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Dominick Reyes vs Ryan Spann Pick, 11/12/2022 Predictions UFC 281 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 11/8/2022

ufc picks Ryan Spann predictions best bet odds

Dominick Reyes vs Ryan Spann

UFC 281

Madison Square Garden in NYC

Saturday, November 12, 2022

Dominick Reyes will enter the Octagon against Ryan Spann at UFC 281 on Saturday, November 12, 2022. The odds have Reyes coming in at -210 while Spann is priced at +180.

Dominick "The Devastator" Reyes will be looking to add a victory to his total of 12-3-0. The 32-year-old is fighting at 205 lbs and measures 6'4". The southpaw fighter extends his reach 77". Ryan "Superman" Spann stands 6'5" and will fight at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage with a record of 20-7-0. The 31-year-old has an arm span of 79". Regarding significant strikes, Dominick Reyes lands 4.77 per minute while Ryan Spann connects on 3.35 significant strikes per min. Reyes is connecting on 50% of the significant strikes he attempts while Spann lands 44%. When it comes to defending in the cage, "The Devastator" absorbs 3.73 significant strikes per min while "Superman" absorbs 3.41. Reyes also stops 48% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction and Spann thwarts 47% of the shots thrown.

 

UFC 281 Dominick Reyes Ryan Spann
Opening Odds -210 +180
Record 12-3-0 20-7-0
Average Fight Time 9:12 4:59
Height 6'4" 6'5"
Weight 205 lbs 205 lbs
Reach 77" 79"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.77 3.35
Striking Accuracy 50% 44%

 

In terms of wrestling, Dominick Reyes is the not as competent as a wrestler as he scores a takedown 0.36 times per 3 rds. Reyes is taking his opponents to the canvas on 28% of his attempts and stopping 80% of all takedown tries against him. Spann is finishing his takedowns on 38% of the takedowns he attempts and stuffing 50% of the attempts against him. Regarding submission attempts, Reyes is less likely to go for the finish by trying 0.4 subs per 3 rounds while Spann looks to get 1.8 subs per 15 minutes.

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The last time he fought, Dominick Reyes squared up with Jiri Prochazka and took a loss on the night by a spinning back elbow in round 2. Prochazka ended up landing 78 of 137 total strikes attempted in that contest. Reyes ended the night having landed 68 of 114 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Prochazka ended up landing 77 of 136, which gave him a percentage of 56%. He ended up landing 61 of 119 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Reyes ended up landing 58% of his significant strikes by landing 63 of 108. Out of those significant strikes, he connected on 39 of 81 aimed at the head. 90% of the significant strikes connected on by Prochazka and 90% of them connected on by Reyes were thrown at a distance.

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In the last Octagon appearance for Ryan Spann, he battled Ion Cutelaba and got a win for the night by way of a guillotine choke in round 1. Cutelaba connected on 50% of his significant strikes at distance while Spann ended up connecting on 100% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Spann ended up connecting on 36% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 4 of 11. He ended up landing 4 of 11 significant strikes directed at the head. Cutelaba ended up landing 2 of 9 significant strikes in that fight. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he ended up landing 2 of 8 to the head. Discussing total strikes thrown, Cutelaba ended up landing 2 of 9 and Spann ended up landing 5 of 12 total strikes.

Other fights on the card to watch

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Andre Petroski battles Wellington Turman. Petroski walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 8-2-0. The 31-year-old records a weight of 185 lbs and measures in at 6'0". The switch fighter has a wingspan of 73". Turman measures in at 6'0" and weighs 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his total of 18-5-0. The 26-year-old has an arm span of 72". In terms of takedowns, Andre Petroski gets a takedown 4.10 times per 15 min while Wellington Turman takes his opponents down 1.98 times per 15 minutes. When it comes to striking, Petroski tags his opponents 4.07 strikes/min and is landing 61% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side of the cage you've got Wellington Turman, who tags the opposition on 49% of the strikes he has thrown and is connecting on 2.96 per minute.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Ottman Azaitar is set to square up in the Octagon with Matt Frevola. Frevola looks to add a win to his career record of 9-3-1. The 32-year-old is fighting at 155 lbs and measures 5'9". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 71". Azaitar comes in at 5'8" and weighs 155 lbs. The switch fighter looks to add a win to his career total of 13-0-0. The 32-year-old reaches 71". Regarding takedowns, Matt Frevola is able to deflect 42% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is taking his opponents to the mat on 37% of his attempts. Azaitar is finishing his takedowns on 15% of the attempts he tries and prevents 85% of the takedowns his opponents try. With reference to striking, Frevola takes 3.47 strikes per minute while he connects on 3.43 strikes per min. Azaitar, at the same time, absorbs 1.76 strikes per minute and is landing 8.43 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Ryan Spann (+180)

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