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Free Picks » UFC Picks » Derrick Lewis vs Tai Tuivasa Pick, 2/12/2022 Predictions UFC 271 Odds

Derrick Lewis vs Tai Tuivasa Pick, 2/12/2022 Predictions UFC 271 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 2/8/2022

ufc picks Tai Tuivasa predictions best bet odds

Derrick Lewis vs Tai Tuivasa

UFC 271

Toyota Center in Houston, TX

Saturday, February 12, 2022

Derrick Lewis will enter the Octagon against Tai Tuivasa at UFC 271 on Saturday, February 12, 2022. The opening moneyline has Lewis at -180 while Tuivasa is at +155.

Derrick "The Black Beast" Lewis will be looking to add a victory to his total of 26-8-0. The 37-year-old will fight at 260 lbs and stands in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 79". Tai "Bam Bam" Tuivasa stands 6'2" and tips the scales at 264 lbs. The southpaw fighter walks into the Octagon with a record of 14-3-0. The 28-year-old has a reach of 75". Regarding significant strikes, Derrick Lewis is connecting on 2.52 per minute while Tai Tuivasa connects on 4.63 significant strikes per min. Lewis is connecting on 50% of the significant strikes he tries and Tuivasa lands 52%. In terms of defending in the cage, "The Black Beast" takes 2.48 significant strikes per min while "Bam Bam" absorbs 3.51. Lewis also stops 41% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt while Tuivasa curbs 49% of the shots thrown in his direction.

 

UFC 271 Derrick Lewis Tai Tuivasa
Opening Odds -180 +155
Record 26-8-0 14-3-0
Average Fight Time 9:29 6:30
Height 6'3" 6'2"
Weight 260 lbs 264 lbs
Reach 79" 75"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 2.52 4.63
Striking Accuracy 50% 52%

 

In terms of takedowns, Derrick Lewis is the more skilled grappler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 0.48 times per 15 min. Lewis is taking his opponents to the canvas on 25% of his tries and stuffing 55% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Tuivasa is getting his opponent to the mat on 20% of the takedowns he attempts and is stopping 50% of the attempts against him. In terms of subbing opponents, Lewis is the lesser skilled of the two fighters by attempting 0.3 submissions per 3 rounds while Tuivasa goes for 0.7 submissions per 15 minutes.

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The last time he fought, Derrick Lewis faced Chris Daukaus and got a win for the night via punches to the head in round 1. Daukaus ended up landing 10 of 19 of the strikes he let go in total for this contest. Lewis ended the night having landed 14 of 28 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Daukaus landed 10 of 19, which gave him a percentage of 52%. He finished the fight landing 6 of 14 significant strikes aimed at the head. Statistically, Lewis landed 50% of his significant strikes by sticking 14 of 28. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he connected on 12 of 26 aimed at the head. 80% of the significant strikes landed by Daukaus and 78% of them landed by Lewis were done at a distance.

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In the last Octagon appearance for Tai Tuivasa, he fought Augusto Sakai and ended up getting the victory in the fight by a punch to the head in round 2. Sakai landed 23% of the significant strikes he took from distance while Tuivasa ended up landing 38% of his significant strikes at distance. Tuivasa ended up connecting on 65% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 34 of 52. He connected on 26 of 43 significant strikes to the head. Sakai ended up landing 21 of 29 significant strikes in that fight. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he ended up landing 6 of 12 aimed at the head. When discussing total strikes thrown, Sakai ended up connecting on 40 of 49 while Tuivasa landed 44 of 62 of all the strikes he threw.

Other bouts on the card to watch out for

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Jared Cannonier squares up against Derek Brunson. Cannonier looks to add a win to his career record of 14-5-0. The 37-year-old is weighing in at 185 lbs and measures 5'11". The switch fighter has a reach of 77". Brunson stands 6'1" and is weighing in at 185 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a victory to his record of 23-7-0. The 38-year-old stretches 77". Regarding grappling, Jared Cannonier gets a takedown 0.12 times per 3 rounds and Derek Brunson takes his opponents to the canvas 3.15 times per 15 min. Regarding striking, Cannonier lands an average of 3.60 strikes per min and connecting on 49% of the strikes that he attempts. The other fighter in this bout is Derek Brunson, who is landing 47% of the strikes he has attempted and connects on 3.45 per minute.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Marcelo Rojo is set to face off with Kyler Phillips. Phillips has a mark of 9-2-0. The 26-year-old weighs in at 135 lbs and stands in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter stretches 72". Rojo measures 5'8" and is fighting at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a record of 16-8-0. The 33-year-old has an arm span of 71". Regarding wrestling, Kyler Phillips is able to defend against 69% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is finishing his takedown attempts on 55% of his attempts. Rojo is taking his opponents down on 50% of his tries and defends against 80% of the takedowns his opponents try. With reference to striking, Phillips is taking 3.15 strikes/min and he dishes out 5.20 strikes/min. Rojo, on the other hand, is absorbing 7.30 strikes per minute and deals 5.10 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Tai Tuivasa (+155)

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