significant strikes, Dustin Poirier is landing 5.61 per min and Michael Chandler connects on 5.17 significant strikes per minute. Poirier lands 50% of the significant strikes he attempts and Chandler is landing 46%. Concerning their defense in the Octagon, "The Diamond" allows 4.28 significant strikes per min and "Iron" absorbs 4.87. Poirier also thwarts 53% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt while Chandler is able to stop 45% of the shots thrown his way.

 

UFC 281 Dustin Poirier Michael Chandler
Opening Odds -220 +185
Record 28-7-0 (1 NC) 23-7-0
Average Fight Time 10:02 7:16
Height 5'9" 5'8"
Weight 155 lbs 155 lbs
Reach 72" 71"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 5.61 5.17
Striking Accuracy 50% 46%

 

Concerning wrestling, Dustin Poirier is not as efficient of a grappler as he gets a takedown 1.44 times per 3 rounds. Poirier is finishing his takedown attempts on 36% of his tries and is defending 64% of all takedowns attempted on him. Chandler is getting his opponent to the mat on 36% of his takedown attempts and defending 71% of the tries against him. Regarding submission attempts, Poirier is the more apt fighter by going for 1.2 submissions per 3 rds while Chandler attempts 1.1 submissions per 3 rds.

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In his previous fight, Dustin Poirier faced Charles Oliveira and wound up walking away in defeat by rear naked choke in round 3. Oliveira ended up landing 98 of 157 total strikes that he let go. Poirier ended the night having landed 69 of 105 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Oliveira landed 73 of 131, giving him a percentage of 55%. He landed 48 of 99 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side, Poirier ended up landing 61% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 58 of 94. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he connected on 56 of 92 aimed at the head. 52% of the significant strikes connected on by Oliveira and 84% of them connected on by Poirier were thrown at a distance.

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In the last fight for Michael Chandler, he faced off with Tony Ferguson and ended up getting the win via a kick to the head in round 2. Ferguson landed 85% of his significant strikes at distance while Chandler connected on 66% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Chandler ended up connecting on 50% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 27 of 53. He ended up connecting on 15 of 39 significant strikes to the head. Ferguson ended up landing 20 of 50 significant strikes in that contest. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he ended up landing 13 of 38 directed at the head. In terms of total strikes that he let go in that contest, Ferguson ended up connecting on 27 of 58 while Chandler connected on 43 of 73 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights on the card to watch

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Frankie Edgar fights Chris Gutierrez. Edgar comes into this bout holding a record of 23-10-1. The 41-year-old will fight at 135 lbs and comes in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 68". Gutierrez measures 5'9" and is weighing in at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon holding a record of 18-3-2. The 31-year-old extends his reach 67". Regarding grappling, Frankie Edgar is averaging a takedown 2.30 times per 3 rds while Chris Gutierrez scores a takedown 0.44 times per 15 min. When it comes to striking, Edgar is landing 3.79 strikes/minute and lands 40% of his attempted strikes. On the other side of the cage we have Chris Gutierrez, who is connecting on 58% of the strikes he has thrown and is connecting on 4.69 per minute.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Claudio Puelles is set to take on Dan Hooker. Hooker walks into the Octagon with a record of 21-12-0. The 32-year-old is weighing in at 145 lbs and comes in at 6'0". The switch fighter has a wingspan of 75". Puelles measures in at 5'10" and weighs in at 155 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a victory to his record of 13-2-0. The 26-year-old stretches 72". In the category of takedowns, Dan Hooker curbs 78% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is taking his opponents to the mat on 36% of his attempts. Puelles is finishing his takedown tries on 38% of the attempts he tries and prevents 60% of all takedown attempts. In the matter of striking, Hooker absorbs 4.81 strikes per min while he lands 4.91 strikes/min. Puelles, notwithstanding, is absorbing 2.89 strikes per min and is connecting on 1.99 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Michael Chandler (+185)

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