Donald Cerrone vs Joe Lauzon Pick, 5/7/2022 Predictions UFC 274 Odds

Donald Cerrone vs Joe Lauzon

UFC 274

Footprint Center in Phoenix, AZ

Saturday, May 7, 2022

Donald Cerrone will enter the Octagon against Joe Lauzon at UFC 274 on Saturday, May 7, 2022. The moneyline has Cerrone at -170 while Lauzon is coming in at +150.

Donald "Cowboy" Cerrone comes into this bout with a mark of 36-16-0 (2 NC). The 39-year-old is weighing in at 170 lbs and stands 6'1". The orthodox fighter stretches 73". Joe Lauzon measures 5'10" and will fight at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage with a mark of 28-16-0. The 37-year-old has an arm span of 71". When talking about significant strikes, Donald Cerrone connects on 4.43 per minute while Joe Lauzon lands 2.84 significant strikes per min. Cerrone lands 46% of the significant strikes he tries and Lauzon connects on 39%. In terms of the fighter's defense, "Cowboy" takes 4.49 significant strikes per min and Lauzon takes 5.39. Cerrone also defends against 53% of the significant strikes that are directed at him while Lauzon is able to defend against 54% of the shots thrown.

Concerning takedowns, Donald Cerrone is not as effective of a grappler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 1.18 times per 15 minutes. Cerrone is finishing his takedown attempts on 33% of his tries and stuffing 74% of all takedown tries against him. Lauzon is getting his opponent to the mat on 45% of the takedowns he tries and stopping 54% of the tries against him. Regarding going for the sub, Cerrone is the lesser skilled fighter by trying 1.2 submissions per 15 minutes while Lauzon looks to get 2.0 submissions per 3 rds.

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In his last bout, Donald Cerrone faced Alex Morono and wound up losing the fight by way of a punch to the head in round 1. Morono landed 41 of 90 of the strikes he let go in total for this contest. Cerrone finished this fight landing 18 of 36 total strikes. In regard to significant strikes, Morono ended up landing 35 of 84, which gave him a rate of 41%. He finished the fight landing 28 of 74 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side, Cerrone ended up landing 48% of his significant strikes by sticking 17 of 35. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he landed 5 of 23 pointed at the head. 85% of the significant strikes connected on by Morono and 94% of them landed by Cerrone were thrown at distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Joe Lauzon, he went up against Jonathan Pearce and ended up getting the win by way of a punch to the head in round 1. Pearce connected on 100% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Lauzon ended up landing 36% of his significant strikes at distance. Lauzon ended up landing 69% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 25 of 36. He connected on 24 of 35 significant strikes directed at the head. Pearce connected on 8 of 19 significant strikes in that contest. Out of those significant strikes, he connected on 4 of 14 aimed at the head. Relating to total strikes attempted in that contest, Pearce was 8 of 19 and Lauzon ended up connecting on 28 of 39 total strikes.

Other fights on the card to keep an eye on

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Randy Brown takes on Khaos Williams. Brown walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 14-4-0. The 31-year-old will fight at 170 lbs and measures in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 78". Williams comes in at 6'0" and records a weight of 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a mark of 13-2-0. The 28-year-old reaches 77". In terms of takedowns, Randy Brown gets a takedown 0.86 times per 15 min while Khaos Williams gets a takedown 0.50 times per 3 rounds. In the striking category, Brown is landing 4.21 strikes/min and connects on 48% of the strikes that he attempts. Joining him in the Octagon is Khaos Williams, who lands 38% of the strikes he has tried and connects for an average of 5.00 per min.

One more can't miss bout is when Matt Schnell is set to square up against Brandon Royval. Royval steps into the cage holding a mark of 13-6-0. The 29-year-old weighs 125 lbs and measures in at 5'9". The southpaw fighter extends his reach 68". Schnell stands 5'8" and weighs 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage holding a mark of 15-5-0 (1 NC). The 32-year-old has a wingspan of 70". In the category of takedowns, Brandon Royval is thwarting 39% of the takedowns his opponents try and is finishing his takedown attempts on 80% of his attempts. Schnell is taking his opponents to the mat on 33% of his attempts and thwarts 50% of the takedowns his opponents try. Concerning striking, Royval takes 2.57 strikes/minute while he is dishing out 3.16 strikes per minute. Schnell, on the other hand, is taking 4.17 strikes/min and lands 4.23 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Joe Lauzon (+150)

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